1724 Mountain Bay Dr · Chattanooga, TN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$295,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2 story home needs work, with inground pool in desirable Hidden Harbor.
Key facts
- 0.6 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Community pool
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Subdivision: Hidden Harbor
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with an annual fee of $535; Community amenities include tennis courts and a pool
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener; 2 garage spaces; Kitchen-level parking
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Electricity connected; Cable connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels
- Construction: Brick and HardiPlank-type siding; Other construction materials; Block foundation; Shingle roof; Built on a sloped lot
- Exterior features: Deck; Patio; Privacy fencing; Community in-ground pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Down draft; Double oven; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 9
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central electric air conditioning
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Pantry; Walk-in closets; Aluminum-framed insulated windows; Wood-burning fireplace located in den/family room
- Laundry & utility: Crawl space foundation (basement details)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $295k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $325 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $273k (7.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $273k (7.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.4% in Chattanooga — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#3 in TN, #2,582 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
- Hamilton County (urban): math 31% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #42 of 139 in TN (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Mcconnell Elementary (math 46% / reading 40%, grade F, #187 of 952 statewide, top 20%, 457 students, 0% FRL); Loftis Middle School (math 48% / reading 37%, grade D-, #33 of 333 statewide, top 10%, 593 students, 0% FRL); Hixson High School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #104 of 332 statewide, top 33%, 935 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 52% district-wide (52 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 459 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,133 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (405 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hamilton County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.73%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $416,238
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1724 Mountain Bay Dr | 0.00mi | 4/2.5 | 2,500 (+4%) | 1mo | $295,000 | $118 | 93 |
| 1716 Mountain Bay Dr | 0.04mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,249 (-6%) | 3mo | $390,000 | $173 | 80 |
| 6577 Fairview Rd | 0.43mi | 4/2.5 | 2,430 (+1%) | 8mo | $529,000 | $218 | 72 |
| 1745 Hidden Harbor Rd | 0.34mi | 4/2.5 | 2,537 (+5%) | 24mo | $427,450 | $168 | 55 |
| 6416 Sea Haven Dr | 0.70mi | 3/3.5 (-1) | 2,339 (-3%) | 2mo | $435,000 | $186 | 52 |
| 1938 Rock Bluff Rd | 0.48mi | 4/3.0 | 2,520 (+5%) | 22mo | $345,000 | $137 | 49 |
| 6415 Lake Meadows Dr | 0.46mi | 4/2.5 | 2,068 (-14%) | 11mo | $390,000 | $189 | 46 |
| 6500 Shallowmar Ln | 0.49mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,550 (+6%) | 21mo | $352,775 | $138 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.41% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-28,779
- Equity at exit
- $43,985
- IRR
- -0.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-5,263
- Equity at exit
- $25,506
Cash invested: $82,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 37343
- Rents YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 459
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,731 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,547
- Tax from tax record
- −$117 /mo · $1,405/yr
- Insurance
- −$123
- HOA
- −$45
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$573
- Net cashflow
- $325
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $492 | -5% $409 | +0% $325 | +5% $242 | +10% $158 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $110 | -5% $217 | +0% $325 | +5% $433 | +10% $541 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $474 | -0.5pp $400 | base $325 | +0.5pp $249 | +1.0pp $171 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $73,750
- Closing costs
- $8,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6351 Sea Haven Dr Hixson, TN | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2386 | $3,050 | $1.28 | 24d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 7716 Canopy Cir Hixson, TN | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 2161 | $3,142 | $1.45 | 15d | 8 | 1.15mi |
| 1307 Greenbrook Ln Hixson, TN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1848 | $1,850 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 1.28mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $45 · $540/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-29soldstatus $295,000 Closed
Show marketing remark (71 chars)
2 story home needs work, with inground pool in desirable Hidden Harbor.
-
2026-05-29soldstatus $295,000 71-char remark
Show marketing remark (71 chars)
2 story home needs work, with inground pool in desirable Hidden Harbor.
-
2026-05-27status Pending
Show marketing remark (71 chars)
2 story home needs work, with inground pool in desirable Hidden Harbor.
-
2026-05-27$295,000 71-char remark
Show marketing remark (71 chars)
2 story home needs work, with inground pool in desirable Hidden Harbor.
-
2026-05-23$295,000 Active
-
1999-09-01soldstatus $144,000
-
1999-08-19soldstatus $150,000
-
1997-07-31soldstatus $139,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,405 · $117/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,094 · $175/mo
- Expected delta
- +$690/yr (+$57/mo · 49.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,769
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,525
- − Property taxes
- −$1,405
- − Insurance
- −$1,475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,622
- − Management
- −$2,622
- − HOA
- −$540
- − Depreciation
- −$8,582
- Taxable loss
- −$1,000
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$240
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,144/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hamilton County
- NCES district ID
- 4701590
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,456
- Composite
- 26.8/100
- National rank
- #7122
- State rank
- #42 of 139 in TN
Livability — Chattanooga
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #2582
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Hamilton County · 312,777 people
- City population
- 131,999
- Metro
- Chattanooga, TN-GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,101
- Household income
- $82,227
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1152.0
Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 393,784 people
- By 2030
- 412,983 · +4.9%
- By 2040
- 449,502 · +14.1%
- By 2050
- 484,341 · +23.0%
- By 2075
- 565,746 · +43.7%
- By 2100
- 618,394 · +57.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.1) · D 42.7% · R 55.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.2pp toward R · 2008: -11.8pp · 2024: -13.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.1 2020: R+9.7 2016: R+16.6 2012: R+14.8 2008: R+11.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -324.61%
- Current HPI
- 260.3778
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- Metro
- Chattanooga, TN-GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $72B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
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| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+110.9% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Sold (MLS) $295,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-29 Sold (MLS) $295,000 GCAR
- 2026-05-27 Pending — GCAR
- 2026-05-27 Listed $295,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-23 Listed $295,000 GCAR
- 1999-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $144,000 Public Records
- 1999-08-19 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
- 1997-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $139,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,405 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…