8059 Rolling Cir · Port LaBelle, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.2/15.0
- Cash flow +7.6/30.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.2/10.0
- DSCR +1.7/10.0
$309,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Introducing the Royal, an expansive floorplan from our highly regarded Value collection. This remarkable home boasts 4 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and a generously proportioned 2 car garage. With a split plan design, the master suite offers a warm and inviting retreat, providing ample privacy from the other three bedrooms. The heart of this home lies in its open concept kitchen and great room, providing a spacious and inviting area for family gatherings and creating lasting memories. The well-appointed kitchen features stainless steel appliances, including an electric smooth top range, a ductless vent hood, light, and fan, as well as an Energy Star insulated dishwasher, ensuring both style
Key facts
- Expansive backyard
- Quality finishes
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2 total parking spaces; 2-car garage
- Home design: Single-family property; Spec new construction
Interior
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Spec home (Royal plan); Living area of 1,806
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $309k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-377 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $254k (17.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $223k (28.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $223k (28.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#750 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Hendry (town): math 35% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #65 of 73 in FL (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Country Oaks Elementary School (math 48% / reading 45%, grade D-, #1,223 of 2,144 statewide, top 57%, 893 students, 75% FRL); Labelle Middle School (math 37% / reading 38%, grade F, #395 of 571 statewide, top 70%, 817 students, 72% FRL); Labelle High School (math 42% / reading 41%, grade F, #284 of 667 statewide, top 43%, 1,451 students, 62% FRL).
- Market conditions: 950 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 557 units permitted in Hendry County in 2024 (45 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,226/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($57k/yr) (locally 498% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $33k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $31k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Hendry County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$53k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 358 days — a 12% lower offer ($272k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 358 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.72% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.22%
- DSCR
- 0.77
- GRM
- 11.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $321,468
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8008 Rolling Cir | 0.06mi | 4/2.0 | 1,828 (+1%) | 4mo | $297,199 | $163 | 91 |
| 8043 Windswept Cir | 0.27mi | 4/2.0 | 1,810 (+0%) | 2mo | $290,000 | $160 | 85 |
| 8030 Sandalwood Cir | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 | 1,828 (+1%) | 4mo | $275,000 | $150 | 81 |
| 8027 Sandalwood Cir | 0.38mi | 4/2.0 | 1,828 (+1%) | 6mo | $289,999 | $159 | 75 |
| 8014 Windswept Cir | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,666 (-8%) | 5mo | $274,990 | $165 | 58 |
| 8043 Sherwood Cir | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 | 1,828 (+1%) | 13mo | $318,000 | $174 | 57 |
| 8014 Royal Cir | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,026 (+12%) | 5mo | $360,000 | $178 | 55 |
| 8023 Piper Ln | 0.62mi | 4/3.0 | 1,715 (-5%) | 12mo | $360,000 | $210 | 48 |
| 8081 Sunrise Cir | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 | 1,629 (-10%) | 8mo | $347,500 | $213 | 44 |
| 8010 Piper Ln | 0.56mi | 4/3.0 | 1,616 (-10%) | 11mo | $365,000 | $226 | 43 |
| 8029 Sandy Cir | 0.39mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,547 (-14%) | 10mo | $340,000 | $220 | 42 |
| 1299 Argosy Rd | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,536 (-15%) | 7mo | $359,900 | $234 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.67×
- Total profit
- $144,335
- Equity at exit
- $278,372
- IRR
- 18.7%
- Equity multiple
- 6.13×
- Total profit
- $443,974
- Equity at exit
- $600,319
Cash invested: $86,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33935
- Home prices YoY
- 16.3%
- Active inventory
- 950
- Price-to-rent
- 11.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,226 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,620
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$386 /mo · $4,635/yr
- Insurance
- −$129
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$468
- Net cashflow
- $-377
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-163 | -5% $-270 | +0% $-377 | +5% $-483 | +10% $-590 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-553 | -5% $-465 | +0% $-377 | +5% $-289 | +10% $-201 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-221 | -0.5pp $-298 | base $-377 | +0.5pp $-457 | +1.0pp $-538 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $77,250
- Closing costs
- $9,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8002 Vega Ct Labelle, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1389 | $1,900 | $1.37 | 25d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 8004 Spice Ct Labelle, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1292 | $2,000 | $1.55 | 21d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 8049 Memory Cir Labelle, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1686 | $2,000 | $1.19 | 5d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1535 Argosy Rd Labelle, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1836 | $1,675 | $0.91 | 5d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 8030 Olive Cir Labelle, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1499 | $2,300 | $1.53 | 5d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1064 Calumet Rd Labelle, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1503 | $2,200 | $1.46 | 25d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 9007 Meadow Cir Labelle, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,695 | $1.13 | 5d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1209 Banjo Ct Labelle, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $2,050 | $1.42 | 25d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1088 Saturn Ct Labelle, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1439 | $2,200 | $1.53 | 21d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 9035 W Crow Cir Labelle, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1530 | $1,950 | $1.27 | 5d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 6210 Forest Ct Labelle, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1503 | $2,200 | $1.46 | 25d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 6018 Acorn Cir Labelle, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1408 | $2,200 | $1.56 | 18d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 9011 Penny Cir Labelle, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1731 | $2,400 | $1.39 | 25d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 9012 S Indio Ct Labelle, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,100 | $1.50 | 21d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 7061 Tide Cir Labelle, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,695 | $1.13 | 25d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 9001 Penny Cir Labelle, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1472 | $2,300 | $1.56 | 18d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 9001 Penny Cir Labelle, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1472 | $2,300 | $1.56 | 25d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 9018 W Justice Cir Labelle, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1499 | $1,950 | $1.30 | 13d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 7016 Palpano Cir Labelle, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1507 | $2,100 | $1.39 | 18d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $309,000 Active 358 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $309,000 Active 355 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $309,000 Active 354 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $309,000 Active 353 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $309,000 Active 352 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $309,000 Active 349 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $309,000 Active 347 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $309,000 Active 346 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $309,000 Active 345 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $309,000 Active 344 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $309,000 Active 340 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $309,000 Active 339 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $309,000 Active 338 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $309,000 Active 337 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,716
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,309
- − Property taxes
- −$4,635
- − Insurance
- −$1,545
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,137
- − Management
- −$2,137
- − Depreciation
- −$8,989
- Taxable loss
- −$10,037
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,409
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,111/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hendry
- NCES district ID
- 1200780
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,043
- Composite
- 31.16/100
- National rank
- #6054
- State rank
- #65 of 73 in FL
Livability — Port LaBelle
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #750
- US rank
- #16264
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Port LaBelle, FL
- County
- Hendry County · 23,186 people
- Metro
- Clewiston, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,186
- Household income
- $57,009
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 498.0
Population outlook (Hendry County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 38,866 people
- By 2030
- 38,558 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 37,743 · -2.9%
- By 2050
- 36,117 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 30,070 · -22.6%
- By 2100
- 21,966 · -43.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (56%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 56% White 39% Two or more races 21% Black 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 40% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 27% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 50% English-only · Spanish 50%
Political lean MEDSL · Hendry
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+38.3) · D 30.4% · R 68.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.1pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -38.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+38.3 2020: R+23.0 2016: R+14.2 2012: R+5.9 2008: R+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 75.20%
- Current HPI
- 537.4928
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Clewiston, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…