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863 Congress St
C Composite 57.44
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.7/15.0
  • DSCR +7.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$98,900

863 Congress St · Marion, OH 43302
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 702 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 130 Days on market
Built 1941 4,791 sqft lot $141/sqft · 7% below area Est $106k · 7% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

2 Bedroom 1 Bath, Large Garage! Off-street Parking. Functional floor plan with good room sizes and natural light throughout. Convenient location near local amenities, employment centers, and transportation. This Property is being sold as-is. Don't miss this chance to capitalize on a promising investment.

Key facts

  • Large garage
  • Convenient location
  • Off-street parking

Tags

LARGE GARAGEOFF-STREET PARKINGFUNCTIONAL FLOOR PLANCONVENIENT LOCATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $183 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
  • Recommended offer: $87k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 6.9% in Marion — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#704 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D+, amenities F.
  • Marion City (town): math 22% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #600 of 656 in OH (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 210 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 53 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Marion County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 130 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $47k; list at $99k implies a 111% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $87,032 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 130 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
8.51%
Cash-on-cash
7.91%
DSCR
1.35
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$106,498
List price
$98,900
Delta
-7.13%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
512 Swiss Dr 0.37mi 3/1.0 (+1) 800 (+14%) 1mo $93,450 $117 53
507 Saint Gallen St 0.37mi 3/1.0 (+1) 800 (+14%) 5mo $104,000 $130 50
489 Swiss Dr 0.42mi 3/1.0 (+1) 800 (+14%) 11mo $139,900 $175 43
518 Swiss Dr 0.36mi 3/1.0 (+1) 800 (+14%) 16mo $120,000 $150 42
600 Blaine Ave 0.71mi 2/1.0 768 (+9%) 14mo $139,000 $181 39
632 Blaine Ave 0.71mi 2/1.0 768 (+9%) 15mo $136,000 $177 39
648 Olney Ave 0.66mi 2/1.0 768 (+9%) 19mo $145,000 $189 38
264 Latourette St 0.69mi 2/1.0 805 (+15%) 20mo $60,000 $75 27
439 Bellefontaine Ave 0.73mi 2/1.0 800 (+14%) 22mo $138,500 $173 25

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.3%
Equity multiple
0.84×
Total profit
$-4,412
Equity at exit
$14,746
10-year hold
IRR
5.4%
Equity multiple
1.40×
Total profit
$11,067
Equity at exit
$8,551

Cash invested: $27,692 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43302

Home prices YoY
-33.9%
Active inventory
210
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,029 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax from tax record
$71 /mo · $848/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$216
Net cashflow
$183

Break-even live

Break-even rent $798
Max offer price $98,900
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,725
Closing costs
$2,967
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
219 W Church St Apt 1 Marion, OH 1.0 1.0 514 $825 $1.61 43d 1 1.22mi

Listing history 33 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $98,900 Active 130 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $98,900 Active 129 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $98,900 Active 128 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $98,900 Active 127 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $98,900 Active 126 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $98,900 Active 124 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $98,900 Active 123 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $98,900 Active 120 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $98,900 Active 119 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $98,900 Active 118 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $98,900 Active 115 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $98,900 Active 114 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $98,900 Active 113 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $98,900 Active 112 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $98,900 Active 111 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $98,900 Active 110 DOM
  17. 2026-05-12
    price $98,900 305-char remark
    Show marketing remark (305 chars)

    2 Bedroom 1 Bath, Large Garage! Off-street Parking. Functional floor plan with good room sizes and natural light throughout. Convenient location near local amenities, employment centers, and transportation. This Property is being sold as-is. Don't miss this chance to capitalize on a promising investment.

  18. 2026-02-09
    listed $104,999 Active 305-char remark
    Show marketing remark (305 chars)

    2 Bedroom 1 Bath, Large Garage! Off-street Parking. Functional floor plan with good room sizes and natural light throughout. Convenient location near local amenities, employment centers, and transportation. This Property is being sold as-is. Don't miss this chance to capitalize on a promising investment.

  19. 2021-06-02
    historical
  20. 2021-06-02
    historical
  21. 2021-06-02
    historical
  22. 2021-05-20
    historical
  23. 2018-10-20
    historical
  24. 2018-10-15
    soldstatus $46,800
  25. 2018-10-12
    listed $46,800
  26. 2018-10-12
    soldstatus $46,800
  27. 2018-10-11
    soldstatus $46,800 Closed
  28. 2018-08-15
    listed $44,900
  29. 2017-02-02
    listed $44,900
  30. 2015-11-04
    listed $52,500
  31. 2006-03-22
    listed $68,900
  32. 2004-05-19
    soldstatus $58,000
  33. 2004-02-23
    listed $62,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$848 · $71/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,195 · $100/mo
Expected delta
+$347/yr (+$29/mo · 41.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,351
− Mortgage interest
−$5,540
− Property taxes
−$848
− Insurance
−$494
− Repairs & maintenance
−$988
− Management
−$988
− Depreciation
−$2,877
Taxable income
$616
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$148
After-tax cash flow
$2,044/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marion City
NCES district ID
3904433
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$32,327
Composite
21.58/100
National rank
#8306
State rank
#600 of 656 in OH

Livability — Marion

Score
65/100
State rank
#704
US rank
#12605

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Marion, OH
County
Marion County · 53,702 people
City population
53,702
Metro
Marion, OH
Population (ZIP)
53,702
Household income
$55,057
Rent vs Own
36.6% rent · 63.4% own
Severe rent burden
1554.0

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
62,078 people
By 2030
60,049 · -3.3%
By 2040
55,413 · -10.7%
By 2050
50,604 · -18.5%
By 2075
40,162 · -35.3%
By 2100
29,105 · -53.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Black 6% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

2024 margin
Solid R (+41.4) · D 28.9% · R 70.3%
2008→2024 swing
-32.5pp toward R · 2008: -8.9pp · 2024: -41.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+41.4 2020: R+38.6 2016: R+34.4 2012: R+7.6 2008: R+8.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -114.52%
Current HPI
223.5344
Rent YoY
Metro
Marion, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+59.5% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $98,900 CBRMLS
  • 2026-02-09 Listed $104,999 CBRMLS
  • 2021-06-02 Listing Removed CBRMLS
  • 2021-06-02 Listing Removed CBRMLS
  • 2021-06-02 Listing Removed CBRMLS
  • 2021-05-20 Listing Removed CBRMLS
  • 2018-10-20 Listing Removed CBRMLS
  • 2018-10-15 Sold (MLS) $46,800 CBRMLS
  • 2018-10-12 Sold (Public Records) $46,800 Public Records
  • 2018-10-12 Listed $46,800 CBRMLS
  • 2018-10-11 Sold (MLS) $46,800 CBRMLS
  • 2018-08-15 Listed $44,900 CBRMLS
  • 2017-02-02 Listed $44,900 CBRMLS
  • 2015-11-04 Listed $52,500 CBRMLS
  • 2006-03-22 Listed $68,900 CBRMLS
  • 2004-05-19 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records
  • 2004-02-23 Listed $62,000 CBRMLS

Property tax history

+16.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $848 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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