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12 Little John Ct
B- Composite 69.98
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

12 Little John Ct · Elkton, MD 21921
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,128 sqft · SingleFamily · 38 Days on market
Built 2004 Good condition $52/sqft · 58% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 12 Little John Ct in Elkton, a spacious ranch-style manufactured home offering comfortable, single-level living on one of the largest lots in the community. This 4-bedroom, 2-bath home stands out for its generous layout and recent updates, including a beautifully renovated kitchen that serves as the heart of the home, perfect for everyday living and entertaining alike. With ample living space and a flexible floor plan, there’s room for everyone to spread out and feel at home. Please note that the buyer must obtain park approval as part of the purchase process.

Key facts

  • Built 2004
  • Listed 38 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $110k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $107k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.8% vs local median 4.1% in Elkton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#261 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: schools F, crime F, commute F.
  • Cecil County Public Schools (rural): math 15% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #15 of 24 in MD (top 62%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 204 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 563 units permitted in Cecil County in 2024 (330 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($86k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $106,700 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.20%
Cap rate
18.84%
Cash-on-cash
44.80%
DSCR
2.99
GRM
3.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$262,189
List price
$110,000
Delta
-58.05%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
65 Queen Eleanor Dr 0.09mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,080 (-2%) 10mo $65,000 $31 78
15 Saint Michaels Ct 0.05mi 4/2.0 1,872 (-12%) 15mo $89,900 $48 65
71 Hollis Cir 0.34mi 4/3.0 2,356 (+11%) 16mo $410,000 $174 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.32% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
41.1%
Equity multiple
2.75×
Total profit
$53,807
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
47.0%
Equity multiple
5.37×
Total profit
$134,657
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

ZIP-level market 21921

Rents YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
204
Price-to-rent
3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,418 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax est. 1.5%
$138 /mo · $1,650/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$508
Net cashflow
$1,150

Break-even live

Break-even rent $962
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 47%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,226 -5% $1,188 +0% $1,150 +5% $1,112 +10% $1,074
Rent -10% $959 -5% $1,054 +0% $1,150 +5% $1,245 +10% $1,341
Rate -1.0pp $1,205 -0.5pp $1,178 base $1,150 +0.5pp $1,121 +1.0pp $1,092

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $110,000 Pending 38 DOM
  2. 2026-06-04
    days on market $110,000 Active 37 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $110,000 Active 36 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    days on market $110,000 Active 35 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $110,000 Active 34 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $110,000 Active 33 DOM
  7. 2026-05-14
    status Active 583-char remark
    Show marketing remark (583 chars)

    Welcome to 12 Little John Ct in Elkton, a spacious ranch-style manufactured home offering comfortable, single-level living on one of the largest lots in the community. This 4-bedroom, 2-bath home stands out for its generous layout and recent updates, including a beautifully renovated kitchen that serves as the heart of the home, perfect for everyday living and entertaining alike. With ample living space and a flexible floor plan, there’s room for everyone to spread out and feel at home. Please note that the buyer must obtain park approval as part of the purchase process.

  8. 2026-04-19
    status Pending 583-char remark
    Show marketing remark (583 chars)

    Welcome to 12 Little John Ct in Elkton, a spacious ranch-style manufactured home offering comfortable, single-level living on one of the largest lots in the community. This 4-bedroom, 2-bath home stands out for its generous layout and recent updates, including a beautifully renovated kitchen that serves as the heart of the home, perfect for everyday living and entertaining alike. With ample living space and a flexible floor plan, there’s room for everyone to spread out and feel at home. Please note that the buyer must obtain park approval as part of the purchase process.

  9. 2026-04-03
    listed $110,000 Active 583-char remark
    Show marketing remark (583 chars)

    Welcome to 12 Little John Ct in Elkton, a spacious ranch-style manufactured home offering comfortable, single-level living on one of the largest lots in the community. This 4-bedroom, 2-bath home stands out for its generous layout and recent updates, including a beautifully renovated kitchen that serves as the heart of the home, perfect for everyday living and entertaining alike. With ample living space and a flexible floor plan, there’s room for everyone to spread out and feel at home. Please note that the buyer must obtain park approval as part of the purchase process.

  10. 2026-03-23
    historical $110,000 583-char remark
    Show marketing remark (583 chars)

    Welcome to 12 Little John Ct in Elkton, a spacious ranch-style manufactured home offering comfortable, single-level living on one of the largest lots in the community. This 4-bedroom, 2-bath home stands out for its generous layout and recent updates, including a beautifully renovated kitchen that serves as the heart of the home, perfect for everyday living and entertaining alike. With ample living space and a flexible floor plan, there’s room for everyone to spread out and feel at home. Please note that the buyer must obtain park approval as part of the purchase process.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,014
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$1,650
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,321
− Management
−$2,321
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$12,810
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,074
After-tax cash flow
$10,724/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This spacious ranch-style manufactured home in Elkton, MD, offers comfortable, single-level living with recent updates and a large lot. The kitchen is the heart of the home and is in good condition, making it a great option for both resale and rental.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior trim — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and home value.
  • Rental Clean gutters — Clean gutters improve drainage and reduce maintenance costs for tenants.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint exterior trim — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and home value.
  • Rental Clean gutters — Clean gutters improve drainage and reduce maintenance costs for tenants.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cecil County Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400240
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$66,544
Composite
21.51/100
National rank
#8322
State rank
#15 of 24 in MD

Livability — Elkton

Score
65/100
State rank
#261
US rank
#13293

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute F Cost of living A Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Cecil County · 65,041 people
City population
45,527
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
45,527
Household income
$85,775
Rent vs Own
30.2% rent · 69.8% own
Severe rent burden
1438.0

Population outlook (Cecil County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
105,877 people
By 2030
106,905 · +1.0%
By 2040
107,156 · +1.2%
By 2050
104,170 · -1.6%
By 2075
95,771 · -9.5%
By 2100
82,381 · -22.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Black 9% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cecil

2024 margin
Solid R (+30.9) · D 33.5% · R 64.4% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
-16.3pp toward R · 2008: -14.6pp · 2024: -30.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+30.9 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+35.3 2012: R+20.4 2008: R+14.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -192.67%
Current HPI
253.7641
Rent YoY
▲ 2.32%
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-19 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-03 Listed $110,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-23 Coming Soon $110,000 BRIGHT MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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