9376 Knights Way · Brecksville, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +11.4/30.0
- Schools +7.5/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- DSCR +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$399,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Open Airy Colonial * Sec. System * Park Like Setting * 3/4 Acre Lot * Small Bar Area Off Family Room * Must See To Appreciate * Motivated Seller.
Key facts
- Small deck
- Curved staircase
- Wet bar
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $400k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-142 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $375k (6.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $350k (12.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $350k (12.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 2.8% in Brecksville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#183 in OH, #2,852 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Brecksville-Broadview Heights City (suburban): math 85% / reading 85% proficiency, ranked #23 of 656 in OH (top 4%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Brecksville-Broadview Heights Middle School (math 86% / reading 86%, grade A+, #13 of 654 statewide, top 2%, 796 students, 10% FRL); Brecksville-Broadview Heights High School (math 76% / reading 83%, grade A-, #35 of 781 statewide, top 6%, 1,232 students, 10% FRL) — zoned schools at 10% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 98 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,441 units permitted in Cuyahoga County in 2024 (700 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($127k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cuyahoga County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($394k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 36y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $192k; list at $400k implies a 108% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.53%
- DSCR
- 0.93
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $573,104
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6567 Queens Way | 0.29mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,993 (+2%) | 10mo | $420,000 | $140 | 67 |
| 9451 Sherwood Trl | 0.23mi | 3/3.5 | 2,730 (-7%) | 24mo | $535,000 | $196 | 55 |
| 6742 Oakes Rd | 0.48mi | 3/4.0 | 2,583 (-12%) | 21mo | $415,000 | $161 | 35 |
| 9601 Highland Dr | 0.49mi | 4/4.0 (+1) | 3,162 (+8%) | 21mo | $900,000 | $285 | 35 |
| 6628 Westview Dr | 0.68mi | 3/2.5 | 3,198 (+9%) | 22mo | $638,000 | $199 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.34×
- Total profit
- $-73,727
- Equity at exit
- $59,626
- IRR
- -11.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.33×
- Total profit
- $-75,302
- Equity at exit
- $34,576
Cash invested: $111,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44141
- Active inventory
- 98
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,500 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,097
- Tax from tax record
- −$644 /mo · $7,723/yr
- Insurance
- −$167
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$735
- Net cashflow
- $-142
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $84 | -5% $-29 | +0% $-142 | +5% $-256 | +10% $-369 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-419 | -5% $-281 | +0% $-142 | +5% $-4 | +10% $134 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $59 | -0.5pp $-41 | base $-142 | +0.5pp $-246 | +1.0pp $-351 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $99,975
- Closing costs
- $11,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6803 Cranbrook Dr Brecksville, OH | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2304 | $3,500 | $1.52 | 13d | 1 | 0.71mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-10status $399,900 Pending 22 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $399,900 Contingent 22 DOM
-
2026-06-08statusdays on market $399,900 Contingent 21 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $399,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-04-30status Pending
-
2026-04-20historical Contingent
-
2026-04-10$399,900 Active
-
1992-05-11soldstatus $192,500 146-char remark
Show marketing remark (146 chars)
Open Airy Colonial * Sec. System * Park Like Setting * 3/4 Acre Lot * Small Bar Area Off Family Room * Must See To Appreciate * Motivated Seller.
-
1992-05-08soldstatus $192,500
-
1992-05-08soldstatus $192,500
-
1992-04-08$199,900 146-char remark
Show marketing remark (146 chars)
Open Airy Colonial * Sec. System * Park Like Setting * 3/4 Acre Lot * Small Bar Area Off Family Room * Must See To Appreciate * Motivated Seller.
-
1992-04-07historical
-
1992-02-07$199,900
-
1992-02-07historical
-
1991-11-09$199,900
-
1991-11-08historical
-
1990-11-27$199,900
-
1986-04-14soldstatus $166,500
-
1982-02-03soldstatus $141,400
-
1981-07-10soldstatus $122,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $7,723 · $644/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,723 · $644/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $42,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,401
- − Property taxes
- −$7,723
- − Insurance
- −$2,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,360
- − Management
- −$3,360
- − Depreciation
- −$11,633
- Taxable loss
- −$8,477
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,034
- After-tax cash flow
- $326/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brecksville-Broadview Heights City
- NCES district ID
- 3904364
- Math proficiency
- 85% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 85% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $81,033
- Composite
- 74.78/100
- National rank
- #149
- State rank
- #23 of 656 in OH
Livability — Brecksville
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #183
- US rank
- #2852
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Brecksville, OH
- County
- Cuyahoga · 1,045,444 people
- City population
- 13,954
- Metro
- Cleveland, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,954
- Household income
- $127,347
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7.6
Population outlook (Cuyahoga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,244,621 people
- By 2030
- 1,230,093 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 1,189,108 · -4.5%
- By 2050
- 1,145,706 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 1,076,557 · -13.5%
- By 2100
- 978,987 · -21.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Two or more races 7% Asian 5% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 17% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cuyahoga
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+31.5) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 38.9pp · 2024: 31.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+31.5 2020: D+34.1 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+38.7 2008: D+38.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -147.81%
- Current HPI
- 196.4397
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+226.4% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2026-04-20 Contingent — MLSNOW
- 2026-04-10 Listed $399,900 MLSNOW
- 1992-05-11 Sold (MLS) $192,500 MLSNOW
- 1992-05-08 Sold (Public Records) $192,500 Public Records
- 1992-05-08 Sold (Public Records) $192,500 Public Records
- 1992-04-08 Listed $199,900 MLSNOW
- 1992-04-07 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 1992-02-07 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 1992-02-07 Listed $199,900 MLSNOW
- 1991-11-09 Listed $199,900 MLSNOW
- 1991-11-08 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 1990-11-27 Listed $199,900 MLSNOW
- 1986-04-14 Sold (Public Records) $166,500 Public Records
- 1982-02-03 Sold (Public Records) $141,400 Public Records
- 1981-07-10 Sold (Public Records) $122,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2025): $7,723 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…