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304 Barnard Ct
B Composite 71.95
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.9/15.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$105,000

304 Barnard Ct · Longmont, CO 80501
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · Manufactured · 69 Days on market
Built 2015 Good condition Est $106k · at est. ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming 2015 manufactured home located in a well-maintained community on a leased lot. This 76x16 home offers comfortable single-level living with an open layout and functional floor plan. Great opportunity for affordable homeownership in Longmont! Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major commuter routes. Buyer must be approved by the park prior to closing. Lot rent applies and covers community services (buyer to verify current amount and inclusions). Sold “ As is”! * Buyer must get approved by St Vrain Mobile Home Park.

Key facts

  • Near dining
  • Near shopping
  • Open layout

Tags

WELL-MAINTAINED COMMUNITYOPEN LAYOUTFUNCTIONAL FLOOR PLANCONVENIENTLY LOCATEDNEAR SHOPPINGNEAR DINING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Month-to-month lease term for land; Land lease amount $910.75 monthly; Land lease expires December 31, 2026
  • HOA & community: Located in a senior community; Land lease in place (monthly land lease)

Exterior

  • Parking: 3 off-street parking spaces (3 total parking spaces)
  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Manufactured in park; Manufactured home; Individual ownership
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Composition roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven; Self-cleaning oven; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Disposal
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms, all on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms, both on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Dishwasher; Disposal; Dryer; Microwave; Oven; Refrigerator; Self-cleaning oven; Washer
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and Dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $105k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $466 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
  • Recommended offer: $99k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.5% vs local median 2.6% in Longmont — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#24 in CO, #2,736 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • St. Vrain Valley School District No. Re1J (suburban): math 32% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #23 of 86 in CO (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Central Elementary School (math 44% / reading 62%, grade C, #168 of 966 statewide, top 18%, 340 students, 26% FRL); Westview Middle School (math 36% / reading 52%, grade D, #63 of 270 statewide, top 23%, 652 students, 34% FRL); Longmont High School (math 30% / reading 58%, grade F, #149 of 381 statewide, top 39%, 1,262 students, 44% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 174 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,688 units permitted in Boulder County in 2024 (1,136 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Boulder County population projected at +40% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.6% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($99k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $98,700 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.95%
Cap rate
16.49%
Cash-on-cash
36.42%
DSCR
2.62
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$105,984
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
307 Barnard Ct 0.03mi 3/2.0 1,088 (-6%) 9mo $100,000 $92 82
323 Barnard Ct 0.05mi 3/2.0 1,088 (-6%) 18mo $81,000 $74 73

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.64% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.4%
Equity multiple
1.28×
Total profit
$8,188
Equity at exit
$15,656
10-year hold
IRR
13.8%
Equity multiple
1.95×
Total profit
$27,917
Equity at exit
$9,078

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
38 Tenant-Leaning
State Colorado
38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2023 reforms: 10-day cure, mandated notice, source-of-income protected. Courts backlogged in Denver.

ZIP-level market 80501

Rents YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
174
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,048 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax est. 1.5%
$131 /mo · $1,575/yr
Insurance
$44
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$430
Net cashflow
$466

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,458
Max offer price $105,000
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $538 -5% $502 +0% $466 +5% $429 +10% $393
Rent -10% $304 -5% $385 +0% $466 +5% $547 +10% $627
Rate -1.0pp $519 -0.5pp $492 base $466 +0.5pp $438 +1.0pp $411

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 20 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
104 Judson St Longmont, CO 2.0 1.0 810 $1,650 $2.04 21d 1 0.45mi
221 Gay St Unit C Longmont, CO 2.0 2.0 700 $1,495 $2.14 21d 1 0.53mi
808 Delaware Ave Unit D Longmont, CO 2.0 1.0 700 $1,300 $1.86 21d 1 0.55mi
732 Delaware Ave Unit A Longmont, CO 2.0 1.0 875 $1,600 $1.83 21d 1 0.58mi
720 Fairlane Ave Longmont, CO 2.0 1.0 828 $1,775 $2.14 21d 3 0.60mi
485 2nd Ave Longmont, CO 2.0 1.0–2.0 858 $2,420 $2.82 21d 45 0.83mi
210 Emery St Longmont, CO 2.0–3.0 2.5 1492 $2,975 $1.99 14d 3 0.94mi
815 6th Ave Unit 1 Longmont, CO 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,675 $1.68 21d 1 0.97mi
525 Dry Creek Dr Longmont, CO 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 947 $2,766 $2.92 14d 89 1.10mi
1403 Lefthand Dr Longmont, CO 2.0 1.0 810 $1,645 $2.03 14d 1 1.13mi
2430 Mountain Brook Dr Longmont, CO 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1029 $3,005 $2.92 14d 56 1.19mi
2735 Mountain Brook Dr Longmont, CO 3.0 1.0–3.0 945 $3,345 $3.54 14d 175 1.20mi
1353 S Coffman St Longmont, CO 2.0 1.0 804 $1,925 $2.39 14d 1 1.20mi
1344 S Coffman St Longmont, CO 2.0 1.0 750 $1,295 $1.73 14d 1 1.20mi
1328 S Coffman St Unit 1 Longmont, CO 3.0 1.0 966 $1,745 $1.81 21d 1 1.21mi
1328 S Coffman St Longmont, CO 3.0 1.0 966 $1,795 $1.86 14d 2 1.21mi
1530 9th Ave Longmont, CO 1.0–2.0 1.0 870 $1,600 $1.84 14d 4 1.21mi
911 Tulip St Longmont, CO 2.0 2.0 1196 $1,895 $1.58 21d 1 1.28mi
946 Pratt St Unit B Longmont, CO 2.0 1.0 791 $1,800 $2.28 21d 1 1.37mi
100 E 2nd Ave Longmont, CO 3.0 1.0–2.0 965 $3,325 $3.44 14d 93 1.39mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $105,000 Active 69 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    price $105,000 Active 68 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $115,000 Active 68 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $115,000 Active 67 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $115,000 Active 66 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $115,000 Active 64 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $115,000 Active 63 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $115,000 Active 60 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $115,000 Active 59 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $115,000 Active 58 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $115,000 Active 53 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $115,000 Active 52 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $115,000 Active 51 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    pricedays on market $115,000 Active 50 DOM
  15. 2026-05-13
    price $120,000
  16. 2026-04-27
    status Active
  17. 2026-04-11
    status Pending Accepting Backup Offers
  18. 2026-03-25
    listed $125,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone AE · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,575
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$1,575
− Insurance
−$5,644
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,966
− Management
−$1,966
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable income
$4,488
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,077
After-tax cash flow
$4,511/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 2015 manufactured home in a well-maintained community is in good condition with minor repairs needed. It offers a good balance of updates and maintenance, making it a solid investment.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Paint touch-ups — Paint appears fresh, but touch-ups may be needed for minor imperfections
  • Minor Landscaping — Could benefit from additional greenery to enhance curb appeal

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint touch-ups — Fresh paint enhances the home's appearance and can increase its resale value
  • Rental Landscaping — Enhanced landscaping can attract more renters and increase rental value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Paint touch-ups · Paint appears fresh, but touch-ups may be needed for minor imperfections Minor $500–3,000
Landscaping · Could benefit from additional greenery to enhance curb appeal Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $1,000–6,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint touch-ups — Fresh paint enhances the home's appearance and can increase its resale value
  • Rental Landscaping — Enhanced landscaping can attract more renters and increase rental value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Vrain Valley School District No. Re1J
NCES district ID
0805370
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$71,571
Composite
37.73/100
National rank
#4353
State rank
#23 of 86 in CO

Livability — Longmont

Score
77/100
State rank
#24
US rank
#2736

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Longmont, CO
County
Boulder County · 271,666 people
City population
143,444
Metro
Boulder, CO
Population (ZIP)
44,147
Household income
$80,911
Rent vs Own
41.5% rent · 58.5% own
Severe rent burden
1958.0

Population outlook (Boulder County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
380,833 people
By 2030
412,028 · +8.2%
By 2040
472,764 · +24.1%
By 2050
532,029 · +39.7%
By 2075
679,723 · +78.5%
By 2100
766,278 · +101.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (62%)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 16% Asian 1% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 25%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Boulder

2024 margin
Solid D (+55.8) · D 76.5% · R 20.8% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
+9.6pp toward D · 2008: 46.1pp · 2024: 55.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+55.8 2020: D+56.6 2016: D+48.6 2012: D+41.5 2008: D+46.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -567.24%
Current HPI
268.454
Rent YoY
▲ 0.64%
Metro
Boulder, CO
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.95%
F500 in state
14

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $120,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-27 Relisted REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-11 Pending REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-25 Listed $125,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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