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4306 Sunset St
D Composite 42.05
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$270,000

4306 Sunset St · Amarillo, TX 79118
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,500 sqft · SingleFamily · 159 Days on market
Built 2026 Good condition 5,749 sqft lot $3/mo HOA

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to the Massachusetts floorplan, a beautifully designed, 3-bedroom new construction home, where spacious living meets everyday comfort. This open-concept floor plan features a generous living and dining area that flows seamlessly into a well-appointed kitchen, complete with granite countertops, custom cabinetry, and bar seating-ideal for entertaining or casual family meals. The isolated primary suite offers a private retreat, featuring a large walk-in closet and a stylish primary bath with dual vanities and a sleek standing shower. Two additional bedrooms provide flexibility for guests, family, or a home office. Step outside to enjoy a large covered back patio that overlooks a spacious backyard-perfect for outdoor dining, relaxing evenings, or weekend gatherings. Built with quality in mind, this home includes spray foam insulation, full sod and irrigation in both front and backyards, granite countertops throughout, and thoughtfully selected finishes that enhance both style and efficiency. The Massachusetts floor plan offers the space you need and the comfort you deserve-all in a place you'll be proud to call home. Ask about our current promotions today - you won't want to miss out! (Please note: Photos are for reference only. Actual brick, granite, paint colors, and floorplan orientation may vary based on the specific home. )

Key facts

  • Spacious backyard
  • 5,749 sq ft lot
  • 2 parking spots

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT FLOOR PLANWELL-APPOINTED KITCHENLARGE COVERED BACK PATIOSPACIOUS BACKYARDSPRAY FOAM INSULATIONFULL SOD AND IRRIGATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $270k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-84 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $258k (4.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $226k (16.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $226k (16.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#624 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
  • Canyon ISD (town): math 60% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #78 of 826 in TX (top 9%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Sundown Lane El (math 52% / reading 47%, grade D, #865 of 4,322 statewide, top 21%, 341 students, 52% FRL); Greenways Int (math 73% / reading 50%, grade B+, #141 of 1,662 statewide, top 9%, 619 students, 35% FRL); Randall H S (math 43% / reading 64%, grade C-, #428 of 1,632 statewide, top 27%, 1,148 students, 35% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 278 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 45 units permitted in Randall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($88k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Randall County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 159 days — a 12% lower offer ($238k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $225,905 (16.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 159 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
5.92%
Cash-on-cash
-1.34%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
10.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.52% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.7%
Equity multiple
0.43×
Total profit
$-43,210
Equity at exit
$40,258
10-year hold
IRR
-3.4%
Equity multiple
0.75×
Total profit
$-19,018
Equity at exit
$23,345

Cash invested: $75,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79118

Rents YoY
5.5%
Active inventory
278
Price-to-rent
10.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,259 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,416
Tax est. 1.5%
$338 /mo · $4,050/yr
Insurance
$112
HOA
$3
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$474
Net cashflow
$-84

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,366
Max offer price $257,807
Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $102 -5% $9 +0% $-84 +5% $-178 +10% $-271
Rent -10% $-263 -5% $-173 +0% $-84 +5% $5 +10% $94
Rate -1.0pp $52 -0.5pp $-16 base $-84 +0.5pp $-154 +1.0pp $-225

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,500
Closing costs
$8,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4400 Sunset St Amarillo, TX 3.0 2.0 1400 $2,125 $1.52 45d 1 0.07mi
10602 Stone Meadow Dr Amarillo, TX 3.0 2.0 1575 $2,200 $1.40 45d 1 0.29mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$3 · $36/yr

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $270,000 Active 159 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $270,000 Active 156 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $270,000 Active 155 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $270,000 Active 154 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $270,000 Active 153 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $270,000 Active 151 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $270,000 Active 150 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $270,000 Active 148 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $270,000 Active 147 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $270,000 Active 146 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $270,000 Active 145 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $270,000 Active 142 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $270,000 Active 141 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $270,000 Active 140 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $270,000 Active 139 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $270,000 Active 138 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $270,000 Active 137 DOM
  18. 2026-01-14
    listed $270,000 Active 1355-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1355 chars)

    Welcome to the Massachusetts floorplan, a beautifully designed, 3-bedroom new construction home, where spacious living meets everyday comfort. This open-concept floor plan features a generous living and dining area that flows seamlessly into a well-appointed kitchen, complete with granite countertops, custom cabinetry, and bar seating-ideal for entertaining or casual family meals. The isolated primary suite offers a private retreat, featuring a large walk-in closet and a stylish primary bath with dual vanities and a sleek standing shower. Two additional bedrooms provide flexibility for guests, family, or a home office. Step outside to enjoy a large covered back patio that overlooks a spacious backyard-perfect for outdoor dining, relaxing evenings, or weekend gatherings. Built with quality in mind, this home includes spray foam insulation, full sod and irrigation in both front and backyards, granite countertops throughout, and thoughtfully selected finishes that enhance both style and efficiency. The Massachusetts floor plan offers the space you need and the comfort you deserve-all in a place you'll be proud to call home. Ask about our current promotions today - you won't want to miss out! (Please note: Photos are for reference only. Actual brick, granite, paint colors, and floorplan orientation may vary based on the specific home. )

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,109
− Mortgage interest
−$15,124
− Property taxes
−$4,050
− Insurance
−$1,350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,169
− Management
−$2,169
− HOA
−$36
− Depreciation
−$7,855
Taxable loss
−$5,644
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,354
After-tax cash flow
$343/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This well-maintained, move-in-ready home features a spacious floor plan with granite countertops and dual vanities. It is in good condition with no visible repairs needed.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value
  • Both Add a small outdoor lighting system — Enhances safety and curb appeal

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value
  • Both Add a small outdoor lighting system — Enhances safety and curb appeal

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Canyon ISD
NCES district ID
4812810
Math proficiency
60% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$65,177
Composite
50.07/100
National rank
#1912
State rank
#78 of 826 in TX

Livability — Amarillo

Score
66/100
State rank
#624
US rank
#11876

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Amarillo, TX
County
Randall County · 137,351 people
City population
185,802
Metro
Amarillo, TX
Population (ZIP)
28,107
Household income
$87,810
Rent vs Own
23.7% rent · 76.3% own
Severe rent burden
367.0

Population outlook (Randall County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
152,140 people
By 2030
163,107 · +7.2%
By 2040
184,999 · +21.6%
By 2050
206,948 · +36.0%
By 2075
260,204 · +71.0%
By 2100
294,980 · +93.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (57%)
Race & ethnicity
White 57% Hispanic / Latino 35% Two or more races 18% Black 2% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 31%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 14% Vietnamese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Randall

2024 margin
Solid R (+60.4) · D 19.4% · R 79.8%
2008→2024 swing
+2.3pp toward D · 2008: -62.7pp · 2024: -60.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+60.4 2020: R+58.8 2016: R+65.1 2012: R+68.2 2008: R+62.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -111.59%
Current HPI
162.5206
Rent YoY
▲ 5.52%
Metro
Amarillo, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-01-14 Listed $270,000 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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