38 Short Eason Rd · Ruby, SC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 64.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Sold AS IS.
Key facts
- 0.34 acre lot
- Built 1992
- Listed 8 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: County water; County sewer
- Home design: Manufactured doublewide single-family residence; One-level home; Crawl space / pillar-post-pier foundation
- Construction: Manufactured construction; Vinyl exterior
- Exterior features: Gravel road access; Publicly maintained road; Land included with the sale (0.34 acres)
Interior
- Kitchen: Includes dishwasher, electric oven, exhaust hood, refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Open room count of 1; Dishwasher, Electric oven, Exhaust hood, Refrigerator
- Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $583 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#211 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D+, crime D-.
- Chesterfield 01 (rural): math 25% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #55 of 80 in SC (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 145 units permitted in Chesterfield County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($380 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Chesterfield County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 64% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 45.44%
- DSCR
- 3.02
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 50.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.84×
- Total profit
- $43,785
- Equity at exit
- $24,730
- IRR
- 50.4%
- Equity multiple
- 7.74×
- Total profit
- $103,852
- Equity at exit
- $38,112
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29741
- Active inventory
- 6
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,219 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$69 /mo · $825/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$256
- Net cashflow
- $583
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-20$55,000 Active
-
2021-01-29soldstatus 11-char remark
Show marketing remark (11 chars)
Sold AS IS.
-
2020-11-12$34,900 11-char remark
Show marketing remark (11 chars)
Sold AS IS.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 64% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,631
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$825
- − Insurance
- −$275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,171
- − Management
- −$1,171
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $6,510
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,562
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,435/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chesterfield 01
- NCES district ID
- 4501560
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,946
- Composite
- 25.04/100
- National rank
- #7547
- State rank
- #55 of 80 in SC
Livability — Ruby
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #211
- US rank
- #17748
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,473
Population outlook (Chesterfield County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 44,632 people
- By 2030
- 43,331 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 40,218 · -9.9%
- By 2050
- 36,847 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 29,636 · -33.6%
- By 2100
- 23,536 · -47.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Black 23% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Chesterfield
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.1) · D 35.5% · R 63.5% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.1pp toward R · 2008: -3.0pp · 2024: -28.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.1 2020: R+20.5 2016: R+14.3 2012: R+3.3 2008: R+3.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+57.6% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listed $55,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-01-29 Sold (MLS) — RAGPD
- 2020-11-12 Listed $34,900 RAGPD
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2019): $108 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…