17216 Peach Grove Ln · Hazel Crest, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.7/10.0
- ARV discount +5.4/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Very nice recently updated ranch styled home in Hazel Crest. This home has three nicely sized bedrooms for it size. Nicely sized living room area and a large recently updated kitchen. New stainless steel kitchen appliances and updated bathroom. Large deck ideal for entertaining. Detached two car garage and plenty of off-street parking on the long driveway. This home is being sold as is and room sizes are estimated. See this one today and make it yours!
Key facts
- Large deck
- Off-street parking
- Updated bathroom
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Homeowner tax exemption
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Two parking spaces; Owned parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story layout; Fee simple ownership; Built before 1978
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Approximately 51–60 years old
- Exterior features: Lot less than 0.25 acre; Lot dimensions listed as 7006; Asphalt driveway; Off-street parking
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (15 x 13); Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level (13 x 13) with blinds; Bedroom 2 on main level (9 x 13) with blinds; Bedroom 3 on main level (9 x 9) with blinds
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring throughout main living areas and bedrooms
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Five total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room (5 x 7)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $698 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $180k).
- Recommended offer: $169k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 9.0% in Hazel Crest — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#229 in IL, #4,242 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Bremen Chsd 228 (suburban): math 15% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #468 of 620 in IL (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Hillcrest High School (math 4% / reading 4%, grade F, #657 of 693 statewide, top 95%, 1,314 students, 0% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 4% at this address vs 16% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Bremen Chsd 228 average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($169k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.47% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.62%
- DSCR
- 1.74
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $171,840
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17304 Peach Grov Ave | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (0%) | 7mo | $143,500 | $149 | 91 |
| 3704 Tamarind Ln | 0.06mi | 3/1.5 | 1,066 (+11%) | 1mo | $189,000 | $177 | 76 |
| 3617 Coventry Ct | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,064 (+11%) | 1mo | $240,000 | $226 | 66 |
| 3800 171st St | 0.24mi | 3/1.5 | 1,066 (+11%) | 5mo | $280,000 | $263 | 64 |
| 3618 Peach Grove Ln | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 | 1,092 (+14%) | 5mo | $175,000 | $160 | 64 |
| 4050 Russet Way | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,058 (+10%) | 1mo | $259,000 | $245 | 63 |
| 17137 Coventry Ln | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,095 (+14%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $137 | 56 |
| 17620 Winston Dr | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 1,091 (+14%) | 3mo | $195,000 | $179 | 55 |
| 16843 Briargate Dr | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 | 1,072 (+12%) | 2mo | $135,000 | $126 | 49 |
| 17801 Yale Ln | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 | 1,040 (+8%) | 3mo | $206,000 | $198 | 48 |
| 3324 Laurel Ln | 0.66mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,056 (+10%) | 4mo | $188,700 | $179 | 42 |
| 3318 Tulip Dr | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 | 1,093 (+14%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $206 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.31×
- Total profit
- $15,418
- Equity at exit
- $26,824
- IRR
- 17.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.41×
- Total profit
- $71,176
- Equity at exit
- $15,554
Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60429
- Home prices YoY
- -14.0%
- Active inventory
- 79
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,642 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax from tax record
- −$371 /mo · $4,449/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$555
- Net cashflow
- $698
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $800 | -5% $749 | +0% $698 | +5% $647 | +10% $596 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $489 | -5% $593 | +0% $698 | +5% $802 | +10% $906 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $788 | -0.5pp $744 | base $698 | +0.5pp $651 | +1.0pp $604 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,975
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17306 Peach Grove Ln Hazel Crest, IL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1034 | $2,700 | $2.61 | 0d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 3501 177th St Country Club Hills, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 839 | $2,850 | $3.40 | 0d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 17984 Amherst Ct Country Club Hills, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,900 | $1.90 | 0d | 1 | 0.86mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $179,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $179,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $179,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $179,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $179,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $179,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $179,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $179,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $179,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $179,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-03pricedays on market $179,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $189,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $189,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $189,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-05-05status Active
-
2026-04-28historical Contingent - Continue to Show
-
2026-03-28$189,900 Active
-
2024-04-16historical
-
2024-04-16Temporarily No Showings
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,449 · $371/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,449 · $371/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,699
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$4,449
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,536
- − Management
- −$2,536
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable income
- $5,968
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,432
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,941/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bremen Chsd 228
- NCES district ID
- 1707050
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,625
- Composite
- 15.32/100
- National rank
- #9327
- State rank
- #468 of 620 in IL
Livability — Hazel Crest
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #229
- US rank
- #4242
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hazel Crest, IL
- City population
- 14,602
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,602
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 83% White 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -46.04%
- Current HPI
- 282.3552
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-28 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-28 Listed $189,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-04-16 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-04-16 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2023): $4,449 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…