214 Short · Ordway, CO
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
$69,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This property needs a little remodeling as drywall has been striped in two rooms so they are ready for new electrical and insulation. There is adequate room for a family and it is on a large corner lot that provides room to add on or place storage shed(s). There is a former garage area attached which is being used as for shop and storage. The bathroom needs completely remodeled and the property needs a new heating unit to make it livable again.
Key facts
- 0.39 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1910
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: One garage space (1 parking total)
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family house; Two levels; Unattached property
- Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof; Built area approximately 1,123 (above-grade finished area 1,123)
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.39 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen included (9 x 10)
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms total — two on the main level (10 x 17 and 11 x 16) and one on the upper level (13 x 23)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (8 x 5) on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Radiant heating
- Interior features: Living room (13 x 20); Kitchen (9 x 10)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $457 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $64k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#233 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Crowley County School District No. Re-1-J (rural): math 16% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #150 of 176 in CO (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Crowley County Elementary K-6 (math 15% / reading 37%, grade F, #581 of 966 statewide, top 61%, 191 students, 65% FRL); Crowley County Junior And Senior High School (math 15% / reading 32%, grade F, #304 of 381 statewide, top 80%, 188 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools at 64% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Crowley County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.4%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Crowley County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-2.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.62% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.04%
- DSCR
- 2.25
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $139,252
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 229 Sherman Ave | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 | 1,260 (+12%) | 1mo | $167,000 | $133 | 68 |
| 508 Idaho Ave | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 | 1,045 (-7%) | 18mo | $104,000 | $100 | 60 |
| 431 Lincoln Ave | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,148 (+2%) | 17mo | $165,000 | $144 | 54 |
| 329 Idaho Ave | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,056 (-6%) | 24mo | $103,150 | $98 | 52 |
| 220 Lake Ave | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,224 (+9%) | 23mo | $102,000 | $83 | 51 |
| 322 Main St | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 968 (-14%) | 12mo | $125,000 | $129 | 45 |
| 122 Otero | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,246 (+11%) | 9mo | $155,000 | $124 | 42 |
| 616 Otero | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,000 (-11%) | 19mo | $124,000 | $124 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.42% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.00×
- Total profit
- $19,485
- Equity at exit
- $12,230
- IRR
- 30.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.86×
- Total profit
- $55,904
- Equity at exit
- $9,194
Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 81063
- Home prices YoY
- -1.1%
- Active inventory
- 29
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,130 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$40 /mo · $480/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$237
- Net cashflow
- $457
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $497 | -5% $477 | +0% $457 | +5% $438 | +10% $418 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $368 | -5% $413 | +0% $457 | +5% $502 | +10% $547 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $492 | -0.5pp $475 | base $457 | +0.5pp $439 | +1.0pp $421 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,475
- Closing costs
- $2,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $69,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $69,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $69,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $69,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $69,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $69,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-03-07$69,900 Active 451-char remark
Show marketing remark (451 chars)
This property needs a little remodeling as drywall has been striped in two rooms so they are ready for new electrical and insulation. There is adequate room for a family and it is on a large corner lot that provides room to add on or place storage shed(s). There is a former garage area attached which is being used as for shop and storage. The bathroom needs completely remodeled and the property needs a new heating unit to make it livable again.
-
2026-03-07$69,900 Active 451-char remark
Show marketing remark (451 chars)
This property needs a little remodeling as drywall has been striped in two rooms so they are ready for new electrical and insulation. There is adequate room for a family and it is on a large corner lot that provides room to add on or place storage shed(s). There is a former garage area attached which is being used as for shop and storage. The bathroom needs completely remodeled and the property needs a new heating unit to make it livable again.
-
2026-01-30status Active 330-char remark
Show marketing remark (330 chars)
This property needs a little love and remodeling, but could be nice rental or home for your family. It is on a large corner lot that provides room to expand. Existing appliances may still work, but Seller has no personal knowledge of their condition. Come and take a look at the possibilities and see if it could meet your needs.
-
2026-01-30price $69,900 330-char remark
Show marketing remark (330 chars)
This property needs a little love and remodeling, but could be nice rental or home for your family. It is on a large corner lot that provides room to expand. Existing appliances may still work, but Seller has no personal knowledge of their condition. Come and take a look at the possibilities and see if it could meet your needs.
-
2025-06-26$85,000 Active 330-char remark
Show marketing remark (330 chars)
This property needs a little love and remodeling, but could be nice rental or home for your family. It is on a large corner lot that provides room to expand. Existing appliances may still work, but Seller has no personal knowledge of their condition. Come and take a look at the possibilities and see if it could meet your needs.
-
2022-08-12soldstatus $65,000
-
2022-08-10soldstatus $65,000
-
2022-05-03$62,000
-
2011-04-08$24,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $480 · $40/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $480 · $40/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,564
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,915
- − Property taxes
- −$480
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,085
- − Management
- −$1,085
- − Depreciation
- −$2,033
- Taxable income
- $4,616
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,108
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,380/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Crowley County School District No. Re-1-J
- NCES district ID
- 0803210
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,031
- Composite
- 21.28/100
- National rank
- #13663
- State rank
- #150 of 176 in CO
Livability — Ordway
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #233
- US rank
- #18425
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ordway, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,060
Population outlook (Crowley County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,612 people
- By 2030
- 5,725 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 6,092 · +8.6%
- By 2050
- 6,391 · +13.9%
- By 2075
- 6,250 · +11.4%
- By 2100
- 5,349 · -4.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 52% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 18% Black 7% Native American 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Portuguese 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Vietnam, Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 8% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Crowley
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.4) · D 24.7% · R 72.2% · Other 3.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.2pp toward R · 2008: -27.2pp · 2024: -47.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.4 2020: R+47.7 2016: R+48.5 2012: R+25.9 2008: R+27.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.42%
- Current HPI
- 211.1097
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $10B |
|
||
| Technology | 1 | $4B |
|
||
Price history
+185.3% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-07 Listed $69,900 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-07 Listed $69,900 IRES
- 2026-01-30 Relisted — PARMLS
- 2026-01-30 Price Changed $69,900 PARMLS
- 2025-06-26 Listed $85,000 PARMLS
- 2022-08-12 Sold (MLS) $65,000 PARMLS
- 2022-08-10 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2022-05-03 Listed $62,000 PARMLS
- 2011-04-08 Listed $24,500 PARMLS
Property tax history
+7.1%/yrLatest (2025): $480 · +377.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…