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515 Walden Ave
B+ Composite 75.7
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$65,000

515 Walden Ave · Tiltonsville, OH 43963
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,732 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 180 Days on market
Built 1900 2,613 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 515 Walden Ave! This spacious home offers 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, along with the convenience with the laundry on the first level. An additional room on the main level can be used as an office, recreational room, or can be used as another bedroom. Recent updates include new flooring in the living room, dining room, upstairs bathroom, along with a new vanity in the upstairs bathroom. The metal roof is approximately 6-7 years old, offering durability and a peace of mind. Previously used as an investment property, the home is now vacant and ready for immediate occupancy, allowing for continued rental use or alternative residential use. Spacious interior with plenty of space,

Key facts

  • Metal roof
  • 2,613 sq ft lot
  • Built 1900

Tags

LAUNDRY ON FIRST LEVELADDITIONAL ROOM ON MAIN LEVELNEW FLOORING IN LIVING ROOMNEW FLOORING IN DINING ROOMMETAL ROOFLOCATED NEAR GOLF COURSE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: 2-story house; Above-grade finished living area reported as 1,732
  • Construction: Built according to public records; Metal roof; Shake siding
  • Exterior features: Metal roof; Shake siding

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air gas heating; Heating present
  • Interior features: Full, unfinished basement; 8 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $496 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#547 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Buckeye Local (rural): math 44% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #471 of 656 in OH (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $953 appreciation (1.5% local appreciation)).
  • Jefferson County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 180 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $18k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $22k; list at $65k implies a 202% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $57,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 180 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.93%
Cap rate
16.48%
Cash-on-cash
36.37%
DSCR
2.62
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.47% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
35.9%
Equity multiple
2.89×
Total profit
$34,350
Equity at exit
$23,780
10-year hold
IRR
37.6%
Equity multiple
5.66×
Total profit
$84,865
Equity at exit
$32,870

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43963

Home prices YoY
0.9%
Active inventory
3
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,253 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$70 /mo · $846/yr
Insurance
$27
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$263
Net cashflow
$496

Break-even live

Break-even rent $625
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 55%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,000 Active 180 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $65,000 Active 179 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $65,000 Active 178 DOM
  4. 2026-06-12
    days on market $65,000 Active 177 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    days on market $65,000 Active 174 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,000 Active 173 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,000 Active 172 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,000 Active 171 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $65,000 Active 168 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,000 Active 167 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,000 Active 166 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    remarks 699-char remark
  13. 2026-05-31
    listed $65,000 Active 165 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$846 · $70/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$930 · $78/mo
Expected delta
+$84/yr (+$7/mo · 9.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 79% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥96°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,039
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$846
− Insurance
−$992
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,203
− Management
−$1,203
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$5,263
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,263
After-tax cash flow
$4,689/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buckeye Local
NCES district ID
3904778
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$41,332
Composite
40.68/100
National rank
#3673
State rank
#471 of 656 in OH

Livability — Tiltonsville

Score
68/100
State rank
#547
US rank
#9296

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Tiltonsville, OH
County
Jefferson · 64,369 people
City population
1,191
Metro
Weirton-Steubenville, WV-OH
Population (ZIP)
1,191
Household income
$55,795
Rent vs Own
37.1% rent · 62.9% own
Severe rent burden
9.8

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
63,481 people
By 2030
61,067 · -3.8%
By 2040
55,860 · -12.0%
By 2050
51,236 · -19.3%
By 2075
41,804 · -34.1%
By 2100
32,344 · -49.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (97%)
Race & ethnicity
White 97% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 14% Serbian 3% Lithuanian 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.9) · D 27.5% · R 71.4% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-44.1pp toward R · 2008: 0.2pp · 2024: -43.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.9 2020: R+38.4 2016: R+35.7 2012: R+5.5 2008: D+0.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.47%
Current HPI
167.1866
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+202.3% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Price Changed $65,000 MLSNOW
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $70,000 MLSNOW
  • 2026-01-21 Price Changed $80,000 MLSNOW
  • 2025-12-17 Listed $83,000 MLSNOW
  • 2025-02-11 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2024-08-11 Listed $85,000 MLSNOW
  • 2001-04-06 Sold (Public Records) $21,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+11.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $846 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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