12 Little John Ct · Elkton, MD
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 12 Little John Ct. , where space, comfort, and value come together. This beautifully maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers over 2,100 square feet of single level living, making it one of the largest homes in the community. The heart of the home is the updated kitchen, featuring modern finishes, abundant cabinet space, and an open layout that flows seamlessly into the main living areas. Perfect for entertaining or everyday family life. The flexible floor plan provides generous sized bedrooms, multiple gathering spaces, and room for a home office, playroom, or hobby area.
Key facts
- Flexible floor plan
- Open layout
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $110k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $108k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.9% vs local median 4.5% in Elkton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#261 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime F, commute F.
- Cecil County Public Schools (rural): math 15% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #15 of 24 in MD (top 62%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Elk Neck Elementary (math 22% / reading 12%, grade F, #408 of 860 statewide, top 50%, 404 students, 47% FRL); North East Middle (math 8% / reading 29%, grade F, #159 of 225 statewide, top 73%, 791 students, 54% FRL); North East High (math 32% / reading 78%, grade C, #88 of 222 statewide, top 40%, 1,069 students, 49% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 435 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 563 units permitted in Cecil County in 2024 (330 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($86k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 45.11%
- DSCR
- 3.01
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $262,956
- List price
- $109,900
- Delta
- -58.21%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65 Queen Eleanor Dr | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,080 (-2%) | 15mo | $65,000 | $31 | 75 |
| 1132 Nottingham Rd | 0.50mi | 4/2.5 | 2,000 (-6%) | 1mo | $490,000 | $245 | 64 |
| 15 Saint Michaels Ct | 0.05mi | 4/2.0 | 1,872 (-12%) | 20mo | $89,900 | $48 | 61 |
| 71 Hollis Cir | 0.34mi | 4/3.0 | 2,356 (+11%) | 20mo | $410,000 | $174 | 45 |
| 1001 Nottingham Rd | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,750 (-18%) | 8mo | $354,900 | $203 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.32% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 41.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.76×
- Total profit
- $54,257
- Equity at exit
- $16,386
- IRR
- 47.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.41×
- Total profit
- $135,594
- Equity at exit
- $9,502
Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 3 active · 5 under contract
- Months of supply
- 6.0 mo (17%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $415,000 ($193/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 85 d
- This list price
- 33% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -36.0% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 21921
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 435
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,426 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$576
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$137 /mo · $1,648/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$509
- Net cashflow
- $1,157
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,233 | -5% $1,195 | +0% $1,157 | +5% $1,119 | +10% $1,081 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $965 | -5% $1,061 | +0% $1,157 | +5% $1,253 | +10% $1,348 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,212 | -0.5pp $1,185 | base $1,157 | +0.5pp $1,128 | +1.0pp $1,099 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,475
- Closing costs
- $3,297
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Ownership interest: Ground rent (monthly amount specified separately)
- Financial info
- Ground rent exists and is paid monthly
Exterior
- Parking
- Driveway
- Utilities
- Electric hot waterCommunity waterCommunity septic tank
- Home design
- Manufactured home
- Construction
- Vinyl sidingCrawl space foundationAbove grade structures
- Exterior features
- No basementAbove-grade living area
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherElectric oven/rangeMicrowaveRefrigerator
- Bedrooms
- Four bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring
- Luxury vinyl plank
- Bathrooms
- Two full bathrooms on the main levelTwo full bathrooms total
- Heating & cooling
- Heat pump(s) heatingCentral air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features
- Open floor planEat-in kitchenGourmet kitchen featuresDining areaRecessed lightingDrywall walls and ceilings
- Laundry & utility
- WasherDryer
Listing history 34 events
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2026-08-20days on market $109,900 Active 28 DOM
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2026-08-19days on market $109,900 Active 27 DOM
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2026-08-18days on market $109,900 Active 26 DOM
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2026-08-17days on market $109,900 Active 25 DOM
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2026-08-16days on market $109,900 Active 24 DOM
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2026-08-15days on market $109,900 Active 23 DOM
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2026-08-14days on market $109,900 Active 22 DOM
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2026-08-13days on market $109,900 Active 21 DOM
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2026-08-12days on market $109,900 Active 20 DOM
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2026-08-11days on market $109,900 Active 19 DOM
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2026-08-10days on market $109,900 Active 18 DOM
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2026-08-09days on market $109,900 Active 17 DOM
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2026-08-08days on market $109,900 Active 16 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $109,900 Active 14 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $109,900 Active 13 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $109,900 Active 12 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $109,900 Active 11 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $109,900 Active 8 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $109,900 Active 7 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $109,900 Active 6 DOM
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2026-07-28days on market $109,900 Active 5 DOM
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2026-07-26days on market $109,900 Active 3 DOM
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2026-07-23remarks 699-char remark
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2026-07-23pricestatusdays on market $109,900 Active 1 DOM
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2026-06-07statusdays on market $110,000 Pending 38 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $110,000 Active 37 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $110,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $110,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $110,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-05-14status Active 583-char remark
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2026-04-19status Pending 583-char remark
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2026-04-03$110,000 Active 583-char remark
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2026-03-23historical $110,000 583-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,108
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,156
- − Property taxes
- −$1,648
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,329
- − Management
- −$2,329
- − Depreciation
- −$3,197
- Taxable income
- $12,900
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,096
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,786/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This spacious ranch-style manufactured home in Elkton, MD, offers comfortable, single-level living with recent updates and a large lot. The kitchen is the heart of the home and is in good condition, making it a great option for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior trim — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and home value. ↑
- Rental Clean gutters — Clean gutters improve drainage and reduce maintenance costs for tenants. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cecil County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400240
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,544
- Composite
- 21.51/100
- National rank
- #8322
- State rank
- #15 of 24 in MD
Livability — Elkton
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #261
- US rank
- #13293
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Cecil County · 105,877 people
- City population
- 45,527
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,527
- Household income
- $85,775
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 11% of renters
Population outlook (Cecil County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 105,877 people
- By 2030
- 106,905 · +1.0%
- By 2040
- 107,156 · +1.2%
- By 2050
- 104,170 · -1.6%
- By 2075
- 95,771 · -9.5%
- By 2100
- 82,381 · -22.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Black 9% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cecil
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+30.9) · D 33.5% · R 64.4% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.3pp toward R · 2008: -14.6pp · 2024: -30.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+30.9 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+35.3 2012: R+20.4 2008: R+14.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -192.67%
- Current HPI
- 253.7641
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.32%
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-0.1% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-07-23 Listed $109,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-06-05 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-06-05 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-14 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-19 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-03 Listed $110,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-23 Coming Soon — BRIGHT MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…