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521 Bedford St
C+ Composite 62.37
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.8/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$124,900

521 Bedford St · Paint, PA 15963
4 bd · 0.5 ba · 1,678 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 54 Days on market
Built 1920 0.62 ac lot $74/sqft · 23% above area Est $101k · 23% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

AMAZING 4 BEDROOM HOME SITUATED ON . 619 ACRES IN PAINT BORO/WINDBER SCHOOLS. .. you will love the welcoming covered front porch that is perfect for relaxing. The inviting foyer with open staircase, beautiful built-in bookcases, and WW carpet opens to the large living room with ceiling fan, WW carpet, and original woodwork. French doors lead your guests to the charming dining room for those special gatherings or casual meals. The adjoining kitchen has ample laminate cabinets, appliances, and Pergo floor. To complete the main floor is mud room with built-in cabinet and access to rear patio. Upstairs is 3/4 bath with vanity and walk-in shower plus 4 bedrooms with WW carpet and closet/storage. Walk-up attic provides plenty of additional storage space. Unfinished basement has laundry area, shower, and commode. Oil hot water heat; coal furnace; and gas space heater; 100 amp electrical; newer windows; metal roof; and hardwood floors under all the wall to wall carpet. Enjoy outdoor entertaining on the spacious covered rear patio. Oversized 3-car garage with workshop includes one car stall on the upper level and two car stalls on the lower level. Don't miss this rare find. To make this home your home sweet home, call today for more details, to receive your tour packet, and to schedule your personal tour!

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Open staircase
  • Built-in bookcases

Tags

COVERED FRONT PORCHOPEN STAIRCASEBUILT-IN BOOKCASESLARGE LIVING ROOMCHARMING DINING ROOMAMPLE LAMINATE CABINETS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/0.5-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $604 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $121k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#1,222 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Windber Area SD (suburban): math 45% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #166 of 539 in PA (top 31%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 78 units permitted in Somerset County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Somerset County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $121,153 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.48%
Cap rate
12.09%
Cash-on-cash
20.71%
DSCR
1.92
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$101,167
List price
$124,900
Delta
23.46%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
307 Cambria Ave 0.26mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,536 (-8%) 4mo $205,000 $133 59
201 7th St 0.39mi 4/2.0 1,598 (-5%) 11mo $148,000 $93 59
302 6th St 0.32mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,776 (+6%) 7mo $159,900 $90 58
401 8th St 0.43mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,644 (-2%) 11mo $165,000 $100 58
504 Hoffman Ave 0.33mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,752 (+4%) 19mo $182,000 $104 51
309 12th St 0.69mi 4/2.0 1,794 (+7%) 2mo $30,000 $17 49
306 11th St 0.65mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,614 (-4%) 12mo $55,000 $34 46
300 6th St 0.34mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,500 (-11%) 19mo $137,694 $92 44
210 10th St 0.59mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,536 (-8%) 13mo $140,000 $91 40
1210 Somerset Ave 0.74mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,500 (-11%) 2mo $128,000 $85 35
312 12th St 0.71mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,883 (+12%) 17mo $130,000 $69 20

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.1%
Equity multiple
1.52×
Total profit
$18,225
Equity at exit
$18,623
10-year hold
IRR
21.9%
Equity multiple
2.87×
Total profit
$65,467
Equity at exit
$10,799

Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15963

Home prices YoY
-24.4%
Active inventory
45
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,850 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$655
Tax from tax record
$151 /mo · $1,811/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$388
Net cashflow
$604

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,086
Max offer price $124,900
Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,225
Closing costs
$3,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
213 Sunapee Dr Johnstown, PA 3.0 2.5 2087 $1,850 $0.89 43d 1 1.15mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    status $124,900 Pending 54 DOM
  2. 2026-04-06
    listed $124,900 Active 1317-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1317 chars)

    AMAZING 4 BEDROOM HOME SITUATED ON . 619 ACRES IN PAINT BORO/WINDBER SCHOOLS. .. you will love the welcoming covered front porch that is perfect for relaxing. The inviting foyer with open staircase, beautiful built-in bookcases, and WW carpet opens to the large living room with ceiling fan, WW carpet, and original woodwork. French doors lead your guests to the charming dining room for those special gatherings or casual meals. The adjoining kitchen has ample laminate cabinets, appliances, and Pergo floor. To complete the main floor is mud room with built-in cabinet and access to rear patio. Upstairs is 3/4 bath with vanity and walk-in shower plus 4 bedrooms with WW carpet and closet/storage. Walk-up attic provides plenty of additional storage space. Unfinished basement has laundry area, shower, and commode. Oil hot water heat; coal furnace; and gas space heater; 100 amp electrical; newer windows; metal roof; and hardwood floors under all the wall to wall carpet. Enjoy outdoor entertaining on the spacious covered rear patio. Oversized 3-car garage with workshop includes one car stall on the upper level and two car stalls on the lower level. Don't miss this rare find. To make this home your home sweet home, call today for more details, to receive your tour packet, and to schedule your personal tour!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,811 · $151/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,892 · $158/mo
Expected delta
+$81/yr (+$7/mo · 4.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,200
− Mortgage interest
−$6,996
− Property taxes
−$1,811
− Insurance
−$624
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,776
− Management
−$1,776
− Depreciation
−$3,633
Taxable income
$5,582
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,340
After-tax cash flow
$5,903/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Windber Area SD
NCES district ID
4226610
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$36,802
Composite
43.54/100
National rank
#2985
State rank
#166 of 539 in PA

Livability — Paint

Score
64/100
State rank
#1222
US rank
#14563

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Paint, PA
Population (ZIP)
10,383

Population outlook (Somerset County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
71,318 people
By 2030
68,555 · -3.9%
By 2040
62,447 · -12.4%
By 2050
56,437 · -20.9%
By 2075
44,453 · -37.7%
By 2100
32,408 · -54.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 17% Slovak 3% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Somerset

2024 margin
Solid R (+57.2) · D 21.0% · R 78.3%
2008→2024 swing
-32.2pp toward R · 2008: -25.0pp · 2024: -57.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+57.2 2020: R+56.3 2016: R+55.9 2012: R+42.9 2008: R+25.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -45.99%
Current HPI
142.2017
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-06 Listed $124,900 CSMLS

Property tax history

+3.5%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,811 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…