414 N Union Ave · Margate City, NJ
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.1/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Rent growth +4.7/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$949,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 3 bedroom, 2 full bath home features beautiful hardwood flooring throughout and a spacious front porch to have your morning coffee or evening cocktails!
Key facts
- Hardwood flooring
- Spacious front porch
- Peninsula countertop
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Offered for sale
Exterior
- Parking: No exterior parking; No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Gas water heater
- Home design: Vinyl siding; Located in Parkway section / parkway location
- Construction: More than 25 years old
- Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Shed; Outside shower (enclosed); Curbs; Sidewalks; Sprinkler system
Interior
- Kitchen: Disposal; Dishwasher; Gas stove; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 5 total rooms (bedroom count not specified separately)
- Flooring: Hardwood; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Kitchen with center island; Den/TV room; Dining area; Eat-in kitchen; Laundry/utility room
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry/utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $949k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($31k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($11k rent vs $949k).
- Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 7.4% in Margate City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#149 in NJ, #3,893 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Margate City School District (suburban): math 50% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #113 of 472 in NJ (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.9%/yr); 147 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 71% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 672 units permitted in Atlantic County in 2024 (258 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $11,102/mo this rent would consume 109% of the median local household income ($122k/yr) (locally 23% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $28k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Atlantic County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $266k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 8 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $338k; list at $949k implies a 181% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.46%
- DSCR
- 1.60
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $699,085
- List price
- $949,000
- Delta
- 39.47%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.25×
- Total profit
- $67,488
- Equity at exit
- $141,499
- IRR
- 19.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.01×
- Total profit
- $535,050
- Equity at exit
- $82,052
Cash invested: $265,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08402
- Rents YoY
- 8.9%
- Active inventory
- 147
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $11,102 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,977
- Tax from tax record
- −$418 /mo · $5,018/yr
- Insurance
- −$395
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,331
- Net cashflow
- $2,554
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $3,091 | -5% $2,822 | +0% $2,554 | +5% $2,285 | +10% $2,016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,677 | -5% $2,115 | +0% $2,554 | +5% $2,992 | +10% $3,431 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $3,031 | -0.5pp $2,795 | base $2,554 | +0.5pp $2,308 | +1.0pp $2,058 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $237,250
- Closing costs
- $28,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 126 N Washington Ave Unit A Margate City, NJ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $3,575 | $3.25 | 45d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 9101 Atlantic Ave #106 Margate City, NJ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1108 | $10,000 | $9.03 | 45d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 16 N Monroe Ave Unit B4 SUMMER Margate City, NJ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 919 | $28,000 | $30.47 | 45d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 16 N Monroe Ave Unit B4 AUG Margate City, NJ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 919 | $11,000 | $11.97 | 45d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 16 N Monroe Ave Unit B4 JUNE Margate City, NJ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 919 | $6,000 | $6.53 | 45d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 9400 Atlantic Ave Margate City, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 917 | $28,000 | $30.52 | 14d | 6 | 0.64mi |
| 9400 Atlantic Ave Margate City, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1020 | $26,000 | $25.49 | 22d | 4 | 0.64mi |
Listing history 42 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $949,000 Active 9 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $949,000 Active 8 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $949,000 Active 7 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $949,000 Active 6 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $949,000 Active 5 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $949,000 Active 3 DOM
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2026-06-13pricedays on market $949,000 Active 2 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $975,000 Active 35 DOM
Show marketing remark (157 chars)
This 3 bedroom, 2 full bath home features beautiful hardwood flooring throughout and a spacious front porch to have your morning coffee or evening cocktails!
-
2026-06-09days on market $975,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $975,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $975,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $975,000 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $975,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $975,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $975,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $975,000 Active 24 DOM
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2026-05-06$975,000 Active 770-char remark
Show marketing remark (157 chars)
This 3 bedroom, 2 full bath home features beautiful hardwood flooring throughout and a spacious front porch to have your morning coffee or evening cocktails!
-
2023-11-16historical $13,000
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2023-09-12$13,000
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2017-09-11soldstatus $338,000
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2017-08-30soldstatus $338,000 Sold 377-char remark
Show marketing remark (377 chars)
HIGH AND DRY ~ RAISED RENOVATED RANCHER in Margate's Exclusive Parkway Bay Area. Enjoy Walking to the Fine Dining and Nightlife of the Marina District, Relax on the Front Porch, or take a Short Walk to the Beach. Brand New Kitchen, Mechanicals, Bathrooms, and Plenty of Storage Too! Flood Insurance Only $350/year! What a Great Place to Enjoy at the Jersey Shore. Call Today!
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2017-07-01historical Under Contract 377-char remark
Show marketing remark (377 chars)
HIGH AND DRY ~ RAISED RENOVATED RANCHER in Margate's Exclusive Parkway Bay Area. Enjoy Walking to the Fine Dining and Nightlife of the Marina District, Relax on the Front Porch, or take a Short Walk to the Beach. Brand New Kitchen, Mechanicals, Bathrooms, and Plenty of Storage Too! Flood Insurance Only $350/year! What a Great Place to Enjoy at the Jersey Shore. Call Today!
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2017-06-15price $355,000 377-char remark
Show marketing remark (377 chars)
HIGH AND DRY ~ RAISED RENOVATED RANCHER in Margate's Exclusive Parkway Bay Area. Enjoy Walking to the Fine Dining and Nightlife of the Marina District, Relax on the Front Porch, or take a Short Walk to the Beach. Brand New Kitchen, Mechanicals, Bathrooms, and Plenty of Storage Too! Flood Insurance Only $350/year! What a Great Place to Enjoy at the Jersey Shore. Call Today!
-
2017-05-09price $375,000 377-char remark
Show marketing remark (377 chars)
HIGH AND DRY ~ RAISED RENOVATED RANCHER in Margate's Exclusive Parkway Bay Area. Enjoy Walking to the Fine Dining and Nightlife of the Marina District, Relax on the Front Porch, or take a Short Walk to the Beach. Brand New Kitchen, Mechanicals, Bathrooms, and Plenty of Storage Too! Flood Insurance Only $350/year! What a Great Place to Enjoy at the Jersey Shore. Call Today!
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2017-03-09$400,000 Active 377-char remark
Show marketing remark (377 chars)
HIGH AND DRY ~ RAISED RENOVATED RANCHER in Margate's Exclusive Parkway Bay Area. Enjoy Walking to the Fine Dining and Nightlife of the Marina District, Relax on the Front Porch, or take a Short Walk to the Beach. Brand New Kitchen, Mechanicals, Bathrooms, and Plenty of Storage Too! Flood Insurance Only $350/year! What a Great Place to Enjoy at the Jersey Shore. Call Today!
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2015-10-31historical
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2015-09-23price $394,900
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2015-08-19price $419,000
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2015-05-31price $429,000
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2015-03-19price $450,000
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2014-09-24$474,900 Active
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2014-05-01historical
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2013-10-30$450,000
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2006-03-27soldstatus $430,000
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2006-03-15soldstatus $430,000
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2006-01-31historical
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2006-01-16$439,000
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2005-01-07soldstatus $320,000
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2004-12-17soldstatus $320,000
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2004-11-14historical
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2004-09-02$319,900
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1980-04-01soldstatus $65,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,018 · $418/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $14,324 · $1,194/mo
- Expected delta
- +$9,306/yr (+$776/mo · 185.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $133,221
- − Mortgage interest
- −$53,159
- − Property taxes
- −$5,018
- − Insurance
- −$9,864
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$10,658
- − Management
- −$10,658
- − Depreciation
- −$27,607
- Taxable income
- $16,258
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,902
- After-tax cash flow
- $26,741/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Margate City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3409690
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -28.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,112
- Composite
- 47.71/100
- National rank
- #2241
- State rank
- #113 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Margate City
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #149
- US rank
- #3893
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Margate City, NJ
- County
- Atlantic County · 143,611 people
- City population
- 5,234
- Metro
- Atlantic City-Hammonton, NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,234
- Household income
- $121,800
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 23.0
Population outlook (Atlantic County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 268,948 people
- By 2030
- 264,497 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 252,261 · -6.2%
- By 2050
- 237,846 · -11.6%
- By 2075
- 210,650 · -21.7%
- By 2100
- 180,234 · -33.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 3% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 9% Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Atlantic
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 50.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.1pp toward R · 2008: 15.1pp · 2024: -3.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.0 2020: D+6.7 2016: D+6.2 2012: D+17.2 2008: D+15.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -625.70%
- Current HPI
- 475.1366
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.91%
- Metro
- Atlantic City-Hammonton, NJ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+1360.0% since first listed28 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Listing Removed — SJSRMLS
- 2026-06-10 Listed $949,000 SJSRMLS
- 2026-05-06 Listed $975,000 SJSRMLS
- 2023-11-16 Rental Removed $13,000 SJSRMLS
- 2023-09-12 Listed for Rent $13,000 SJSRMLS
- 2017-09-11 Sold (Public Records) $338,000 Public Records
- 2017-08-30 Sold (MLS) $338,000 SJSRMLS
- 2017-07-01 Contingent — SJSRMLS
- 2017-06-15 Price Changed $355,000 SJSRMLS
- 2017-05-09 Price Changed $375,000 SJSRMLS
- 2017-03-09 Listed $400,000 SJSRMLS
- 2015-10-31 Listing Removed — SJSRMLS
- 2015-09-23 Price Changed $394,900 SJSRMLS
- 2015-08-19 Price Changed $419,000 SJSRMLS
- 2015-05-31 Price Changed $429,000 SJSRMLS
- 2015-03-19 Price Changed $450,000 SJSRMLS
- 2014-09-24 Listed $474,900 SJSRMLS
- 2014-05-01 Listing Removed — SJSRMLS
- 2013-10-30 Listed $450,000 SJSRMLS
- 2006-03-27 Sold (Public Records) $430,000 Public Records
- 2006-03-15 Sold (MLS) $430,000 SJSRMLS
- 2006-01-31 Listing Removed — SJSRMLS
- 2006-01-16 Listed $439,000 SJSRMLS
- 2005-01-07 Sold (Public Records) $320,000 Public Records
- 2004-12-17 Sold (MLS) $320,000 SJSRMLS
- 2004-11-14 Listing Removed — SJSRMLS
- 2004-09-02 Listed $319,900 SJSRMLS
- 1980-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $5,018 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…