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214 Short
B+ Composite 78.97
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0

$69,900

214 Short · Ordway, CO 81063
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,123 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 104 Days on market
Built 1910 0.39 ac lot Est $139k · 50% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This property needs a little remodeling as drywall has been striped in two rooms so they are ready for new electrical and insulation. There is adequate room for a family and it is on a large corner lot that provides room to add on or place storage shed(s). There is a former garage area attached which is being used as for shop and storage. The bathroom needs completely remodeled and the property needs a new heating unit to make it livable again.

Key facts

  • 0.39 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1910

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: One garage space (1 parking total)
  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family house; Two levels; Unattached property
  • Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof; Built area approximately 1,123 (above-grade finished area 1,123)
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.39 acres

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen included (9 x 10)
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms total — two on the main level (10 x 17 and 11 x 16) and one on the upper level (13 x 23)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (8 x 5) on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Radiant heating
  • Interior features: Living room (13 x 20); Kitchen (9 x 10)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $457 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $64k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#233 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Crowley County School District No. Re-1-J (rural): math 16% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #150 of 176 in CO (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Crowley County Elementary K-6 (math 15% / reading 37%, grade F, #581 of 966 statewide, top 61%, 191 students, 65% FRL); Crowley County Junior And Senior High School (math 15% / reading 32%, grade F, #304 of 381 statewide, top 80%, 188 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools at 64% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Crowley County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-2.4%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Crowley County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-2.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $63,609 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.62%
Cap rate
14.14%
Cash-on-cash
28.04%
DSCR
2.25
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$139,252
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
229 Sherman Ave 0.25mi 2/1.0 1,260 (+12%) 1mo $167,000 $133 68
508 Idaho Ave 0.29mi 2/1.0 1,045 (-7%) 18mo $104,000 $100 60
431 Lincoln Ave 0.51mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,148 (+2%) 17mo $165,000 $144 54
329 Idaho Ave 0.21mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,056 (-6%) 24mo $103,150 $98 52
220 Lake Ave 0.14mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,224 (+9%) 23mo $102,000 $83 51
322 Main St 0.35mi 3/1.0 (+1) 968 (-14%) 12mo $125,000 $129 45
122 Otero 0.58mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,246 (+11%) 9mo $155,000 $124 42
616 Otero 0.67mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,000 (-11%) 19mo $124,000 $124 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-2.42% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.4%
Equity multiple
2.00×
Total profit
$19,485
Equity at exit
$12,230
10-year hold
IRR
30.6%
Equity multiple
3.86×
Total profit
$55,904
Equity at exit
$9,194

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
38 Tenant-Leaning
State Colorado
38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2023 reforms: 10-day cure, mandated notice, source-of-income protected. Courts backlogged in Denver.

ZIP-level market 81063

Home prices YoY
-1.1%
Active inventory
29
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,130 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$40 /mo · $480/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$237
Net cashflow
$457

Break-even live

Break-even rent $552
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 55%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $497 -5% $477 +0% $457 +5% $438 +10% $418
Rent -10% $368 -5% $413 +0% $457 +5% $502 +10% $547
Rate -1.0pp $492 -0.5pp $475 base $457 +0.5pp $439 +1.0pp $421

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $69,900 Active 104 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,900 Active 103 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,900 Active 102 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,900 Active 101 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,900 Active 100 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,900 Active 98 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $69,900 Active 97 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,900 Active 94 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,900 Active 93 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,900 Active 92 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $69,900 Active 88 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $69,900 Active 87 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,900 Active 86 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,900 Active 85 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,900 Active 84 DOM
  16. 2026-03-07
    listed $69,900 Active 451-char remark
    Show marketing remark (451 chars)

    This property needs a little remodeling as drywall has been striped in two rooms so they are ready for new electrical and insulation. There is adequate room for a family and it is on a large corner lot that provides room to add on or place storage shed(s). There is a former garage area attached which is being used as for shop and storage. The bathroom needs completely remodeled and the property needs a new heating unit to make it livable again.

  17. 2026-03-07
    listed $69,900 Active 451-char remark
    Show marketing remark (451 chars)

    This property needs a little remodeling as drywall has been striped in two rooms so they are ready for new electrical and insulation. There is adequate room for a family and it is on a large corner lot that provides room to add on or place storage shed(s). There is a former garage area attached which is being used as for shop and storage. The bathroom needs completely remodeled and the property needs a new heating unit to make it livable again.

  18. 2026-01-30
    status Active 330-char remark
    Show marketing remark (330 chars)

    This property needs a little love and remodeling, but could be nice rental or home for your family. It is on a large corner lot that provides room to expand. Existing appliances may still work, but Seller has no personal knowledge of their condition. Come and take a look at the possibilities and see if it could meet your needs.

  19. 2026-01-30
    price $69,900 330-char remark
    Show marketing remark (330 chars)

    This property needs a little love and remodeling, but could be nice rental or home for your family. It is on a large corner lot that provides room to expand. Existing appliances may still work, but Seller has no personal knowledge of their condition. Come and take a look at the possibilities and see if it could meet your needs.

  20. 2025-06-26
    listed $85,000 Active 330-char remark
    Show marketing remark (330 chars)

    This property needs a little love and remodeling, but could be nice rental or home for your family. It is on a large corner lot that provides room to expand. Existing appliances may still work, but Seller has no personal knowledge of their condition. Come and take a look at the possibilities and see if it could meet your needs.

  21. 2022-08-12
    soldstatus $65,000
  22. 2022-08-10
    soldstatus $65,000
  23. 2022-05-03
    listed $62,000
  24. 2011-04-08
    listed $24,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$480 · $40/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$480 · $40/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,564
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$480
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,085
− Management
−$1,085
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$4,616
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,108
After-tax cash flow
$4,380/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Crowley County School District No. Re-1-J
NCES district ID
0803210
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$35,031
Composite
21.28/100
National rank
#13663
State rank
#150 of 176 in CO

Livability — Ordway

Score
61/100
State rank
#233
US rank
#18425

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ordway, CO
Population (ZIP)
3,060

Population outlook (Crowley County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,612 people
By 2030
5,725 · +2.0%
By 2040
6,092 · +8.6%
By 2050
6,391 · +13.9%
By 2075
6,250 · +11.4%
By 2100
5,349 · -4.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 52% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 18% Black 7% Native American 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Portuguese 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Vietnam, Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 8% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Crowley

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.4) · D 24.7% · R 72.2% · Other 3.1%
2008→2024 swing
-20.2pp toward R · 2008: -27.2pp · 2024: -47.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.4 2020: R+47.7 2016: R+48.5 2012: R+25.9 2008: R+27.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -2.42%
Current HPI
211.1097
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.95%
F500 in state
14

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+185.3% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-07 Listed $69,900 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-07 Listed $69,900 IRES
  • 2026-01-30 Relisted PARMLS
  • 2026-01-30 Price Changed $69,900 PARMLS
  • 2025-06-26 Listed $85,000 PARMLS
  • 2022-08-12 Sold (MLS) $65,000 PARMLS
  • 2022-08-10 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
  • 2022-05-03 Listed $62,000 PARMLS
  • 2011-04-08 Listed $24,500 PARMLS

Property tax history

+7.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $480 · +377.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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