🌊 Lakefront
13420 Marsala Ct · Baton Rouge, LA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.77%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +12.6/30.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Schools +0.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$315,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
***Seller to pay $5000 toward buyer's closing cost, fence or other upgrades to property.*** This better-than-new, one-story 2023 lakefront home offers modern design, thoughtful upgrades, and an ideal cul-de-sac location. This spacious 5-bedroom, 3-bath home features a highly desirable one-story, triple-split floor plan, providing privacy and flexibility for families, guests, or home office needs. The open-concept living area seamlessly connects the living room, dining space, and kitchen--perfect for entertaining and everyday living. The kitchen is well appointed with stainless steel appliances, granite countertops, a large island, ample cabinetry, and a spacious pantry. Vinyl plank flooring runs throughout the main living areas, while carpeted bedrooms add warmth and comfort. The primary suite offers tranquil lake views and a spa-style bathroom with double vanities, a large soaking tub, separate shower, and a walk-in closet with built-in shelving. Four additional bedrooms--each with walk-in closets--share two additional full bathrooms. Relax on the covered back patio with ceiling fan overlooking the lake. Additional highlights include custom blinds throughout, gutters, landscaped front yard with stone and paver accents, a doorbell camera, and a two-car garage.
Key facts
- Cul-de-sac location
- Granite countertops
- Lakefront home
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $315k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-468 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $232k (26.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $266k (15.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $232k (26.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.1% in Baton Rouge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#24 in LA, #4,535 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, crime F, employment D-.
- East Baton Rouge Parish (urban): math 22% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #47 of 98 in LA (top 48%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Cedarcrest-Southmoor Elementary School (math 16% / reading 25%, grade F, #439 of 646 statewide, top 68%, 735 students, 72% FRL); Southeast Middle School (math 7% / reading 18%, grade F, #191 of 218 statewide, top 88%, 994 students, 77% FRL); Liberty High School (math 50% / reading 74%, grade B-, #15 of 265 statewide, top 6%, 1,208 students, 60% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 451 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 73d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 86% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 2,252 units permitted in East Baton Rouge Parish in 2024 (440 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($103k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- East Baton Rouge County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 8 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.57%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $466,108
- List price
- $315,000
- Delta
- -32.42%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13661 Willamette Way | 0.32mi | 4/4.0 (-1) | 2,079 (+3%) | 0mo | $265,000 | $127 | 70 |
| 13414 Marsala Ct | 0.02mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,819 (-10%) | 7mo | $325,000 | $179 | 68 |
| 12563 Stutgart Ave | 0.65mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 1,984 (-2%) | 1mo | $280,000 | $141 | 60 |
| 13830 Malbec Ave | 0.50mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,159 (+7%) | 3mo | $395,000 | $183 | 58 |
| 13818 Malbec Ave | 0.48mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,887 (-6%) | 3mo | $302,000 | $160 | 55 |
| 12522 Stutgart Ave | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,014 (-0%) | 3mo | $315,000 | $156 | 55 |
| 4529 Mendocino Way | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,084 (+3%) | 5mo | $324,000 | $155 | 52 |
| 13919 Keever Ave | 0.51mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,867 (-7%) | 3mo | $304,900 | $163 | 52 |
| 3352 Millbrook Dr | 0.38mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,811 (-10%) | 6mo | $325,000 | $179 | 51 |
| 13930 Keever Ave | 0.53mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,159 (+7%) | 9mo | $345,000 | $160 | 51 |
| 13937 Keever Ave | 0.54mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,870 (-7%) | 11mo | $339,000 | $181 | 44 |
| 12526 Beldart Ct | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,304 (+14%) | 3mo | $299,900 | $130 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.05% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -28.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.06×
- Total profit
- $-83,118
- Equity at exit
- $46,968
- IRR
- -32.4%
- Equity multiple
- -0.36×
- Total profit
- $-119,790
- Equity at exit
- $27,235
Cash invested: $88,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 10 active · 11 under contract
- Months of supply
- 4.6 mo (22%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $347,450 ($167/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 42 d
- This list price
- 30% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +38.2% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 70817
- Rents YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 451
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,657 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,652
- Tax from tax record
- −$296 /mo · $3,553/yr
- Insurance
- −$131
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$62
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$558
- Net cashflow
- $-468
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-290 | -5% $-379 | +0% $-468 | +5% $-558 | +10% $-647 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-678 | -5% $-573 | +0% $-468 | +5% $-364 | +10% $-259 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-310 | -0.5pp $-388 | base $-468 | +0.5pp $-550 | +1.0pp $-633 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $78,750
- Closing costs
- $9,450
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13343 Bellacosa Ave Baton Rouge, LA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2016 | $2,695 | $1.34 | 16d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 13312 Bellacosa Ave Baton Rouge, LA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2016 | $2,395 | $1.19 | 93d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 4644 Grenache Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2159 | $2,250 | $1.04 | 72d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 3736 Sessions Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2822 | $3,200 | $1.13 | 72d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 4719 Mendocino Way Baton Rouge, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1704 | $2,200 | $1.29 | 63d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 2208 Sprucewood Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1872 | $2,100 | $1.12 | 72d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 12119 Mallory Ave Baton Rouge, LA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2345 | $2,300 | $0.98 | 63d | 1 | 1.32mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Community features include playground and sidewalksLocated in the Bellacosa subdivision
- Financial info
- No investment/multifamily financial details provided
- HOA & community
- Homeowners associationAnnual HOA fee of $745 (approximately $62.08/month)Community poolAssociation maintenance
Exterior
- Parking
- 2 parking spacesGarage with garage door opener
- Security
- Security systemSmoke detectors
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewer
- Home design
- Single-family residenceDetachedResidential property
- Construction
- Vinyl siding, frame, and brick constructionShingle roofSlab foundationBuilt by D.R. Horton, Inc. - Gulf CoastModel: Lacombe
- Exterior features
- LightingRain guttersCovered patio/porchLakefront waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen
- RangeOvenDishwasherDisposalMicrowaveRefrigeratorStainless steel appliances
- Bedrooms
- No specific bedroom details provided
- Flooring
- TileVinyl
- Bathrooms
- 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Central heatingCentral air conditioning
- Interior features
- Breakfast barHigh ceilingsSee remarksWindow screens
- Laundry & utility
- Washer hookup insideElectric dryer hookupGas water heater
Listing history 43 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $315,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $315,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $315,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $315,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $315,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $315,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $315,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $315,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $315,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $315,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $315,000 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $315,000 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $315,000 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $315,000 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $315,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-23days on market $315,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $315,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $315,000 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $315,000 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $315,000 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $315,000 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $315,000 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $315,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $315,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $315,000 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $315,000 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $315,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $315,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $315,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-01pricedays on market $315,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $325,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-05-31pricedays on market $325,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-03-28price $320,000 1336-char remark
-
2026-03-28price $320,000 1356-char remark
-
2026-03-13price $339,000 1336-char remark
-
2026-03-13price $339,000 1356-char remark
-
2026-01-02$345,000 Active 1336-char remark
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2026-01-02$345,000 Active 1356-char remark
-
2025-12-23historical $345,000 1356-char remark
-
2024-03-18soldstatus Sold
-
2024-02-07status Pending
-
2023-10-16$348,450 Active
-
2023-10-16$348,450
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,553 · $296/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,553 · $296/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 77% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,887
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,645
- − Property taxes
- −$3,553
- − Insurance
- −$6,694
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,551
- − Management
- −$2,551
- − HOA
- −$744
- − Depreciation
- −$9,164
- Taxable loss
- −$11,013
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,643
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,979/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This move-in ready home offers a modern design and is in good condition, with minor cosmetic updates needed to enhance curb appeal and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior shutters — Enhances curb appeal ↑
- Both Add landscaping — Improves curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and adds value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Baton Rouge Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200540
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -36.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -31.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,263
- Composite
- 24.14/100
- National rank
- #7745
- State rank
- #47 of 98 in LA
Livability — Baton Rouge
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #24
- US rank
- #4535
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- East Baton Rouge Parish · 464,810 people
- City population
- 351,868
- Metro
- Baton Rouge, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,482
- Household income
- $102,639
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 19% of renters
Population outlook (East Baton Rouge County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 464,810 people
- By 2030
- 472,137 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 480,243 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 484,422 · +4.2%
- By 2075
- 492,069 · +5.9%
- By 2100
- 476,347 · +2.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Black 21% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 13% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 3% Arabic 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · East Baton Rouge
- 2024 margin
- D (+11.1) · D 54.5% · R 43.4% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +8.9pp toward D · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: 11.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+11.1 2020: D+13.1 2016: D+9.2 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+2.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -149.27%
- Current HPI
- 170.6826
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- Metro
- Baton Rouge, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
-9.6% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-07-25 Listed $315,000 GBRMLS
- 2026-07-25 Listed $315,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-06-30 Relisted — AcadianaMLS
- 2026-06-30 Relisted — GBRMLS
- 2026-06-01 Price Changed $315,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-06-01 Price Changed $315,000 GBRMLS
- 2026-05-29 Price Changed $325,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-05-29 Price Changed $325,000 GBRMLS
- 2026-03-28 Price Changed $320,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-03-28 Price Changed $320,000 GBRMLS
- 2026-03-13 Price Changed $339,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-03-13 Price Changed $339,000 GBRMLS
- 2026-01-02 Listed $345,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-01-02 Listed $345,000 GBRMLS
- 2025-12-23 Coming Soon — GBRMLS
- 2024-03-18 Sold (MLS) — GBRMLS
- 2024-02-07 Pending — GBRMLS
- 2023-10-16 Listed $348,450 AcadianaMLS
- 2023-10-16 Listed $348,450 GBRMLS
Property tax history
+143.3%/yrLatest (2025): $3,553 · -0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…