303 W Kiowa Ave · Cleveland, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
$44,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor's dream opportunity! Situated on a rare large double lot at the end of a quiet street in a desirable neighborhood. This property features a detached oversized two-car garage, fully fenced yard, and a newer roof (just 1 year old). Tons of potential for expansion, rental income, or redevelopment. Home Sold "AS IS WHERE IS" NO REPAIRS TO BE MADE BY SELLER.
Key facts
- 0.46 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1932
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; 2-car garage
- Security: No safety shelter
- Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family property with basement; Basement is full and unfinished
- Construction: Built with aluminum siding and wood frame; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Basement foundation
- Exterior features: No notable exterior amenities listed; South-facing
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven; Range; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on the first floor; Additional bedroom(s) on the first floor
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Tile
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; Master bath on the first floor
- Interior features: Aluminum-frame and vinyl windows; Laminate counters; Gas oven connection; No additional interior security/safety shelter
- Laundry & utility: Electric dryer hookup; Utility room on the first floor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $461 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($950 rent vs $45k).
- Recommended offer: $42k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.6% vs local median 6.2% in Cleveland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#93 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-, schools D-.
- Cleveland (town): math 21% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #169 of 270 in OK (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 89 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 3 units permitted in Pawnee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($310 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Pawnee County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($42k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (47%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1932 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1932 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 44.03%
- DSCR
- 2.96
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $158,372
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 201 N Dunlap St | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 | 1,158 (+0%) | 10mo | $150,000 | $130 | 74 |
| 601 W Wichita Ave W | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,227 (+6%) | 6mo | $48,000 | $39 | 67 |
| 100 Birch Ct | 0.26mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,200 (+4%) | 12mo | $146,000 | $122 | 65 |
| 912 N C Ave | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,096 (-5%) | 3mo | $180,000 | $164 | 63 |
| 702 W Wichita St | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,176 (+2%) | 13mo | $165,900 | $141 | 61 |
| 700 Cedar Ct | 0.43mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,104 (-4%) | 7mo | $129,900 | $118 | 60 |
| 311 N Division St | 0.12mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,298 (+12%) | 8mo | $178,000 | $137 | 60 |
| 403 N Vine Ave | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,092 (-6%) | 10mo | $170,000 | $156 | 58 |
| 321 N Gilbert Ave | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,238 (+7%) | 3mo | $170,000 | $137 | 54 |
| 500 E Delaware St | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 1,032 (-11%) | 4mo | $5,000 | $5 | 53 |
| 710 W Osage St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,024 (-11%) | 2mo | $25,000 | $24 | 46 |
| 1306 Jodebo Rd | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,260 (+9%) | 11mo | $175,000 | $139 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 58.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.28×
- Total profit
- $53,832
- Equity at exit
- $40,449
- IRR
- 52.1%
- Equity multiple
- 11.77×
- Total profit
- $135,428
- Equity at exit
- $87,231
Cash invested: $12,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74020
- Home prices YoY
- 6.9%
- Active inventory
- 89
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $950 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$235
- Tax from tax record
- −$35 /mo · $421/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$200
- Net cashflow
- $461
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $487 | -5% $474 | +0% $461 | +5% $449 | +10% $436 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $386 | -5% $424 | +0% $461 | +5% $499 | +10% $536 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $484 | -0.5pp $473 | base $461 | +0.5pp $450 | +1.0pp $438 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,225
- Closing costs
- $1,347
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 803 W Cherokee St Cleveland, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $950 | $1.24 | 4d | 1 | 0.49mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $44,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $44,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $44,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $44,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $44,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $44,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $79,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $79,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $79,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-05-04price $79,900
-
2026-04-10$85,000 Active
-
2024-07-22soldstatus $105,000
-
2015-05-16historical
-
2014-11-16$69,900
-
2014-10-28historical
-
2014-04-28$69,900
-
2014-04-12historical
-
2013-10-12$69,900
-
2010-12-29historical
-
2010-10-11$79,900
-
2010-09-26historical
-
2010-06-25$79,900
-
2010-06-21historical
-
2010-01-05$89,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $421 · $35/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $421 · $35/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,400
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,515
- − Property taxes
- −$421
- − Insurance
- −$224
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$912
- − Management
- −$912
- − Depreciation
- −$1,306
- Taxable income
- $5,109
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,226
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,309/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cleveland
- NCES district ID
- 4008040
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 19% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,642
- Composite
- 17.52/100
- National rank
- #9049
- State rank
- #169 of 270 in OK
Livability — Cleveland
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #93
- US rank
- #10844
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cleveland, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,365
Population outlook (Pawnee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 16,219 people
- By 2030
- 16,028 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 15,724 · -3.1%
- By 2050
- 15,563 · -4.0%
- By 2075
- 15,905 · -1.9%
- By 2100
- 16,058 · -1.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Two or more races 12% Native American 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pawnee
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+58.9) · D 19.7% · R 78.6% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.4pp toward R · 2008: -37.4pp · 2024: -58.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+58.9 2020: R+57.5 2016: R+53.2 2012: R+40.0 2008: R+37.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 14.01%
- Current HPI
- 218.04
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
-11.1% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $79,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-04-10 Listed $85,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2024-07-22 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
- 2015-05-16 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2014-11-16 Listed $69,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2014-10-28 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2014-04-28 Listed $69,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2014-04-12 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2013-10-12 Listed $69,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2010-12-29 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2010-10-11 Listed $79,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2010-09-26 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2010-06-25 Listed $79,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2010-06-21 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2010-01-05 Listed $89,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
Property tax history
+0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $421 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…