2013 De Koven Ave · Racine, WI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great opportunity for an owner occupant or investor to purchase this freshly remodeled home. New flooring and paint throughout, New Kitchen and bath. Home is ready to move it!
Key facts
- 4,356 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1910
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $85 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $156k (2.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $150k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 4.0% in Racine — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#58 in WI, #1,622 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-.
- Racine Unified School District (urban): math 12% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #335 of 342 in WI (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 91 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 505 units permitted in Racine County in 2024 (287 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Racine County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $63k; list at $160k implies a 154% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.27%
- DSCR
- 1.10
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $204,780
- List price
- $159,900
- Delta
- -21.92%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2301 Olive St | 0.37mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,008 (0%) | 4mo | $160,000 | $159 | 73 |
| 1640 Boyd Ave | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,045 (+4%) | 3mo | $175,000 | $167 | 71 |
| 2042 Hickory Grove Ave | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 967 (-4%) | 6mo | $193,000 | $200 | 69 |
| 1900 Arlington Ave | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,112 (+10%) | 2mo | $220,000 | $198 | 64 |
| 2514 James Blvd | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,029 (+2%) | 6mo | $250,000 | $243 | 63 |
| 1950 Grange Ave | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,100 (+9%) | 1mo | $242,000 | $220 | 60 |
| 1550 Packard Ave | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,087 (+8%) | 4mo | $72,500 | $67 | 59 |
| 2143 Howe St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,040 (+3%) | 1mo | $107,777 | $104 | 56 |
| 1801 Arlington Ave Ave | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,140 (+13%) | 4mo | $241,900 | $212 | 51 |
| 1628 Mead St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 897 (-11%) | 3mo | $161,000 | $179 | 45 |
| 1827 Franklin St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,155 (+15%) | 2mo | $53,500 | $46 | 37 |
| 2908 Arlington Ave | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,159 (+15%) | 6mo | $190,000 | $164 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.84% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-15,870
- Equity at exit
- $23,842
- IRR
- 3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.30×
- Total profit
- $13,298
- Equity at exit
- $13,825
Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 53403
- Rents YoY
- 5.8%
- Active inventory
- 91
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,561 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$243 /mo · $2,920/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$328
- Net cashflow
- $85
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $175 | -5% $130 | +0% $85 | +5% $40 | +10% $-6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-38 | -5% $23 | +0% $85 | +5% $147 | +10% $208 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $165 | -0.5pp $126 | base $85 | +0.5pp $43 | +1.0pp $1 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,975
- Closing costs
- $4,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2328 21st St Racine, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1239 | $1,750 | $1.41 | 14d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 512 16th St Unit 2 Racine, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 959 | $1,095 | $1.14 | 22d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1540 Park Ave Unit 301 Racine, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 22d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1722 Wisconsin Ave Unit 2 Racine, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1380 | $1,860 | $1.35 | 22d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1612 Winslow St Racine, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 22d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-01days on market $159,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $159,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-04-29status Active 175-char remark
Show marketing remark (175 chars)
Great opportunity for an owner occupant or investor to purchase this freshly remodeled home. New flooring and paint throughout, New Kitchen and bath. Home is ready to move it!
-
2026-04-12historical Contingent 175-char remark
Show marketing remark (175 chars)
Great opportunity for an owner occupant or investor to purchase this freshly remodeled home. New flooring and paint throughout, New Kitchen and bath. Home is ready to move it!
-
2026-03-23price $159,900 175-char remark
Show marketing remark (175 chars)
Great opportunity for an owner occupant or investor to purchase this freshly remodeled home. New flooring and paint throughout, New Kitchen and bath. Home is ready to move it!
-
2026-03-12price $169,900 175-char remark
Show marketing remark (175 chars)
Great opportunity for an owner occupant or investor to purchase this freshly remodeled home. New flooring and paint throughout, New Kitchen and bath. Home is ready to move it!
-
2026-03-04$174,900 Active 175-char remark
Show marketing remark (175 chars)
Great opportunity for an owner occupant or investor to purchase this freshly remodeled home. New flooring and paint throughout, New Kitchen and bath. Home is ready to move it!
-
2026-01-09historical $1,995
-
2025-11-25$1,995
-
2023-02-06soldstatus $63,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,920 · $243/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,939 · $245/mo
- Expected delta
- +$19/yr (+$2/mo · 0.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,734
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,957
- − Property taxes
- −$2,920
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,499
- − Management
- −$1,499
- − Depreciation
- −$4,652
- Taxable loss
- −$1,591
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$382
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,400/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Racine Unified School District
- NCES district ID
- 5512360
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,716
- Composite
- 14.64/100
- National rank
- #9405
- State rank
- #335 of 342 in WI
Livability — Racine
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #58
- US rank
- #1622
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Racine, WI
- County
- Racine County · 146,693 people
- City population
- 67,505
- Metro
- Racine, WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,009
- Household income
- $59,820
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1164.0
Population outlook (Racine County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 195,281 people
- By 2030
- 193,725 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 188,159 · -3.6%
- By 2050
- 181,323 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 174,342 · -10.7%
- By 2100
- 166,870 · -14.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 42% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 16%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 19% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Portuguese 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 15%
Political lean MEDSL · Racine
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+6.2) · D 46.3% · R 52.5% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.6pp toward R · 2008: 7.4pp · 2024: -6.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+6.2 2020: R+4.1 2016: R+4.4 2012: D+3.6 2008: D+7.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -147.08%
- Current HPI
- 191.0012
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.84%
- Metro
- Racine, WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
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Price history
+153.8% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Relisted — METROMLS
- 2026-04-12 Contingent — METROMLS
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $159,900 METROMLS
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $169,900 METROMLS
- 2026-03-04 Listed $174,900 METROMLS
- 2026-01-09 Rental Removed $1,995 APPFOLIO
- 2025-11-25 Listed for Rent $1,995 APPFOLIO
- 2023-02-06 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,920 · +10.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…