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4217 Old Birmingham Hwy
B+ Composite 75.39
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$53,000

4217 Old Birmingham Hwy · West End-Cobb Town, AL 36201
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 900 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 331 Days on market
Built 1946 10,018 sqft lot $59/sqft · 45% below area Est $97k · 45% under ↓ 24% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is a great opportunity for investors or DIY enthusiasts! With plenty of potential, this property is ready for your personal touch. Situated on a spacious lot in the neighborhood. It’s the perfect canvas for a full renovation or rental project. This home is being sold AS-IS.

Key facts

  • 0.23 acre lot
  • Built 1946
  • Listed 330 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $53k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $472 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $53k).
  • Recommended offer: $47k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Calhoun County (rural): math 19% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #46 of 129 in AL (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 73 active listings in the ZIP; 135 units permitted in Calhoun County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $366 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Calhoun County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 331 days — a 12% lower offer ($47k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $46,640 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 331 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.91%
Cap rate
16.97%
Cash-on-cash
38.15%
DSCR
2.70
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$97,063
List price
$53,000
Delta
-45.40%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
7 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
34.2%
Equity multiple
2.45×
Total profit
$21,451
Equity at exit
$7,902
10-year hold
IRR
41.1%
Equity multiple
4.86×
Total profit
$57,334
Equity at exit
$4,582

Cash invested: $14,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36201

Active inventory
73
Price-to-rent
4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,011 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$278
Tax from tax record
$27 /mo · $321/yr
Insurance
$22
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$212
Net cashflow
$472

Break-even live

Break-even rent $414
Max offer price $53,000
Occupancy floor 48%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $502 -5% $487 +0% $472 +5% $457 +10% $442
Rent -10% $392 -5% $432 +0% $472 +5% $512 +10% $552
Rate -1.0pp $498 -0.5pp $485 base $472 +0.5pp $458 +1.0pp $444

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,250
Closing costs
$1,590
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $53,000 Active 331 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $53,000 Active 330 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $53,000 Active 329 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $53,000 Active 328 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $53,000 Active 327 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $53,000 Active 325 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $53,000 Active 324 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $53,000 Active 322 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $53,000 Active 321 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $53,000 Active 320 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $53,000 Active 319 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $53,000 Active 316 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $53,000 Active 315 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $53,000 Active 314 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $53,000 Active 313 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $53,000 Active 312 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $53,000 Active 311 DOM
  18. 2026-01-04
    price $53,000 308-char remark
    Show marketing remark (308 chars)

    This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is a great opportunity for investors or DIY enthusiasts! With plenty of potential, this property is ready for your personal touch. Situated on a spacious lot in the neighborhood. It’s the perfect canvas for a full renovation or rental project. This home is being sold AS-IS.

  19. 2025-10-22
    price $59,400 308-char remark
    Show marketing remark (308 chars)

    This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is a great opportunity for investors or DIY enthusiasts! With plenty of potential, this property is ready for your personal touch. Situated on a spacious lot in the neighborhood. It’s the perfect canvas for a full renovation or rental project. This home is being sold AS-IS.

  20. 2025-08-07
    price $59,900 308-char remark
    Show marketing remark (308 chars)

    This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is a great opportunity for investors or DIY enthusiasts! With plenty of potential, this property is ready for your personal touch. Situated on a spacious lot in the neighborhood. It’s the perfect canvas for a full renovation or rental project. This home is being sold AS-IS.

  21. 2025-07-22
    listed $69,900 Active 308-char remark
    Show marketing remark (308 chars)

    This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is a great opportunity for investors or DIY enthusiasts! With plenty of potential, this property is ready for your personal touch. Situated on a spacious lot in the neighborhood. It’s the perfect canvas for a full renovation or rental project. This home is being sold AS-IS.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$321 · $27/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$321 · $27/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,130
− Mortgage interest
−$2,969
− Property taxes
−$321
− Insurance
−$265
− Repairs & maintenance
−$970
− Management
−$970
− Depreciation
−$1,542
Taxable income
$5,093
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,222
After-tax cash flow
$4,439/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Calhoun County
NCES district ID
0100540
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -26.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$44,891
Composite
28.91/100
National rank
#6635
State rank
#46 of 129 in AL

Livability — West End-Cobb Town

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
West End-Cobb Town, AL
City population
17,406
Population (ZIP)
17,406

Population outlook (Calhoun County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
109,765 people
By 2030
105,708 · -3.7%
By 2040
96,192 · -12.4%
By 2050
86,413 · -21.3%
By 2075
63,467 · -42.2%
By 2100
44,704 · -59.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Black 46% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Scandinavian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Calhoun

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.8) · D 27.2% · R 71.9%
2008→2024 swing
-12.2pp toward R · 2008: -32.5pp · 2024: -44.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.8 2020: R+39.0 2016: R+41.4 2012: R+31.9 2008: R+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -78.92%
Current HPI
59.1512
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-24.2% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-04 Price Changed $53,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-10-22 Price Changed $59,400 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-08-07 Price Changed $59,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-07-22 Listed $69,900 Greater Alabama MLS

Property tax history

+3.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $321 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…