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414 N Union Ave
C+ Composite 60.53
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.1/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$949,000

414 N Union Ave · Margate City, NJ 08402
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 964 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1955 $984/sqft · 36% above area Est $699k · 36% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 3 bedroom, 2 full bath home features beautiful hardwood flooring throughout and a spacious front porch to have your morning coffee or evening cocktails!

Key facts

  • Hardwood flooring
  • Spacious front porch
  • Peninsula countertop

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORINGSPACIOUS FRONT PORCHRAISED HOMEUPDATED EAT-IN KITCHENSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESPENINSULA COUNTERTOP

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Offered for sale

Exterior

  • Parking: No exterior parking; No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Gas water heater
  • Home design: Vinyl siding; Located in Parkway section / parkway location
  • Construction: More than 25 years old
  • Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Shed; Outside shower (enclosed); Curbs; Sidewalks; Sprinkler system

Interior

  • Kitchen: Disposal; Dishwasher; Gas stove; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 5 total rooms (bedroom count not specified separately)
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Kitchen with center island; Den/TV room; Dining area; Eat-in kitchen; Laundry/utility room
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry/utility room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $949k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($31k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($11k rent vs $949k).
  • Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 7.4% in Margate City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#149 in NJ, #3,893 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Margate City School District (suburban): math 50% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #113 of 472 in NJ (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.9%/yr); 147 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 71% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 672 units permitted in Atlantic County in 2024 (258 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $11,102/mo this rent would consume 109% of the median local household income ($122k/yr) (locally 23% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $28k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Atlantic County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $266k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 8 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $338k; list at $949k implies a 181% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $949,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
10.06%
Cash-on-cash
13.46%
DSCR
1.60
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$699,085
List price
$949,000
Delta
39.47%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.2%
Equity multiple
1.25×
Total profit
$67,488
Equity at exit
$141,499
10-year hold
IRR
19.5%
Equity multiple
3.01×
Total profit
$535,050
Equity at exit
$82,052

Cash invested: $265,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08402

Rents YoY
8.9%
Active inventory
147
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$11,102 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$4,977
Tax from tax record
$418 /mo · $5,018/yr
Insurance
$395
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$2,331
Net cashflow
$2,554

Break-even live

Break-even rent $7,869
Max offer price $949,000
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $3,091 -5% $2,822 +0% $2,554 +5% $2,285 +10% $2,016
Rent -10% $1,677 -5% $2,115 +0% $2,554 +5% $2,992 +10% $3,431
Rate -1.0pp $3,031 -0.5pp $2,795 base $2,554 +0.5pp $2,308 +1.0pp $2,058

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$237,250
Closing costs
$28,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
126 N Washington Ave Unit A Margate City, NJ 2.0 2.0 1100 $3,575 $3.25 45d 1 0.32mi
9101 Atlantic Ave #106 Margate City, NJ 2.0 2.0 1108 $10,000 $9.03 45d 1 0.53mi
16 N Monroe Ave Unit B4 SUMMER Margate City, NJ 2.0 2.0 919 $28,000 $30.47 45d 1 0.58mi
16 N Monroe Ave Unit B4 AUG Margate City, NJ 2.0 2.0 919 $11,000 $11.97 45d 1 0.58mi
16 N Monroe Ave Unit B4 JUNE Margate City, NJ 2.0 2.0 919 $6,000 $6.53 45d 1 0.58mi
9400 Atlantic Ave Margate City, NJ 2.0 1.0–1.5 917 $28,000 $30.52 14d 6 0.64mi
9400 Atlantic Ave Margate City, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 1020 $26,000 $25.49 22d 4 0.64mi

Listing history 42 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $949,000 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $949,000 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $949,000 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $949,000 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $949,000 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $949,000 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on marketlisting id $949,000 Active 2 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $975,000 Active 35 DOM
    Show marketing remark (157 chars)

    This 3 bedroom, 2 full bath home features beautiful hardwood flooring throughout and a spacious front porch to have your morning coffee or evening cocktails!

  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $975,000 Active 34 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $975,000 Active 33 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $975,000 Active 32 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $975,000 Active 29 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $975,000 Active 27 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $975,000 Active 26 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $975,000 Active 25 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $975,000 Active 24 DOM
  17. 2026-05-06
    listed $975,000 Active 770-char remark
    Show marketing remark (157 chars)

    This 3 bedroom, 2 full bath home features beautiful hardwood flooring throughout and a spacious front porch to have your morning coffee or evening cocktails!

  18. 2023-11-16
    historical $13,000
  19. 2023-09-12
    listed $13,000
  20. 2017-09-11
    soldstatus $338,000
  21. 2017-08-30
    soldstatus $338,000 Sold 377-char remark
    Show marketing remark (377 chars)

    HIGH AND DRY ~ RAISED RENOVATED RANCHER in Margate's Exclusive Parkway Bay Area. Enjoy Walking to the Fine Dining and Nightlife of the Marina District, Relax on the Front Porch, or take a Short Walk to the Beach. Brand New Kitchen, Mechanicals, Bathrooms, and Plenty of Storage Too! Flood Insurance Only $350/year! What a Great Place to Enjoy at the Jersey Shore. Call Today!

  22. 2017-07-01
    historical Under Contract 377-char remark
    Show marketing remark (377 chars)

    HIGH AND DRY ~ RAISED RENOVATED RANCHER in Margate's Exclusive Parkway Bay Area. Enjoy Walking to the Fine Dining and Nightlife of the Marina District, Relax on the Front Porch, or take a Short Walk to the Beach. Brand New Kitchen, Mechanicals, Bathrooms, and Plenty of Storage Too! Flood Insurance Only $350/year! What a Great Place to Enjoy at the Jersey Shore. Call Today!

  23. 2017-06-15
    price $355,000 377-char remark
    Show marketing remark (377 chars)

    HIGH AND DRY ~ RAISED RENOVATED RANCHER in Margate's Exclusive Parkway Bay Area. Enjoy Walking to the Fine Dining and Nightlife of the Marina District, Relax on the Front Porch, or take a Short Walk to the Beach. Brand New Kitchen, Mechanicals, Bathrooms, and Plenty of Storage Too! Flood Insurance Only $350/year! What a Great Place to Enjoy at the Jersey Shore. Call Today!

  24. 2017-05-09
    price $375,000 377-char remark
    Show marketing remark (377 chars)

    HIGH AND DRY ~ RAISED RENOVATED RANCHER in Margate's Exclusive Parkway Bay Area. Enjoy Walking to the Fine Dining and Nightlife of the Marina District, Relax on the Front Porch, or take a Short Walk to the Beach. Brand New Kitchen, Mechanicals, Bathrooms, and Plenty of Storage Too! Flood Insurance Only $350/year! What a Great Place to Enjoy at the Jersey Shore. Call Today!

  25. 2017-03-09
    listed $400,000 Active 377-char remark
    Show marketing remark (377 chars)

    HIGH AND DRY ~ RAISED RENOVATED RANCHER in Margate's Exclusive Parkway Bay Area. Enjoy Walking to the Fine Dining and Nightlife of the Marina District, Relax on the Front Porch, or take a Short Walk to the Beach. Brand New Kitchen, Mechanicals, Bathrooms, and Plenty of Storage Too! Flood Insurance Only $350/year! What a Great Place to Enjoy at the Jersey Shore. Call Today!

  26. 2015-10-31
    historical
  27. 2015-09-23
    price $394,900
  28. 2015-08-19
    price $419,000
  29. 2015-05-31
    price $429,000
  30. 2015-03-19
    price $450,000
  31. 2014-09-24
    listed $474,900 Active
  32. 2014-05-01
    historical
  33. 2013-10-30
    listed $450,000
  34. 2006-03-27
    soldstatus $430,000
  35. 2006-03-15
    soldstatus $430,000
  36. 2006-01-31
    historical
  37. 2006-01-16
    listed $439,000
  38. 2005-01-07
    soldstatus $320,000
  39. 2004-12-17
    soldstatus $320,000
  40. 2004-11-14
    historical
  41. 2004-09-02
    listed $319,900
  42. 1980-04-01
    soldstatus $65,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,018 · $418/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$14,324 · $1,194/mo
Expected delta
+$9,306/yr (+$776/mo · 185.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$133,221
− Mortgage interest
−$53,159
− Property taxes
−$5,018
− Insurance
−$9,864
− Repairs & maintenance
−$10,658
− Management
−$10,658
− Depreciation
−$27,607
Taxable income
$16,258
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,902
After-tax cash flow
$26,741/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Margate City School District
NCES district ID
3409690
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -26.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -28.00%
Median HH income
$67,112
Composite
47.71/100
National rank
#2241
State rank
#113 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Margate City

Score
75/100
State rank
#149
US rank
#3893

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Margate City, NJ
County
Atlantic County · 143,611 people
City population
5,234
Metro
Atlantic City-Hammonton, NJ
Population (ZIP)
5,234
Household income
$121,800
Rent vs Own
10.0% rent · 90.0% own
Severe rent burden
23.0

Population outlook (Atlantic County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
268,948 people
By 2030
264,497 · -1.7%
By 2040
252,261 · -6.2%
By 2050
237,846 · -11.6%
By 2075
210,650 · -21.7%
By 2100
180,234 · -33.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 3% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 9% Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
92% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Atlantic

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 50.7% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-18.1pp toward R · 2008: 15.1pp · 2024: -3.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.0 2020: D+6.7 2016: D+6.2 2012: D+17.2 2008: D+15.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -625.70%
Current HPI
475.1366
Rent YoY
▲ 8.91%
Metro
Atlantic City-Hammonton, NJ
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1360.0% since first listed
28 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Listing Removed SJSRMLS
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $949,000 SJSRMLS
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $975,000 SJSRMLS
  • 2023-11-16 Rental Removed $13,000 SJSRMLS
  • 2023-09-12 Listed for Rent $13,000 SJSRMLS
  • 2017-09-11 Sold (Public Records) $338,000 Public Records
  • 2017-08-30 Sold (MLS) $338,000 SJSRMLS
  • 2017-07-01 Contingent SJSRMLS
  • 2017-06-15 Price Changed $355,000 SJSRMLS
  • 2017-05-09 Price Changed $375,000 SJSRMLS
  • 2017-03-09 Listed $400,000 SJSRMLS
  • 2015-10-31 Listing Removed SJSRMLS
  • 2015-09-23 Price Changed $394,900 SJSRMLS
  • 2015-08-19 Price Changed $419,000 SJSRMLS
  • 2015-05-31 Price Changed $429,000 SJSRMLS
  • 2015-03-19 Price Changed $450,000 SJSRMLS
  • 2014-09-24 Listed $474,900 SJSRMLS
  • 2014-05-01 Listing Removed SJSRMLS
  • 2013-10-30 Listed $450,000 SJSRMLS
  • 2006-03-27 Sold (Public Records) $430,000 Public Records
  • 2006-03-15 Sold (MLS) $430,000 SJSRMLS
  • 2006-01-31 Listing Removed SJSRMLS
  • 2006-01-16 Listed $439,000 SJSRMLS
  • 2005-01-07 Sold (Public Records) $320,000 Public Records
  • 2004-12-17 Sold (MLS) $320,000 SJSRMLS
  • 2004-11-14 Listing Removed SJSRMLS
  • 2004-09-02 Listed $319,900 SJSRMLS
  • 1980-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,018 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…