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2003 Bailie Ave
B- Composite 67.89
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +8.0/15.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$64,999

2003 Bailie Ave · McKeesport, PA 15132
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,320 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 133 Days on market
Built 1927 2,940 sqft lot $49/sqft · at area comps Est $66k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 2003 Bailie Ave! Situated in the heart of Mckeesport!This property is perfect for a small to moderate sized family. Conveniently located near local shopping, public transit and dining, this property has much to offer! With easy access to anywhere in the city, this property is perfect for a RENTAL, an INVESTOR or a first time home buyer who wants a blank canvas to put in the effort to create the house of their dreams. Main Floor has Original charm newer boiler and lots of future flexible uses for this home. Sold As-is

Key facts

  • Near local shopping
  • Public transit
  • Newer boiler

Tags

NEAR LOCAL SHOPPINGPUBLIC TRANSITORIGINAL CHARMNEWER BOILER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $551 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.5% vs local median 10.3% in McKeesport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#1,089 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, health & safety D, crime F.
  • Mckeesport Area SD (suburban): math 11% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #499 of 539 in PA (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 113 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 133 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $16k; list at $65k implies a 306% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $57,199 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 133 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.95%
Cap rate
16.47%
Cash-on-cash
36.33%
DSCR
2.62
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$65,735
List price
$64,999
Delta
-1.12%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1256 Ravine St 0.14mi 3/1.5 1,288 (-2%) 8mo $85,000 $66 81
1807 Packer 0.27mi 3/1.5 1,288 (-2%) 10mo $49,000 $38 73
1310 Pirl St 0.43mi 3/1.0 1,270 (-4%) 7mo $55,000 $43 68
901 Union Ave 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,375 (+4%) 10mo $89,900 $65 65
2817 Jenny Lind St 0.46mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,232 (-7%) 2mo $51,033 $41 61
3021 Myer Blvd 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,296 (-2%) 7mo $118,000 $91 60
1819 Scott St 0.33mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,450 (+10%) 6mo $103,000 $71 58
1216 Soles St 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,472 (+12%) 10mo $100,000 $68 58
322 27th St 0.62mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,312 (-1%) 6mo $52,800 $40 56
2310 Jenny Lind St 0.28mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,479 (+12%) 8mo $20,000 $14 55
1217 Scott St 0.30mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,500 (+14%) 6mo $55,000 $37 53
3206 Grover St 0.60mi 3/1.0 1,430 (+8%) 8mo $30,000 $21 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
32.1%
Equity multiple
2.35×
Total profit
$24,582
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
39.2%
Equity multiple
4.66×
Total profit
$66,674
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15132

Home prices YoY
-32.9%
Active inventory
113
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,266 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax est. 1.5%
$81 /mo · $975/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$266
Net cashflow
$551

Break-even live

Break-even rent $569
Max offer price $64,999
Occupancy floor 51%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $596 -5% $573 +0% $551 +5% $529 +10% $506
Rent -10% $451 -5% $501 +0% $551 +5% $601 +10% $651
Rate -1.0pp $584 -0.5pp $568 base $551 +0.5pp $534 +1.0pp $517

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 18 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1217 Scott St McKeesport, PA 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,165 $0.78 44d 1 0.30mi
2807 Beaver St McKeesport, PA 4.0 2.0 1700 $1,200 $0.71 44d 1 0.36mi
1451 Jenny Lind St McKeesport, PA 3.0 1.5 1408 $1,150 $0.82 24d 1 0.37mi
1507 Carnegie Ave McKeesport, PA 3.0 1.5 1600 $1,699 $1.06 15d 1 0.37mi
311-313 24th St McKeesport, PA 2.0 1.0 950 $900 $0.95 44d 1 0.45mi
1506 Freemont St McKeesport, PA 3.0 2.0 1250 $1,295 $1.04 24d 1 0.45mi
1114-1116 Ohio St Unit 2R McKeesport, PA 2.0 1.0 878 $850 $0.97 17d 1 0.61mi
604 Shaw Ave McKeesport, PA 2.0 1.0–1.5 800 $900 $1.12 13d 3 0.67mi
604 Shaw Ave Unit 101 McKeesport, PA 2.0 1.5 1050 $900 $0.86 15d 1 0.67mi
2408 McCarrell St McKeesport, PA 4.0 1.0 1430 $1,195 $0.84 24d 1 0.73mi
3506 Mayfair St Unit B McKeesport, PA 2.0 1.0 948 $1,200 $1.27 44d 1 0.81mi
3710 Mayfair St McKeesport, PA 3.0 1.5 1314 $1,095 $0.83 3d 1 0.90mi
3211 Walnut St McKeesport, PA 4.0 1.0 1434 $1,500 $1.05 8d 1 0.93mi
306 Laredo St McKeesport, PA 2.0 1.0 928 $995 $1.07 44d 1 0.96mi
1805 Gray St McKeesport, PA 3.0 1.0 1136 $1,600 $1.41 2d 1 1.02mi
2212 Cronemeyer St McKeesport, PA 3.0 1.0 1720 $1,375 $0.80 44d 1 1.12mi
1108 Prescott St White Oak, PA 2.0 1.0 945 $1,200 $1.27 13d 1 1.33mi
1318 Maryland Ave West Mifflin, PA 3.0 1.0 1408 $1,695 $1.20 44d 1 1.37mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $64,999 Active 133 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $64,999 Active 132 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $64,999 Active 131 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $64,999 Active 130 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $64,999 Active 128 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $64,999 Active 127 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $64,999 Active 124 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $64,999 Active 123 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $64,999 Active 122 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $64,999 Active 118 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $64,999 Active 117 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $64,999 Active 116 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $64,999 Active 115 DOM
  14. 2026-02-05
    listed $64,999 Active 533-char remark
    Show marketing remark (533 chars)

    Welcome to 2003 Bailie Ave! Situated in the heart of Mckeesport!This property is perfect for a small to moderate sized family. Conveniently located near local shopping, public transit and dining, this property has much to offer! With easy access to anywhere in the city, this property is perfect for a RENTAL, an INVESTOR or a first time home buyer who wants a blank canvas to put in the effort to create the house of their dreams. Main Floor has Original charm newer boiler and lots of future flexible uses for this home. Sold As-is

  15. 2026-01-29
    historical Expired 533-char remark
    Show marketing remark (533 chars)

    Welcome to 2003 Bailie Ave! Situated in the heart of Mckeesport!This property is perfect for a small to moderate sized family. Conveniently located near local shopping, public transit and dining, this property has much to offer! With easy access to anywhere in the city, this property is perfect for a RENTAL, an INVESTOR or a first time home buyer who wants a blank canvas to put in the effort to create the house of their dreams. Main Floor has Original charm newer boiler and lots of future flexible uses for this home. Sold As-is

  16. 2025-06-13
    status Active 533-char remark
    Show marketing remark (533 chars)

    Welcome to 2003 Bailie Ave! Situated in the heart of Mckeesport!This property is perfect for a small to moderate sized family. Conveniently located near local shopping, public transit and dining, this property has much to offer! With easy access to anywhere in the city, this property is perfect for a RENTAL, an INVESTOR or a first time home buyer who wants a blank canvas to put in the effort to create the house of their dreams. Main Floor has Original charm newer boiler and lots of future flexible uses for this home. Sold As-is

  17. 2025-05-26
    historical Contingent 533-char remark
    Show marketing remark (533 chars)

    Welcome to 2003 Bailie Ave! Situated in the heart of Mckeesport!This property is perfect for a small to moderate sized family. Conveniently located near local shopping, public transit and dining, this property has much to offer! With easy access to anywhere in the city, this property is perfect for a RENTAL, an INVESTOR or a first time home buyer who wants a blank canvas to put in the effort to create the house of their dreams. Main Floor has Original charm newer boiler and lots of future flexible uses for this home. Sold As-is

  18. 2025-03-05
    status Active 533-char remark
    Show marketing remark (533 chars)

    Welcome to 2003 Bailie Ave! Situated in the heart of Mckeesport!This property is perfect for a small to moderate sized family. Conveniently located near local shopping, public transit and dining, this property has much to offer! With easy access to anywhere in the city, this property is perfect for a RENTAL, an INVESTOR or a first time home buyer who wants a blank canvas to put in the effort to create the house of their dreams. Main Floor has Original charm newer boiler and lots of future flexible uses for this home. Sold As-is

  19. 2025-02-17
    historical Contingent 533-char remark
    Show marketing remark (533 chars)

    Welcome to 2003 Bailie Ave! Situated in the heart of Mckeesport!This property is perfect for a small to moderate sized family. Conveniently located near local shopping, public transit and dining, this property has much to offer! With easy access to anywhere in the city, this property is perfect for a RENTAL, an INVESTOR or a first time home buyer who wants a blank canvas to put in the effort to create the house of their dreams. Main Floor has Original charm newer boiler and lots of future flexible uses for this home. Sold As-is

  20. 2025-01-30
    listed $64,999 Active 533-char remark
    Show marketing remark (533 chars)

    Welcome to 2003 Bailie Ave! Situated in the heart of Mckeesport!This property is perfect for a small to moderate sized family. Conveniently located near local shopping, public transit and dining, this property has much to offer! With easy access to anywhere in the city, this property is perfect for a RENTAL, an INVESTOR or a first time home buyer who wants a blank canvas to put in the effort to create the house of their dreams. Main Floor has Original charm newer boiler and lots of future flexible uses for this home. Sold As-is

  21. 1993-05-13
    soldstatus $16,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,193
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$975
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,215
− Management
−$1,215
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$5,931
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,423
After-tax cash flow
$5,189/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mckeesport Area SD
NCES district ID
4214940
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$33,779
Composite
15.88/100
National rank
#9257
State rank
#499 of 539 in PA

Livability — McKeesport

Score
66/100
State rank
#1089
US rank
#12321

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
McKeesport, PA
County
Allegheny County · 1,022,028 people
City population
25,010
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
Population (ZIP)
18,898
Household income
$35,397
Rent vs Own
49.0% rent · 51.0% own
Severe rent burden
1239.0

Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,250,282 people
By 2030
1,256,482 · +0.5%
By 2040
1,256,318 · +0.5%
By 2050
1,244,169 · -0.5%
By 2075
1,197,693 · -4.2%
By 2100
1,093,187 · -12.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Black 35% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Serbian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
2008→2024 swing
+4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -71.01%
Current HPI
145.195
Rent YoY
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+306.2% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-05 Listed $64,999 West Penn MLS
  • 2026-01-29 Delisted West Penn MLS
  • 2025-06-13 Relisted West Penn MLS
  • 2025-05-26 Contingent West Penn MLS
  • 2025-03-05 Relisted West Penn MLS
  • 2025-02-17 Contingent West Penn MLS
  • 2025-01-30 Listed $64,999 West Penn MLS
  • 1993-05-13 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…