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17401 SE 39th St #46
B Composite 70.05
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.6/15.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,000

17401 SE 39th St #46 · Vancouver, WA 98683
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,255 sqft · Manufactured public records · 125 Days on market
Built 1986 $119/sqft · at area comps Est $149k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

OPEN HOUSE: Sunday, May 24 from 1 to 3:00PM. PRICE REDUCED on this Beautiful & move in ready home in the much sought after Vista Del Rio Mobil Home Park (55+). This cutie boasts 2Bd2Bath with numerous updates including: roof, floors, heat pump, exterior skirting boards and much more. Backyard patio provides comfortable outdoor space. Light and bright living room. Garage & carport. Space rent includes water & sewer as well as use of pool & clubhouse with exercise room, library, pool tables and numerous community activities. Buyer may assume Sellers lease rate of $540Mo. thru 10-19-26. Come take a look soon before it's gone!

Key facts

  • Pool and clubhouse
  • Backyard patio
  • Exercise room

Tags

BACKYARD PATIONUMEROUS UPDATESPOOL AND CLUBHOUSEEXERCISE ROOMCOMMUNITY ACTIVITIES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $149k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $757 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $149k).
  • Recommended offer: $131k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 2.7% in Vancouver — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#62 in WA, #1,133 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living D-.
  • Evergreen School District (Clark) (urban): math 41% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #164 of 291 in WA (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 178 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,547 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (1,361 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Clark County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 125 days — a 12% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $56k; list at $149k implies a 164% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $131,120 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 125 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.41%
Cap rate
12.39%
Cash-on-cash
21.76%
DSCR
1.97
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$149,461
List price
$149,000
Delta
-0.31%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
17401 SE 39th St #203 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,340 (+7%) 11mo $150,000 $112 80
17401 SE 39th St #148 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,325 (+6%) 18mo $151,900 $115 76
17401 SE 39th St #197 0.22mi 2/2.0 1,248 (-1%) 20mo $135,000 $108 72
17401 SE 39th St #77 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,425 (+14%) 9mo $149,000 $105 70
17401 SE 39th St #30 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,390 (+11%) 15mo $158,000 $114 70
17401 SE 39th St #55 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,404 (+12%) 22mo $164,900 $117 62
17401 SE 39th St #54 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,432 (+14%) 21mo $138,300 $97 59

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.2%
Equity multiple
1.43×
Total profit
$17,848
Equity at exit
$22,216
10-year hold
IRR
17.8%
Equity multiple
2.29×
Total profit
$53,641
Equity at exit
$12,883

Cash invested: $41,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98683

Rents YoY
-0.1%
Active inventory
178
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,098 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$781
Tax from tax record
$57 /mo · $684/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$440
Net cashflow
$757

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,140
Max offer price $149,000
Occupancy floor 59%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $841 -5% $799 +0% $757 +5% $714 +10% $672
Rent -10% $591 -5% $674 +0% $757 +5% $839 +10% $922
Rate -1.0pp $832 -0.5pp $794 base $757 +0.5pp $718 +1.0pp $679

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,250
Closing costs
$4,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3100 SE 168th Ave Vancouver, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1040 $2,205 $2.12 2d 14 0.54mi
16506 SE 29th St Vancouver, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1062 $1,962 $1.85 2d 13 0.67mi
16900 SE 26th Dr Vancouver, WA 2.0 2.0 1043 $1,926 $1.85 2d 5 0.74mi
2610 SE 164th Ave Unit G12 Vancouver, WA 2.0 2.0 1130 $2,265 $2.00 44d 1 0.87mi
2404 SE 161st Ct Unit X182 Vancouver, WA 2.0 2.0 900 $1,495 $1.66 20d 1 0.96mi
Chase LNDG Gresham, OR 3.0 2.5 1389 $2,200 $1.58 13d 3 0.99mi
1600 SE 168th Ave Vancouver, WA 3.0 1.5 1210 $2,350 $1.94 5d 1 1.18mi
2220 SE 192nd Ave Vancouver, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 905 $1,979 $2.19 3d 4 1.18mi
3114 SE 147th Pl Vancouver, WA 2.0–3.0 1.5 1271 $1,825 $1.44 15d 12 1.34mi
5515 NW Pacific Rim Blvd Camas, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1121 $3,999 $3.57 2d 18 1.40mi
5988 NW 38th Ave Camas, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 922 $2,461 $2.67 2d 12 1.42mi
17775 SE Mill Plain Blvd Vancouver, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 732 $2,353 $3.21 5d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $149,000 Active 125 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $149,000 Active 122 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $149,000 Active 121 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $149,000 Active 120 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $149,000 Active 119 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $149,000 Active 117 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $149,000 Active 116 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,000 Active 113 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,000 Active 112 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,000 Active 111 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $149,000 Active 107 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $149,000 Active 106 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,000 Active 105 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,000 Active 104 DOM
  15. 2026-03-21
    status Active 647-char remark
    Show marketing remark (647 chars)

    OPEN HOUSE: Sunday, May 24 from 1 to 3:00PM. PRICE REDUCED on this Beautiful & move in ready home in the much sought after Vista Del Rio Mobil Home Park (55+). This cutie boasts 2Bd2Bath with numerous updates including: roof, floors, heat pump, exterior skirting boards and much more. Backyard patio provides comfortable outdoor space. Light and bright living room. Garage & carport. Space rent includes water & sewer as well as use of pool & clubhouse with exercise room, library, pool tables and numerous community activities. Buyer may assume Sellers lease rate of $540Mo. thru 10-19-26. Come take a look soon before it's gone!

  16. 2025-10-17
    price $159,000 647-char remark
    Show marketing remark (647 chars)

    OPEN HOUSE: Sunday, May 24 from 1 to 3:00PM. PRICE REDUCED on this Beautiful & move in ready home in the much sought after Vista Del Rio Mobil Home Park (55+). This cutie boasts 2Bd2Bath with numerous updates including: roof, floors, heat pump, exterior skirting boards and much more. Backyard patio provides comfortable outdoor space. Light and bright living room. Garage & carport. Space rent includes water & sewer as well as use of pool & clubhouse with exercise room, library, pool tables and numerous community activities. Buyer may assume Sellers lease rate of $540Mo. thru 10-19-26. Come take a look soon before it's gone!

  17. 2025-10-01
    listed $175,000 Active 647-char remark
    Show marketing remark (647 chars)

    OPEN HOUSE: Sunday, May 24 from 1 to 3:00PM. PRICE REDUCED on this Beautiful & move in ready home in the much sought after Vista Del Rio Mobil Home Park (55+). This cutie boasts 2Bd2Bath with numerous updates including: roof, floors, heat pump, exterior skirting boards and much more. Backyard patio provides comfortable outdoor space. Light and bright living room. Garage & carport. Space rent includes water & sewer as well as use of pool & clubhouse with exercise room, library, pool tables and numerous community activities. Buyer may assume Sellers lease rate of $540Mo. thru 10-19-26. Come take a look soon before it's gone!

  18. 2014-05-23
    soldstatus $56,500 Sold 437-char remark
    Show marketing remark (437 chars)

    Beautiful complex for senior living and an experience for a very affordable price..spacious 2 bedroom, 1.75 bath with a great carport for additional parking when not in the garage. Great club house amenities, with exercise room, billiards, outdoor pool and plenty of room for park get togethers or family gatherings. This 55+ park is well maintained and each unit does a remarkable job with their landscaping and outside decor. come see.

  19. 2014-05-23
    soldstatus $56,000 Sold
    Show marketing remark (437 chars)

    Beautiful complex for senior living and an experience for a very affordable price..spacious 2 bedroom, 1.75 bath with a great carport for additional parking when not in the garage. Great club house amenities, with exercise room, billiards, outdoor pool and plenty of room for park get togethers or family gatherings. This 55+ park is well maintained and each unit does a remarkable job with their landscaping and outside decor. come see.

  20. 2014-04-05
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (437 chars)

    Beautiful complex for senior living and an experience for a very affordable price..spacious 2 bedroom, 1.75 bath with a great carport for additional parking when not in the garage. Great club house amenities, with exercise room, billiards, outdoor pool and plenty of room for park get togethers or family gatherings. This 55+ park is well maintained and each unit does a remarkable job with their landscaping and outside decor. come see.

  21. 2014-04-05
    status Pending 437-char remark
    Show marketing remark (437 chars)

    Beautiful complex for senior living and an experience for a very affordable price..spacious 2 bedroom, 1.75 bath with a great carport for additional parking when not in the garage. Great club house amenities, with exercise room, billiards, outdoor pool and plenty of room for park get togethers or family gatherings. This 55+ park is well maintained and each unit does a remarkable job with their landscaping and outside decor. come see.

  22. 2014-04-03
    price $49,500
  23. 2014-03-30
    listed $149,500 Active
    Show marketing remark (437 chars)

    Beautiful complex for senior living and an experience for a very affordable price..spacious 2 bedroom, 1.75 bath with a great carport for additional parking when not in the garage. Great club house amenities, with exercise room, billiards, outdoor pool and plenty of room for park get togethers or family gatherings. This 55+ park is well maintained and each unit does a remarkable job with their landscaping and outside decor. come see.

  24. 2014-03-30
    listed $49,500 Active 437-char remark
    Show marketing remark (437 chars)

    Beautiful complex for senior living and an experience for a very affordable price..spacious 2 bedroom, 1.75 bath with a great carport for additional parking when not in the garage. Great club house amenities, with exercise room, billiards, outdoor pool and plenty of room for park get togethers or family gatherings. This 55+ park is well maintained and each unit does a remarkable job with their landscaping and outside decor. come see.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$684 · $57/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,460 · $122/mo
Expected delta
+$776/yr (+$65/mo · 113.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,171
− Mortgage interest
−$8,346
− Property taxes
−$684
− Insurance
−$745
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,014
− Management
−$2,014
− Depreciation
−$4,335
Taxable income
$7,033
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,688
After-tax cash flow
$7,391/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Evergreen School District (Clark)
NCES district ID
5302700
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$59,418
Composite
42.53/100
National rank
#6859
State rank
#164 of 291 in WA

Livability — Vancouver

Score
82/100
State rank
#62
US rank
#1133

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living D- Crime F Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Vancouver, WA
County
Clark County · 513,189 people
City population
360,195
Metro
Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
Population (ZIP)
32,107
Household income
$87,659
Rent vs Own
43.1% rent · 56.9% own
Severe rent burden
1485.0

Population outlook (Clark County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
529,610 people
By 2030
563,242 · +6.4%
By 2040
625,905 · +18.2%
By 2050
681,558 · +28.7%
By 2075
805,967 · +52.2%
By 2100
877,450 · +65.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 11% Asian 10% Pacific Islander 2% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Chinese 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Clark

2024 margin
Lean D (+7.0) · D 52.1% · R 45.1% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
+0.9pp no change · 2008: 6.1pp · 2024: 7.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+7.0 2020: D+5.1 2016: D+0.1 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+6.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -273.47%
Current HPI
296.9734
Rent YoY
▼ -0.06%
Metro
Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+221.2% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-21 Relisted RMLS
  • 2025-10-17 Price Changed $159,000 RMLS
  • 2025-10-01 Listed $175,000 RMLS
  • 2014-05-23 Sold (MLS) $56,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-05-23 Sold (MLS) $56,500 RMLS
  • 2014-04-05 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-04-05 Pending RMLS
  • 2014-04-03 Price Changed $49,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-03-30 Listed $149,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-03-30 Listed $49,500 RMLS

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2026): $684 · +70.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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