204 Elaine Ave · Burns Flat, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.6/30.0
- DSCR +8.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Appreciation +5.6/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$114,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This attractive brick home in the Bryan Acres addition of Burns Flat, OK, offers a perfect blend of space and potential, It features three bedrooms, two large living areas one featuring a wood burning Stove, Recent Tiled flooring installed 2024 and French doors. 2nd Living room has Tall Vaulted ceilings with Beams spacious enough for all your entertaining. Kitchen is complimented with a Breakfast bar, tiled countertops, lots of cabinets for storage and Stainless steel appliance whcih include a fridge and dishwasher. Large dining area with parquet flooring. Primary bedroom has lots of windows and a private bathroom with a stand alone shower. Linen cabinet in Hall. Laundry area includes a con
Key facts
- Open concrete patio
- Tiled flooring
- Large backyard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property status: Existing; Homestead: No; Storm shelter: No; Interior lot size approximately 0.2231 acres; Vacant and currently unoccupied; Living area reported as 2,024 (source: assessor)
- Financial info: Assumable: No
- HOA & community: No mandatory association dues
Exterior
- Parking: Concrete parking
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Entry level: One
- Construction: Brick and frame construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Interior lot; No additional exterior features listed
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central gas heating
- Interior features: One-level home; Living areas: 2; Dining area: 1; No dedicated study; Wood-burning fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $271 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#122 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Burns Flat-Dill City (rural): math 15% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #183 of 270 in OK (top 68%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Will Rogers Es (math 13% / reading 19%, grade F, #582 of 845 statewide, top 69%, 366 students, 0% FRL); Burns Flat-Dill City Hs (math 24% / reading 44%, grade F, #48 of 447 statewide, top 14%, 127 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 65% district-wide (65 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Washita County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($794 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.3% local appreciation)).
- Washita County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (1.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 331 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $68k; list at $115k implies a 70% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 331 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.10%
- DSCR
- 1.45
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $78,936
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 501 44 Hwy | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 2,064 (+2%) | 23mo | $79,900 | $39 | 59 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.26% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.65×
- Total profit
- $20,815
- Equity at exit
- $40,781
- IRR
- 15.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.98×
- Total profit
- $63,572
- Equity at exit
- $55,419
Cash invested: $32,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73647
- Home prices YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 14
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,233 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$53 /mo · $637/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$259
- Net cashflow
- $271
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $336 | -5% $303 | +0% $271 | +5% $238 | +10% $206 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $173 | -5% $222 | +0% $271 | +5% $319 | +10% $368 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $329 | -0.5pp $300 | base $271 | +0.5pp $241 | +1.0pp $211 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,725
- Closing costs
- $3,447
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $114,900 Active 331 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $114,900 Active 330 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $114,900 Active 329 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $114,900 Active 327 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $114,900 Active 326 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $114,900 Active 325 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $114,900 Active 324 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $114,900 Active 322 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $114,900 Active 321 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $114,900 Active 318 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $114,900 Active 317 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $114,900 Active 316 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $114,900 Active 314 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $114,900 Active 312 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $114,900 Active 311 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $114,900 Active 310 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $114,900 Active 309 DOM
-
2026-01-13price $114,900
-
2025-07-25$134,900 Active
-
2010-06-21soldstatus $67,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $637 · $53/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,034 · $86/mo
- Expected delta
- +$397/yr (+$33/mo · 62.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,798
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,436
- − Property taxes
- −$637
- − Insurance
- −$574
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,184
- − Management
- −$1,184
- − Depreciation
- −$3,343
- Taxable income
- $1,440
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$346
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,903/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Burns Flat-Dill City
- NCES district ID
- 4000014
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,907
- Composite
- 16.25/100
- National rank
- #9221
- State rank
- #183 of 270 in OK
Livability — Burns Flat
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #122
- US rank
- #12117
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Burns Flat, OK
- City population
- 1,968
- Population (ZIP)
- 691
Population outlook (Washita County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 12,143 people
- By 2030
- 12,276 · +1.1%
- By 2040
- 12,522 · +3.1%
- By 2050
- 12,740 · +4.9%
- By 2075
- 13,198 · +8.7%
- By 2100
- 13,189 · +8.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Serbian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washita
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+74.8) · D 11.8% · R 86.6% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.9pp toward R · 2008: -55.9pp · 2024: -74.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+74.8 2020: R+73.0 2016: R+70.5 2012: R+61.8 2008: R+55.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.26%
- Current HPI
- 168.3314
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+70.2% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-13 Price Changed $114,900 MLSOK
- 2025-07-25 Listed $134,900 MLSOK
- 2010-06-21 Sold (Public Records) $67,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.5%/yrLatest (2025): $637 · -1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…