4217 Old Birmingham Hwy · West End-Cobb Town, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$53,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is a great opportunity for investors or DIY enthusiasts! With plenty of potential, this property is ready for your personal touch. Situated on a spacious lot in the neighborhood. It’s the perfect canvas for a full renovation or rental project. This home is being sold AS-IS.
Key facts
- 0.23 acre lot
- Built 1946
- Listed 330 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $53k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $472 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $53k).
- Recommended offer: $47k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Calhoun County (rural): math 19% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #46 of 129 in AL (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 73 active listings in the ZIP; 135 units permitted in Calhoun County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $366 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Calhoun County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 331 days — a 12% lower offer ($47k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 331 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.91% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 38.15%
- DSCR
- 2.70
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $97,063
- List price
- $53,000
- Delta
- -45.40%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.45×
- Total profit
- $21,451
- Equity at exit
- $7,902
- IRR
- 41.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.86×
- Total profit
- $57,334
- Equity at exit
- $4,582
Cash invested: $14,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36201
- Active inventory
- 73
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,011 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$278
- Tax from tax record
- −$27 /mo · $321/yr
- Insurance
- −$22
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$212
- Net cashflow
- $472
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $502 | -5% $487 | +0% $472 | +5% $457 | +10% $442 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $392 | -5% $432 | +0% $472 | +5% $512 | +10% $552 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $498 | -0.5pp $485 | base $472 | +0.5pp $458 | +1.0pp $444 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,250
- Closing costs
- $1,590
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $53,000 Active 331 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $53,000 Active 330 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $53,000 Active 329 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $53,000 Active 328 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $53,000 Active 327 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $53,000 Active 325 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $53,000 Active 324 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $53,000 Active 322 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $53,000 Active 321 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $53,000 Active 320 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $53,000 Active 319 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $53,000 Active 316 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $53,000 Active 315 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $53,000 Active 314 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $53,000 Active 313 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $53,000 Active 312 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $53,000 Active 311 DOM
-
2026-01-04price $53,000 308-char remark
Show marketing remark (308 chars)
This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is a great opportunity for investors or DIY enthusiasts! With plenty of potential, this property is ready for your personal touch. Situated on a spacious lot in the neighborhood. It’s the perfect canvas for a full renovation or rental project. This home is being sold AS-IS.
-
2025-10-22price $59,400 308-char remark
Show marketing remark (308 chars)
This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is a great opportunity for investors or DIY enthusiasts! With plenty of potential, this property is ready for your personal touch. Situated on a spacious lot in the neighborhood. It’s the perfect canvas for a full renovation or rental project. This home is being sold AS-IS.
-
2025-08-07price $59,900 308-char remark
Show marketing remark (308 chars)
This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is a great opportunity for investors or DIY enthusiasts! With plenty of potential, this property is ready for your personal touch. Situated on a spacious lot in the neighborhood. It’s the perfect canvas for a full renovation or rental project. This home is being sold AS-IS.
-
2025-07-22$69,900 Active 308-char remark
Show marketing remark (308 chars)
This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is a great opportunity for investors or DIY enthusiasts! With plenty of potential, this property is ready for your personal touch. Situated on a spacious lot in the neighborhood. It’s the perfect canvas for a full renovation or rental project. This home is being sold AS-IS.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $321 · $27/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $321 · $27/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,130
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,969
- − Property taxes
- −$321
- − Insurance
- −$265
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$970
- − Management
- −$970
- − Depreciation
- −$1,542
- Taxable income
- $5,093
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,222
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,439/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Calhoun County
- NCES district ID
- 0100540
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,891
- Composite
- 28.91/100
- National rank
- #6635
- State rank
- #46 of 129 in AL
Livability — West End-Cobb Town
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West End-Cobb Town, AL
- City population
- 17,406
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,406
Population outlook (Calhoun County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 109,765 people
- By 2030
- 105,708 · -3.7%
- By 2040
- 96,192 · -12.4%
- By 2050
- 86,413 · -21.3%
- By 2075
- 63,467 · -42.2%
- By 2100
- 44,704 · -59.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 46% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Scandinavian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Calhoun
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.8) · D 27.2% · R 71.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.2pp toward R · 2008: -32.5pp · 2024: -44.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.8 2020: R+39.0 2016: R+41.4 2012: R+31.9 2008: R+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -78.92%
- Current HPI
- 59.1512
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
-24.2% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-04 Price Changed $53,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-10-22 Price Changed $59,400 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-08-07 Price Changed $59,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-07-22 Listed $69,900 Greater Alabama MLS
Property tax history
+3.9%/yrLatest (2025): $321 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…