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519 W Chestnut St
D Composite 42.05
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$30,000

519 W Chestnut St · Mason City, IL 62664
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,850 sqft · Other · 146 Days on market
Built 1900 9,375 sqft lot $16/sqft · 69% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor opportunity! This 4BR, 1BA home in Mason City is being sold AS-IS and is aggressively priced to reflect its potential. The roof is in good condition, and the property offers solid bones and a manageable footprint. Ideal for investors, flippers, or buyers seeking a value-add project. Quiet location with convenient access to town. Cash or conventional financing only; seller will make no repairs. Priced to move — bring your vision!

Key facts

  • Solid bones
  • Good condition roof
  • Convenient access

Tags

GOOD CONDITION ROOFSOLID BONESMANAGEABLE FOOTPRINTQUIET LOCATIONCONVENIENT ACCESS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $30k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $777 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
  • Recommended offer: $26k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#620 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Illini Central CUSD 189 (rural): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #514 of 620 in IL (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 7 units permitted in Mason County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $900 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mason County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 146 days — a 12% lower offer ($26k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $18k; list at $30k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.1% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $26,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 146 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.43%
Cap rate
37.38%
Cash-on-cash
111.04%
DSCR
5.94
GRM
1.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$96,284
List price
$30,000
Delta
-68.84%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
6.32×
Total profit
$44,702
Equity at exit
$4,473
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
13.25×
Total profit
$102,913
Equity at exit
$2,594

Cash invested: $8,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62664

Home prices YoY
-13.9%
Active inventory
12
Price-to-rent
1.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,329 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$157
Tax from tax record
$103 /mo · $1,230/yr
Insurance
$12
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$279
Net cashflow
$777

Break-even live

Break-even rent $345
Max offer price $30,000
Occupancy floor 36%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $794 -5% $786 +0% $777 +5% $769 +10% $760
Rent -10% $672 -5% $725 +0% $777 +5% $830 +10% $882
Rate -1.0pp $792 -0.5pp $785 base $777 +0.5pp $769 +1.0pp $762

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,500
Closing costs
$900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $30,000 Active 146 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $30,000 Active 144 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $30,000 Active 143 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $30,000 Active 142 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $30,000 Active 141 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $30,000 Active 139 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $30,000 Active 138 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $30,000 Active 135 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $30,000 Active 134 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $30,000 Active 133 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $30,000 Active 132 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $30,000 Active 129 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $30,000 Active 128 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $30,000 Active 127 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $30,000 Active 126 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $30,000 Active 125 DOM
  17. 2026-05-08
    price $30,000 447-char remark
    Show marketing remark (447 chars)

    Investor opportunity! This 4BR, 1BA home in Mason City is being sold AS-IS and is aggressively priced to reflect its potential. The roof is in good condition, and the property offers solid bones and a manageable footprint. Ideal for investors, flippers, or buyers seeking a value-add project. Quiet location with convenient access to town. Cash or conventional financing only; seller will make no repairs. Priced to move — bring your vision!

  18. 2026-03-05
    price $35,000 447-char remark
    Show marketing remark (447 chars)

    Investor opportunity! This 4BR, 1BA home in Mason City is being sold AS-IS and is aggressively priced to reflect its potential. The roof is in good condition, and the property offers solid bones and a manageable footprint. Ideal for investors, flippers, or buyers seeking a value-add project. Quiet location with convenient access to town. Cash or conventional financing only; seller will make no repairs. Priced to move — bring your vision!

  19. 2026-01-25
    listed $40,000 Active 447-char remark
    Show marketing remark (447 chars)

    Investor opportunity! This 4BR, 1BA home in Mason City is being sold AS-IS and is aggressively priced to reflect its potential. The roof is in good condition, and the property offers solid bones and a manageable footprint. Ideal for investors, flippers, or buyers seeking a value-add project. Quiet location with convenient access to town. Cash or conventional financing only; seller will make no repairs. Priced to move — bring your vision!

  20. 2026-01-01
    historical
  21. 2025-12-11
    price
  22. 2025-10-22
    price
  23. 2025-10-03
    price
  24. 2025-10-03
    listed Active
  25. 2014-01-31
    soldstatus $18,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,230 · $103/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,230 · $103/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 69% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,943
− Mortgage interest
−$1,680
− Property taxes
−$1,230
− Insurance
−$150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,275
− Management
−$1,275
− Depreciation
−$873
Taxable income
$9,459
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,270
After-tax cash flow
$7,057/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Illini Central CUSD 189
NCES district ID
1700113
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -18.00%
Median HH income
$46,086
Composite
12.95/100
National rank
#9574
State rank
#514 of 620 in IL

Livability — Mason City

Score
65/100
State rank
#620
US rank
#12714

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mason City, IL
Population (ZIP)
2,848

Population outlook (Mason County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
12,087 people
By 2030
11,283 · -6.7%
By 2040
9,766 · -19.2%
By 2050
8,421 · -30.3%
By 2075
5,785 · -52.1%
By 2100
3,888 · -67.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (97%)
Race & ethnicity
White 97% Two or more races 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Italian 2%
Languages at home
98% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mason

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.2) · D 27.8% · R 70.1% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
-48.1pp toward R · 2008: 5.9pp · 2024: -42.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.2 2020: R+39.5 2016: R+31.8 2012: R+6.3 2008: D+5.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -18.38%
Current HPI
114.2568
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+66.7% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $30,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-05 Price Changed $35,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-25 Listed $40,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-01 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-11 Price Changed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-22 Price Changed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-03 Price Changed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-03 Listed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-01-31 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-4.8%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,230 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…