59 Golf Dr · River Park, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$15,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful well maintained home in Spanish Lakes One. Nice and clean fully furnished 2 bedroom 2 bath with lake view from enclosed porch. A/C replaced in 2018. Tie downs replaced in 2013. Ramp to front entrance and home is handicap accessible.
Key facts
- Parking
- Community pool
- Built 1992
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Is in a senior community; Pets allowed (restrictions possible)
- HOA & community: Community association with on-site management; Monthly association fee (amount provided to listing); Association amenities include pool, clubhouse, fitness center, tennis courts, golf course, beach club access, game/billiard rooms, picnic area, shuffleboard, basketball court, community room, library, sidewalks, and street lights
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport; Carport with 2 covered spaces (4 parking spaces total)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 220 volt electric; Sewer and water available
- Home design: Manufactured home; One story; Resale condition; Faces north; Facing west of US-1
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Modular construction; Composition shingle roof; Aluminum skirt
- Exterior features: Paved road frontage; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air (electric)
- Interior features: Built-in features; Kitchen island; Walk-in closet(s); Closet cabinetry; Partially furnished
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater; Laundry available inside and outside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $15k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $685 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $15k).
- Recommended offer: $13k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 61.1% vs local median 6.3% in River Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#451 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, commute A-; Watch: amenities F, employment F, health & safety D-.
- St. Lucie (urban): math 40% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #51 of 73 in FL (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Savanna Ridge Elementary School (math 40% / reading 45%, grade F, #1,383 of 2,144 statewide, top 65%, 452 students, 75% FRL); Port St. Lucie High School (math 21% / reading 43%, grade F, #415 of 667 statewide, top 63%, 1,748 students, 67% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 639 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,868 units permitted in St. Lucie County in 2024 (268 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $104 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $450 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Lucie County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 215 days — a 12% lower offer ($13k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 41% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 215 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 13.76% ✓
- Cap rate
- 61.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 195.69%
- DSCR
- 9.71
- GRM
- 0.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $45,144
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Huarte Way | 0.39mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,188 (0%) | 3mo | $45,000 | $38 | 74 |
| 7 Reforma Ln | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,150 (-3%) | 20mo | $37,000 | $32 | 70 |
| 45 Mediterranean Blvd W | 0.28mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,200 (+1%) | 24mo | $38,000 | $32 | 60 |
| 23 Oro Grande Way | 0.39mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,088 (-8%) | 6mo | $45,000 | $41 | 57 |
| 5 Yolanda Ln | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,280 (+8%) | 5mo | $39,000 | $30 | 51 |
| 25 Rio Verde Way | 0.52mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,200 (+1%) | 22mo | $64,900 | $54 | 51 |
| 23 San Pablo Ln | 0.72mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,200 (+1%) | 13mo | $37,000 | $31 | 49 |
| 82 Spanish Way | 0.62mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,245 (+5%) | 22mo | $18,000 | $14 | 40 |
| 560 Natalie Dr | 0.73mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,248 (+5%) | 18mo | $162,800 | $130 | 37 |
| 541 Natalie Dr | 0.74mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,032 (-13%) | 22mo | $85,000 | $82 | 20 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.92% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 10.41×
- Total profit
- $39,521
- Equity at exit
- $2,237
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 20.98×
- Total profit
- $83,903
- Equity at exit
- $1,297
Cash invested: $4,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34952
- Home prices YoY
- -29.6%
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 639
- Price-to-rent
- 0.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,064 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$79
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$19 /mo · $225/yr
- Insurance
- −$6
- HOA
- −$842
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$433
- Net cashflow
- $685
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $3,750
- Closing costs
- $450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1900 Bella Vista Way Port Saint Lucie, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 995 | $1,764 | $1.77 | 14d | 15 | 0.78mi |
| 7700 Pine Lakes Blvd Port Saint Lucie, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1022 | $2,212 | $2.16 | 14d | 16 | 0.85mi |
| 124 E Arbor Ave Port Saint Lucie, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 964 | $2,550 | $2.65 | 14d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 14 Lake Vista Trl #101 Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $2,200 | $1.88 | 23d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 11 Lake Vista Trl #206 Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,400 | $1.30 | 23d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 26 Lake Vista Trl #201 Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $1,500 | $1.28 | 23d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 4 Lake Vista Trl #202 Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,700 | $1.57 | 21d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 730 SE White Ave Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1386 | $10,000 | $7.22 | 23d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2 Lake Vista Trl #107 Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $1,850 | $1.58 | 23d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1 Lake Vista Trl #201 Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $1,800 | $1.54 | 23d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 326 Shady Ln Port Saint Lucie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1030 | $2,250 | $2.18 | 23d | 1 | 1.34mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $842 · $10,104/yr
Listing history 35 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $15,000 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $15,000 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $15,000 Active 213 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $15,000 Active 212 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $15,000 Active 210 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $15,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $15,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $15,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $15,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $15,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $15,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $15,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $15,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $15,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $15,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $15,000 Active 10 DOM
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2026-05-20$15,000 Active
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2026-02-04status Active
-
2025-12-18status Pending
-
2025-11-09price $20,000
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2025-11-01status Active
-
2025-10-09status Pending
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2025-09-05$25,000 Active
-
2024-04-25soldstatus $42,500 Closed 242-char remark
Show marketing remark (242 chars)
Beautiful well maintained home in Spanish Lakes One. Nice and clean fully furnished 2 bedroom 2 bath with lake view from enclosed porch. A/C replaced in 2018. Tie downs replaced in 2013. Ramp to front entrance and home is handicap accessible.
-
2024-03-11historical Active Under Contract 242-char remark
Show marketing remark (242 chars)
Beautiful well maintained home in Spanish Lakes One. Nice and clean fully furnished 2 bedroom 2 bath with lake view from enclosed porch. A/C replaced in 2018. Tie downs replaced in 2013. Ramp to front entrance and home is handicap accessible.
-
2024-03-06price $49,900 242-char remark
Show marketing remark (242 chars)
Beautiful well maintained home in Spanish Lakes One. Nice and clean fully furnished 2 bedroom 2 bath with lake view from enclosed porch. A/C replaced in 2018. Tie downs replaced in 2013. Ramp to front entrance and home is handicap accessible.
-
2024-02-29price $50,000 242-char remark
Show marketing remark (242 chars)
Beautiful well maintained home in Spanish Lakes One. Nice and clean fully furnished 2 bedroom 2 bath with lake view from enclosed porch. A/C replaced in 2018. Tie downs replaced in 2013. Ramp to front entrance and home is handicap accessible.
-
2024-01-18price $59,900 242-char remark
Show marketing remark (242 chars)
Beautiful well maintained home in Spanish Lakes One. Nice and clean fully furnished 2 bedroom 2 bath with lake view from enclosed porch. A/C replaced in 2018. Tie downs replaced in 2013. Ramp to front entrance and home is handicap accessible.
-
2024-01-03$69,000 Active 242-char remark
Show marketing remark (242 chars)
Beautiful well maintained home in Spanish Lakes One. Nice and clean fully furnished 2 bedroom 2 bath with lake view from enclosed porch. A/C replaced in 2018. Tie downs replaced in 2013. Ramp to front entrance and home is handicap accessible.
-
2021-03-16historical
-
2020-12-01$39,000 Active
-
2020-01-23soldstatus $17,500 Closed
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2019-12-30status Pending
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2019-11-26price $19,900
-
2019-03-05$22,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,768
- − Mortgage interest
- −$840
- − Property taxes
- −$225
- − Insurance
- −$75
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,981
- − Management
- −$1,981
- − HOA
- −$10,104
- − Depreciation
- −$436
- Taxable income
- $9,125
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,190
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,029/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Lucie
- NCES district ID
- 1201770
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,737
- Composite
- 37.28/100
- National rank
- #4449
- State rank
- #51 of 73 in FL
Livability — River Park
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #451
- US rank
- #8159
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Saint Lucie County · 337,150 people
- City population
- 221,051
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,655
- Household income
- $61,628
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1759.0
Population outlook (St. Lucie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 338,016 people
- By 2030
- 355,687 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 385,521 · +14.1%
- By 2050
- 406,106 · +20.1%
- By 2075
- 441,054 · +30.5%
- By 2100
- 436,885 · +29.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 14% Black 10% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 16% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Tagalog/Filipino 2%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Lucie
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.1) · D 45.1% · R 54.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.1pp · 2024: -9.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.1 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+2.5 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+12.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -155.80%
- Current HPI
- 371.0573
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.92%
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
-31.8% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listed $15,000 Beaches MLS
- 2026-02-04 Relisted — Beaches MLS
- 2025-12-18 Pending — Beaches MLS
- 2025-11-09 Price Changed $20,000 Beaches MLS
- 2025-11-01 Relisted — Beaches MLS
- 2025-10-09 Pending — Beaches MLS
- 2025-09-05 Listed $25,000 Beaches MLS
- 2024-04-25 Sold (MLS) $42,500 Beaches MLS
- 2024-03-11 Contingent — Beaches MLS
- 2024-03-06 Price Changed $49,900 Beaches MLS
- 2024-02-29 Price Changed $50,000 Beaches MLS
- 2024-01-18 Price Changed $59,900 Beaches MLS
- 2024-01-03 Listed $69,000 Beaches MLS
- 2021-03-16 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2020-12-01 Listed $39,000 Beaches MLS
- 2020-01-23 Sold (MLS) $17,500 MCRTC
- 2019-12-30 Pending — MCRTC
- 2019-11-26 Price Changed $19,900 MCRTC
- 2019-03-05 Listed $22,000 MCRTC
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…