CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
2023 Newark Ave
D Composite 41.29
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.6/30.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.2/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$145,000

2023 Newark Ave · Fayetteville, NC 28301
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,080 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 39 Days on market
Built 1957 9,583 sqft lot Est $135k · 7% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming and well-maintained 3-bedroom brick ranch in the established Broad Acres community. This home offers a functional floor plan with a spacious, level backyard, perfect for outdoor activities. Ideally situated for easy commutes, to Fort Liberty and conveniently close to Fayetteville State University. Whether you are looking for a primary residence or a solid investment opportunity, this location provides quick access to local shopping, dining, and downtown Fayetteville. Property is currently tenant-occupied and offers great potential.

Key facts

  • Level backyard
  • Brick ranch
  • 9,583 sq ft lot

Tags

BRICK RANCHLEVEL BACKYARDBROAD ACRES COMMUNITYQUICK ACCESS TO LOCAL SHOPPING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Level lot
  • Construction: Brick veneer construction; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Storage; Shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Range
  • Bedrooms: Total of 3 rooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Ceiling fan cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans
  • Laundry & utility: Washer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-6 ($-71/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $144k (0.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $131k (9.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $131k (9.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 4.8% in Fayetteville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#45 in NC, #4,031 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Cumberland County Schools (urban): math 32% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #126 of 178 in NC (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Luther Nick Jeralds Middle (math 13% / reading 24%, grade F, #436 of 475 statewide, top 93%, 616 students, 100% FRL); E E Smith High (math 42% / reading 41%, grade F, #381 of 535 statewide, top 72%, 1,004 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 55% district-wide (45 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 135 active listings in the ZIP; 39 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,125 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $130,826 (9.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
6.79%
Cash-on-cash
1.79%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$135,000
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
113 Jasper St 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,168 (+8%) 1mo $215,000 $184 78
1810 Murchison Rd 0.27mi 3/1.0 1,059 (-2%) 9mo $135,000 $127 76
2022 Newark Ave 0.03mi 3/1.0 972 (-10%) 11mo $75,000 $77 73
1087 Torrey Dr 0.48mi 3/1.5 1,115 (+3%) 3mo $156,000 $140 68
529 Spaulding St 0.49mi 3/1.0 1,029 (-5%) 11mo $129,000 $125 60
1100 Hood Ave 0.31mi 3/1.0 1,176 (+9%) 13mo $124,900 $106 60
2342 Lake Ave 0.72mi 3/1.5 1,066 (-1%) 8mo $86,000 $81 56
704 Wilma St 0.36mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,008 (-7%) 8mo $49,500 $49 56
1108 Henderson Ave 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,220 (+13%) 3mo $145,000 $119 55
745 Rustland Dr 0.69mi 3/1.5 1,014 (-6%) 1mo $110,500 $109 55
2313 Lake Ave 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,153 (+7%) 7mo $149,900 $130 53
1455 Bridger St 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,032 (-4%) 10mo $149,999 $145 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.49% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.0%
Equity multiple
0.43×
Total profit
$-23,184
Equity at exit
$21,620
10-year hold
IRR
-6.7%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-17,816
Equity at exit
$12,537

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28301

Home prices YoY
-12.5%
Rents YoY
3.5%
Active inventory
135
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,308 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$152 /mo · $1,826/yr
Insurance
$60
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$275
Net cashflow
$-6

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,316
Max offer price $143,950
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $76 -5% $35 +0% $-6 +5% $-47 +10% $-88
Rent -10% $-109 -5% $-58 +0% $-6 +5% $46 +10% $97
Rate -1.0pp $67 -0.5pp $31 base $-6 +0.5pp $-44 +1.0pp $-82

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 39 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1704 Newark Ave Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 1100 $850 $0.77 24d 1 0.38mi
1261 Thelbert Dr Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 768 $1,100 $1.43 15d 1 0.45mi
806 Lakeland St Fayetteville, NC 3.0 1.0 864 $1,400 $1.62 24d 1 0.70mi
1216 Superior Pointe Pl Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.5 1288 $1,450 $1.13 24d 1 0.88mi
1014 Enclave Dr Fayetteville, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1112 $1,685 $1.52 15d 19 0.93mi
733 Ashburton Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 1.5 1118 $1,300 $1.16 24d 1 0.97mi
1000 Ivy Rd Fayetteville, NC 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,400 $1.17 24d 1 1.07mi
715 Ashburton Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1278 $1,600 $1.25 24d 1 1.08mi
809 Cape Fear Ave Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 1225 $1,450 $1.18 22d 1 1.09mi
307 Hawthorne Rd Fayetteville, NC 3.0 1.0 886 $1,125 $1.27 15d 1 1.14mi
112 Quincy St Fayetteville, NC 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,320 $1.22 15d 1 1.18mi
2061 Osceola Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 1.0 928 $1,300 $1.40 24d 1 1.19mi
1156 Acorn St Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 800 $1,000 $1.25 24d 1 1.21mi
536 Pearl St Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 1101 $1,349 $1.23 15d 1 1.25mi
1000a Elm St Fayetteville, NC 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 675 $1,403 $2.08 15d 23 1.26mi
530 Pearl St Unit 1367379P Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1194 $3,577 $3.00 15d 1 1.28mi
3446 Sandystone Cir Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.5 1489 $1,700 $1.14 24d 1 1.32mi
2328 Barrington Cir Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,000 $0.95 22d 1 1.32mi
1608 Fayette Ave Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 900 $875 $0.97 15d 1 1.32mi
1608 Fayette Ave Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 900 $875 $0.97 24d 1 1.32mi
2326 Barrington Cir Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,200 $1.14 15d 1 1.32mi
2326 Barrington Cir Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,200 $1.14 24d 1 1.32mi
2310 Barrington Cir Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 24d 1 1.33mi
2105 Wexford Oaks Ct Fayetteville, NC 2.0 2.0 988 $1,500 $1.52 24d 1 1.33mi
282 Windsor Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 1.0 855 $1,000 $1.17 24d 1 1.34mi
600 Glenville Ave Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.5 1105 $1,295 $1.17 15d 1 1.34mi
1228 Woodland Dr Unit 1 Fayetteville, NC 2.0 2.0 1465 $1,595 $1.09 15d 1 1.36mi
110 Facility Dr #2015 Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 700 $995 $1.42 24d 1 1.37mi
633 Elk Ct Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.5 1000 $1,000 $1.00 24d 1 1.37mi
2015 Blake St Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 700 $995 $1.42 24d 1 1.37mi
2436 Bragg Blvd Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 24d 1 1.39mi
2436 Bragg Blvd Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 15d 1 1.39mi
620 Forest Rd Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 1000 $975 $0.97 24d 2 1.39mi
2434 Bragg Blvd Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 24d 1 1.39mi
1847 Blake St Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 900 $990 $1.10 24d 1 1.40mi
1847 Blake St Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 900 $990 $1.10 15d 1 1.40mi
2109 Elvira St Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 860 $1,117 $1.30 15d 1 1.42mi
122 Kensington Cir Fayetteville, NC 3.0 1.0 856 $1,250 $1.46 24d 1 1.45mi
113 Mullins Ave Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,025 $1.02 24d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $145,000 Pending 39 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $145,000 Active 37 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $145,000 Active 36 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $145,000 Active 35 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $145,000 Active 34 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $145,000 Active 30 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $145,000 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $145,000 Active 28 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $145,000 Active 27 DOM
  10. 2026-05-30
    days on market $145,000 Active 26 DOM
  11. 2026-05-04
    listed $145,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,826 · $152/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,826 · $152/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 96% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 7/10 Severe 78% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,699
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$1,826
− Insurance
−$1,522
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,256
− Management
−$1,256
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable loss
−$2,502
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$600
After-tax cash flow
$529/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cumberland County Schools
NCES district ID
3700011
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,168
Composite
31.0/100
National rank
#6096
State rank
#126 of 178 in NC

Livability — Fayetteville

Score
75/100
State rank
#45
US rank
#4031

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fayetteville, NC
County
Cumberland County · 265,314 people
City population
226,118
Metro
Fayetteville, NC
Population (ZIP)
16,798
Household income
$39,198
Rent vs Own
64.7% rent · 35.3% own
Severe rent burden
1389.0

Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
330,855 people
By 2030
333,523 · +0.8%
By 2040
335,583 · +1.4%
By 2050
335,325 · +1.4%
By 2075
342,853 · +3.6%
By 2100
340,698 · +3.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (68%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 68% White 19% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland

2024 margin
D (+13.4) · D 56.1% · R 42.7% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-4.3pp toward R · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 13.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.4 2020: D+16.6 2016: D+16.0 2012: D+19.7 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -37.92%
Current HPI
265.98
Rent YoY
▲ 3.49%
Metro
Fayetteville, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $145,000 LPRMLS

Property tax history

+8.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,826 · +49.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…