5800 Hamner Ave #159 · Eastvale, CA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 3 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 23 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$235,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to Swan Lake located in the beautiful city of Eastvale. Ready to move in well maintained manufactured home with beautiful custom woodwork inside living room and kitchen. Corner lot property located conveniently next to the market in the park. Less than a year old central Air-conditioning through out the home. Property has a custom shed perfect for storing your extras, irrigation system in the front Lawn is on a timer. Front lawn/patio has permanent cement pavers and artificial grass. It's a must see! Park amenities include market on site, pool, lake, trails, gated community with 24 hour security at entrance.
Key facts
- Corner lot property
- Irrigation system
- Custom shed
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Community features: biking paths, lake, park; Pets allowed in the community
- HOA & community: Land lease community (Swan Lake); Land lease amount $1,145
Exterior
- Parking: One garage space; One parking space total; Located in Swan Lake park
- Utilities: Private water service; Private sewer
- Home design: Mobile home remains on site; Single-story property; Entry at street level
- Construction: Mobile home 56 ft by 24 ft; Year built recorded from other source
- Exterior features: Community pool access; Corner lot; Landscaped yard; Front yard
Interior
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (furnace); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Built-in shelving/storage; High ceilings (9 feet or more); Single-level living (one story); Main entry on the first level
- Laundry & utility: On-site laundry; Gas and electric dryer hookups
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $235k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $235k).
- Recommended offer: $231k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 2.9% in Eastvale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#464 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Jurupa Unified (suburban): math 25% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #953 of 1,400 in CA (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 64 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($115k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $66k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($231k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $180k; 31% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 3→7/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.36%
- DSCR
- 1.86
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $145,170
- List price
- $235,000
- Delta
- 58.43%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5800 Hamner #416 | 0.00mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 1,200 (0%) | 1mo | $115,000 | $96 | 90 |
| 5800 Hamner Ave #436 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,230 (+2%) | 1mo | $235,000 | $191 | 90 |
| 5800 Hamner Ave #159 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (0%) | 6mo | $180,000 | $150 | 90 |
| 5800 Hamner #431 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (+4%) | 1mo | $155,000 | $124 | 88 |
| 5800 Hamner #156 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,152 (-4%) | 3mo | $172,500 | $150 | 86 |
| 5800 Hamner Ave #288 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,152 (-4%) | 9mo | $127,000 | $110 | 81 |
| 5800 Hamner #287 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,122 (-6%) | 7mo | $60,000 | $53 | 78 |
| 5800 Hamner Ave #72 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (+12%) | 3mo | $255,000 | $190 | 73 |
| 5800 Hamner Ave #568 | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (+12%) | 0mo | $247,500 | $184 | 72 |
| 5800-#407 Hamner Ave #407 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (+12%) | 8mo | $161,500 | $120 | 68 |
| 5800 Hamner #64 | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,056 (-12%) | 6mo | $160,000 | $152 | 61 |
| 5800 Hamner Ave #301 | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,049 (-13%) | 9mo | $130,000 | $124 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.45×
- Total profit
- $29,412
- Equity at exit
- $35,039
- IRR
- 20.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.71×
- Total profit
- $112,219
- Equity at exit
- $20,319
Cash invested: $65,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 91752
- Rents YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 64
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,082 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,232
- Tax from tax record
- −$43 /mo · $517/yr
- Insurance
- −$98
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$647
- Net cashflow
- $1,061
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $58,750
- Closing costs
- $7,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5464 W Homecoming Cir Eastvale, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.5–3.0 | 1359 | $3,438 | $2.53 | 2d | 20 | 0.26mi |
| 5954 Catskills Ct Eastvale, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1378 | $3,500 | $2.54 | 22d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 6302 Ancora Ln Eastvale, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1211 | $2,800 | $2.31 | 43d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 12402 Constellation St Eastvale, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1499 | $3,300 | $2.20 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 6386 Pegasus Ct Eastvale, CA | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1500 | $3,100 | $2.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 4536 S Afton Privado Ontario, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1416 | $3,500 | $2.47 | 2d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 11958 Sunstone Ct Unit 2-5 Jurupa Valley, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 866 | $1,499 | $1.73 | 43d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 11958 Sunstone Ct Unit 2-M Jurupa Valley, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 899 | $1,699 | $1.89 | 43d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 4130 E Malagon Privado #88 Ontario, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1389 | $3,150 | $2.27 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 4110 E Coronado Privado Ontario, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1193 | $3,300 | $2.77 | 22d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 6770 Pats Ranch Rd Jurupa Valley, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 938 | $3,712 | $3.96 | 2d | 16 | 1.14mi |
| 4255 E Carmel Privado Ontario, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1450 | $3,200 | $2.21 | 24d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 4231 S Hollyhock Paseo #76 Ontario, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1428 | $3,000 | $2.10 | 24d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 4231 E Sage Paseo Unit 97 Ontario, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1428 | $3,150 | $2.21 | 24d | 1 | 1.25mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $235,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $235,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $235,000 Active 14 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $235,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $235,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $235,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $235,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $235,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $235,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $235,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-03pricedays on market $235,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-05-13status Pending Sale 750-char remark
-
2026-05-09status Active 750-char remark
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2026-04-21price $229,990 750-char remark
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2026-04-08price $239,990 750-char remark
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2026-03-17$250,000 Active 750-char remark
-
2025-12-05soldstatus $180,000 Closed Sale 623-char remark
Show marketing remark (623 chars)
Welcome to Swan Lake located in the beautiful city of Eastvale. Ready to move in well maintained manufactured home with beautiful custom woodwork inside living room and kitchen. Corner lot property located conveniently next to the market in the park. Less than a year old central Air-conditioning through out the home. Property has a custom shed perfect for storing your extras, irrigation system in the front Lawn is on a timer. Front lawn/patio has permanent cement pavers and artificial grass. It's a must see! Park amenities include market on site, pool, lake, trails, gated community with 24 hour security at entrance.
-
2025-10-28historical Active Under Contract 623-char remark
Show marketing remark (623 chars)
Welcome to Swan Lake located in the beautiful city of Eastvale. Ready to move in well maintained manufactured home with beautiful custom woodwork inside living room and kitchen. Corner lot property located conveniently next to the market in the park. Less than a year old central Air-conditioning through out the home. Property has a custom shed perfect for storing your extras, irrigation system in the front Lawn is on a timer. Front lawn/patio has permanent cement pavers and artificial grass. It's a must see! Park amenities include market on site, pool, lake, trails, gated community with 24 hour security at entrance.
-
2025-10-24status Active 623-char remark
Show marketing remark (623 chars)
Welcome to Swan Lake located in the beautiful city of Eastvale. Ready to move in well maintained manufactured home with beautiful custom woodwork inside living room and kitchen. Corner lot property located conveniently next to the market in the park. Less than a year old central Air-conditioning through out the home. Property has a custom shed perfect for storing your extras, irrigation system in the front Lawn is on a timer. Front lawn/patio has permanent cement pavers and artificial grass. It's a must see! Park amenities include market on site, pool, lake, trails, gated community with 24 hour security at entrance.
-
2025-10-20status Pending Sale 623-char remark
Show marketing remark (623 chars)
Welcome to Swan Lake located in the beautiful city of Eastvale. Ready to move in well maintained manufactured home with beautiful custom woodwork inside living room and kitchen. Corner lot property located conveniently next to the market in the park. Less than a year old central Air-conditioning through out the home. Property has a custom shed perfect for storing your extras, irrigation system in the front Lawn is on a timer. Front lawn/patio has permanent cement pavers and artificial grass. It's a must see! Park amenities include market on site, pool, lake, trails, gated community with 24 hour security at entrance.
-
2025-10-19status Active 623-char remark
Show marketing remark (623 chars)
Welcome to Swan Lake located in the beautiful city of Eastvale. Ready to move in well maintained manufactured home with beautiful custom woodwork inside living room and kitchen. Corner lot property located conveniently next to the market in the park. Less than a year old central Air-conditioning through out the home. Property has a custom shed perfect for storing your extras, irrigation system in the front Lawn is on a timer. Front lawn/patio has permanent cement pavers and artificial grass. It's a must see! Park amenities include market on site, pool, lake, trails, gated community with 24 hour security at entrance.
-
2025-10-11status Active 623-char remark
Show marketing remark (623 chars)
Welcome to Swan Lake located in the beautiful city of Eastvale. Ready to move in well maintained manufactured home with beautiful custom woodwork inside living room and kitchen. Corner lot property located conveniently next to the market in the park. Less than a year old central Air-conditioning through out the home. Property has a custom shed perfect for storing your extras, irrigation system in the front Lawn is on a timer. Front lawn/patio has permanent cement pavers and artificial grass. It's a must see! Park amenities include market on site, pool, lake, trails, gated community with 24 hour security at entrance.
-
2025-09-01$185,000 Active 623-char remark
Show marketing remark (623 chars)
Welcome to Swan Lake located in the beautiful city of Eastvale. Ready to move in well maintained manufactured home with beautiful custom woodwork inside living room and kitchen. Corner lot property located conveniently next to the market in the park. Less than a year old central Air-conditioning through out the home. Property has a custom shed perfect for storing your extras, irrigation system in the front Lawn is on a timer. Front lawn/patio has permanent cement pavers and artificial grass. It's a must see! Park amenities include market on site, pool, lake, trails, gated community with 24 hour security at entrance.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $517 · $43/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,786 · $149/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,269/yr (+$106/mo · 245.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 7/10 Severe 3 d/yr ≥102°F today · 7 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 23 unhealthy d/yr today · 26 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,983
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,164
- − Property taxes
- −$517
- − Insurance
- −$1,175
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,959
- − Management
- −$2,959
- − Depreciation
- −$6,836
- Taxable income
- $9,374
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,250
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,487/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jurupa Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0619260
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▲ 2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,100
- Composite
- 30.97/100
- National rank
- #11327
- State rank
- #953 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Eastvale
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #464
- US rank
- #15853
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Eastvale, CA
- County
- Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
- City population
- 75,043
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,983
- Household income
- $115,177
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1280.0
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 61% White 20% Two or more races 16% Asian 10% Black 7% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 54% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 26% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 47% English-only · Spanish 45% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -560.99%
- Current HPI
- 426.3636
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.00%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+27.0% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Listed $235,000 CRMLS
- 2026-05-27 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2026-05-27 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2026-05-24 Pending — CRMLS
- 2026-05-21 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2026-05-13 Pending — CRMLS
- 2026-05-09 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $229,990 CRMLS
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $239,990 CRMLS
- 2026-03-17 Listed $250,000 CRMLS
- 2025-12-05 Sold (MLS) $180,000 CRMLS
- 2025-10-28 Contingent — CRMLS
- 2025-10-24 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2025-10-20 Pending — CRMLS
- 2025-10-19 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2025-10-11 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2025-09-01 Listed $185,000 CRMLS
Property tax history
-1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $517 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…