560 Oak St · Winnsboro Mills, SC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 54.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Located in the heart of Winnsboro’s historic mill village, 560 Oak St offers a rare opportunity to restore a spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home with 2,400 heated square feet on a 0.2-acre lot and fenced in yard. This one-story vinyl-sided home sits on a crawl space and features a formal living room, public water and sewer, and public paved road. The home is in poor condition and requires a full renovation, including some walls, flooring, painting, kitchen and bathroom restoration. This home used to be a duplex and the property now functions as a single residence and is ideal for investors or cash buyers seeking a project with long-term potential. Winnsboro is known for its charming histo
Key facts
- Public paved road
- Monticello reservoir
- Full renovation
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 4 parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story house; Faces southeast; Vinyl exterior finish; Crawlspace foundation
- Construction: Vinyl exterior; Crawlspace foundation
- Exterior features: Patio; Covered front porch; Chain link fencing; Paved road access; Public water
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in layout; Formica countertops; Painted cabinets; Free-standing gas range
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom (main) with shared bath, ceiling fan, private closet, hardwood floors; Bedroom 2 (main) with shared bath, ceiling fan, private closet; Bedroom 3 (main) with shared bath, private closet, recessed lighting, luxury vinyl plank floors; Bedroom 4 (main) with shared bath, ceiling fan
- Flooring: Hardwood in living and formal living areas; Hardwood in master bedroom; Luxury vinyl plank in Bedroom 3; Vinyl in formal dining room
- Bathrooms: Two full baths (main)
- Heating & cooling: Central cooling; Central heating with gas on first level
- Interior features: Attic access; Tankless hot water; Free-standing gas range; Eat-in kitchen with Formica countertops and painted cabinets; Laundry in heated space (main level)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level in heated space; Tankless hot water
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $406 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#265 in SC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Fairfield 01 (rural): math 26% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #53 of 80 in SC (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Fairfield Elementary (math 16% / reading 17%, grade F, #535 of 597 statewide, top 90%, 463 students, 100% FRL); Fairfield Central High (math 37% / reading 77%, grade C, #120 of 196 statewide, top 64%, 662 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 80% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 91 units permitted in Fairfield County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Fairfield County population projected at -32% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 54% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.48%
- DSCR
- 1.91
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $314,012
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 101 Hunstanton Dr | 0.38mi | 4/3.0 | 2,597 (-4%) | 12mo | $300,000 | $116 | 61 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.52×
- Total profit
- $36,145
- Equity at exit
- $38,220
- IRR
- 27.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.89×
- Total profit
- $92,477
- Equity at exit
- $58,901
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29180-0000
- Active inventory
- 4
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,290 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$132 /mo · $1,580/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$271
- Net cashflow
- $406
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $454 | -5% $430 | +0% $406 | +5% $382 | +10% $358 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $304 | -5% $355 | +0% $406 | +5% $457 | +10% $508 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $449 | -0.5pp $428 | base $406 | +0.5pp $384 | +1.0pp $362 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-05status Pending
-
2026-05-01status Active
-
2026-02-23status Pending
-
2026-01-21status Active
-
2025-12-02status Pending
-
2025-11-25$85,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,580 · $132/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,580 · $132/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 54% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,479
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$1,580
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,238
- − Management
- −$1,238
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $3,763
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$903
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,971/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fairfield 01
- NCES district ID
- 4502100
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,836
- Composite
- 26.37/100
- National rank
- #7232
- State rank
- #53 of 80 in SC
Livability — Winnsboro Mills
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #265
- US rank
- #21184
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Winnsboro Mills, SC
Population outlook (Fairfield County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 21,017 people
- By 2030
- 19,778 · -5.9%
- By 2040
- 16,973 · -19.2%
- By 2050
- 14,251 · -32.2%
- By 2075
- 9,195 · -56.2%
- By 2100
- 5,722 · -72.8%
Not yet ingested
- Political lean
- —
- Race & ethnicity
- —
- Common origin
- —
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Pending — Consolidated MLS
- 2026-05-01 Relisted — Consolidated MLS
- 2026-02-23 Pending — Consolidated MLS
- 2026-01-21 Relisted — Consolidated MLS
- 2025-12-02 Pending — Consolidated MLS
- 2025-11-25 Listed $85,000 Consolidated MLS
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,580 · +18.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…