752 N 26th St · Paducah, KY
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.9/30.0
- DSCR +5.9/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Multiple offers - over asking price.
Key facts
- Covered porches
- Utility area
- Fenced in backyard
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Security: Security system
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Covered patio
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Cooktop; Microwave
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Dryer; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $133 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $115k (11.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $115k (11.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 4.5% in Paducah — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#197 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D, amenities F.
- Paducah Independent (town): math 22% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #122 of 165 in KY (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Mcnabb Elementary School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #630 of 676 statewide, top 95%, 322 students, 91% FRL); Paducah Middle School (math 19% / reading 36%, grade F, #168 of 217 statewide, top 78%, 652 students, 69% FRL); Paducah Tilghman High School (math 22% / reading 42%, grade F, #97 of 254 statewide, top 46%, 878 students, 64% FRL).
- Market conditions: 252 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 187 units permitted in McCracken County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- McCracken County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.38%
- DSCR
- 1.19
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $91,728
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 706 N 23rd St | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 | 1,006 (-0%) | 3mo | $28,000 | $28 | 87 |
| 806 H C Mathis Dr | 0.08mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 978 (-3%) | 2mo | $87,000 | $89 | 84 |
| 733 N 26th St | 0.05mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 952 (-6%) | 1mo | $106,000 | $111 | 83 |
| 752 H C Mathis Dr | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 960 (-5%) | 1mo | $51,000 | $53 | 83 |
| 725 N 24th St | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,082 (+7%) | 3mo | $120,000 | $111 | 75 |
| 906 N 26th St | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (-14%) | 0mo | $78,000 | $90 | 70 |
| 915 N 25th St | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (-14%) | 4mo | $105,000 | $122 | 66 |
| 1407 North 12th St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,014 (+1%) | 1mo | $92,500 | $91 | 65 |
| 820 N 23rd St | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,158 (+15%) | 4mo | $105,000 | $91 | 57 |
| 1920 Harrison St | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,100 (+9%) | 3mo | $19,900 | $18 | 53 |
| 2104 Harrison St | 0.48mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,145 (+14%) | 3mo | $218,500 | $191 | 43 |
| 1626 Park Ave | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,142 (+13%) | 3mo | $230,000 | $201 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-12,659
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- -0.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-367
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42001
- Home prices YoY
- -24.8%
- Active inventory
- 252
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,145 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$36 /mo · $430/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$240
- Net cashflow
- $133
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $207 | -5% $170 | +0% $133 | +5% $96 | +10% $59 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $42 | -5% $88 | +0% $133 | +5% $178 | +10% $223 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $198 | -0.5pp $166 | base $133 | +0.5pp $99 | +1.0pp $65 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2741 Trimble St Unit 27195 Paducah, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $725 | $0.85 | 45d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 2991 Clay St Unit 06 Paducah, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 974 | $715 | $0.73 | 45d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2967 Harrison St Paducah, KY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $915 | $1.26 | 45d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1900 Jefferson St Paducah, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,400 | $1.75 | 45d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1643 Monroe St Apt A Paducah, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1127 | $1,250 | $1.11 | 45d | 1 | 0.81mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $130,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $130,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $130,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $130,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $130,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $130,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $130,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $130,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $130,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $130,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $130,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $130,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $130,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $130,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $130,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-29$130,000 Active
-
2024-03-22soldstatus $120,000
-
2024-03-21soldstatus $120,000 Closed 37-char remark
Show marketing remark (37 chars)
Multiple offers - over asking price.
-
2024-02-06$114,900 Active 37-char remark
Show marketing remark (37 chars)
Multiple offers - over asking price.
-
2017-08-18soldstatus $67,500 262-char remark
Show marketing remark (262 chars)
New heat & air, nice landscaping, blacktop driveway, new flooring, newer windows, newer gas water heater. Rooms are a nice color with updated fans & lighting, nice baseboards and crown molding, house is clean and neat. There is an alley in the back.
-
2017-07-07$69,900 262-char remark
Show marketing remark (262 chars)
New heat & air, nice landscaping, blacktop driveway, new flooring, newer windows, newer gas water heater. Rooms are a nice color with updated fans & lighting, nice baseboards and crown molding, house is clean and neat. There is an alley in the back.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $430 · $36/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,118 · $93/mo
- Expected delta
- +$688/yr (+$57/mo · 160.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,741
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$430
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,099
- − Management
- −$1,099
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable loss
- −$601
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$144
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,739/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Paducah Independent
- NCES district ID
- 2104650
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -17.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,067
- Composite
- 23.41/100
- National rank
- #7896
- State rank
- #122 of 165 in KY
Livability — Paducah
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #197
- US rank
- #9780
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Paducah, KY
- County
- McCracken County · 30,856 people
- City population
- 30,856
- Metro
- Paducah, KY-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,856
- Household income
- $71,365
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1001.0
Population outlook (McCracken County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 64,237 people
- By 2030
- 63,468 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 61,221 · -4.7%
- By 2050
- 58,432 · -9.0%
- By 2075
- 52,668 · -18.0%
- By 2100
- 44,517 · -30.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Black 13% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · McCracken
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.9) · D 31.9% · R 66.8% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.7pp toward R · 2008: -25.2pp · 2024: -34.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.9 2020: R+31.7 2016: R+37.2 2012: R+32.5 2008: R+25.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -85.23%
- Current HPI
- 258.1706
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Paducah, KY-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
+86.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $130,000 WKRMLS
- 2024-03-22 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
- 2024-03-21 Sold (MLS) $120,000 WKRMLS
- 2024-02-06 Listed $114,900 WKRMLS
- 2017-08-18 Sold (MLS) $67,500 WKRMLS
- 2017-07-07 Listed $69,900 WKRMLS
Property tax history
-6.4%/yrLatest (2025): $430 · +37.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…