2201 S Central Ave · Oklahoma City, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.9/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +2.4/15.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
$79,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great investment opportunity just south of downtown OKC and near Scissortail Park. This two-bedroom, one-bath home sits on an oversized lot with additional parking in a commercial area along a vibrant, busy street. There is a detached garage with a one-bedroom apartment upstairs. (garage apartment is 572 SF, not included in SF) This unique setup offers a blend of residential comfort amid the energy of the commercial surroundings. Ideally located just a few miles from the future MAPS 4 Multipurpose Stadium, which will anchor a new sports and entertainment district just south of Bricktown, east of Scissortail Park, near the I-40 corridor. Construction of the new stadium is slated to start in
Key facts
- 7,000 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1933
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $79k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $546 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
- Cap rate 14.6% vs local median 3.7% in Oklahoma City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#3 in OK, #1,635 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
- Oklahoma City (urban): math 7% / reading 10% proficiency, ranked #254 of 270 in OK (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Shidler Es (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #802 of 845 statewide, top 100%, 325 students, 0% FRL); Capitol Hill Hs (math 2% / reading 4%, grade F, #444 of 447 statewide, top 99%, 1,455 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 82% district-wide (82 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 83 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 5,365 units permitted in Oklahoma County in 2024 (569 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($546 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.8% local appreciation)).
- Oklahoma County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (1.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1933 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1933 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.72% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.64%
- DSCR
- 2.32
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $70,962
- List price
- $79,000
- Delta
- 11.33%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 417 SE 23rd St | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,040 (+1%) | 0mo | $170,000 | $163 | 84 |
| 107 SE 22nd St | 0.17mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,056 (+2%) | 8mo | $158,000 | $150 | 74 |
| 129 SE 23rd St | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,116 (+8%) | 3mo | $200,000 | $179 | 71 |
| 727 SE 19th St | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,056 (+2%) | 1mo | $173,000 | $164 | 67 |
| 501 SE 15th St | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,019 (-2%) | 2mo | $55,000 | $54 | 64 |
| 324 SE 16th St | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,092 (+6%) | 19mo | $188,000 | $172 | 54 |
| 220 SE 26th St | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,063 (+3%) | 20mo | $70,000 | $66 | 52 |
| 404 SE 17th St | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 912 (-12%) | 11mo | $146,900 | $161 | 48 |
| 21 SW 23rd St | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 966 (-7%) | 17mo | $85,000 | $88 | 47 |
| 221 SE 27th St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 926 (-10%) | 21mo | $50,000 | $54 | 36 |
| 726 SE 18th St | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 910 (-12%) | 21mo | $109,100 | $120 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.75% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 33.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.77×
- Total profit
- $39,216
- Equity at exit
- $30,084
- IRR
- 34.8%
- Equity multiple
- 5.41×
- Total profit
- $97,553
- Equity at exit
- $42,510
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73129
- Home prices YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 83
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,359 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax from tax record
- −$80 /mo · $957/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$285
- Net cashflow
- $546
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 526 SE 21st St Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1054 | $1,150 | $1.09 | 4d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 321 SE 25th St Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,095 | $0.95 | 43d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 407 SE 25th St Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,275 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 630 SE 21st St Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,095 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1900 Terrace Lawn Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1415 | $1,225 | $0.87 | 2d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 2701 S Phillips Ave Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1177 | $995 | $0.85 | 23d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 904 SE 34th St Oklahoma City, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $1,495 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 4101 S Shields Blvd Apt 3B Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 957 | $1,025 | $1.07 | 4d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 4101 S Shields Blvd Unit Shields 3B Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 957 | $1,050 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-04-13$90,000 Active 733-char remark
-
2026-03-31historical
-
2026-02-26price $100,000
-
2025-12-27price $115,000
-
2025-12-27$105,000 Active
-
2024-06-01historical
-
2024-01-28status Pending
-
2023-12-04$89,000 Active
-
2005-10-25historical
-
2005-09-12$79,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $957 · $80/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $957 · $80/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,304
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$957
- − Insurance
- −$395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,304
- − Management
- −$1,304
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable income
- $5,620
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,349
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,208/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Oklahoma City
- NCES district ID
- 4022770
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 10% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,606
- Composite
- 7.0/100
- National rank
- #9970
- State rank
- #254 of 270 in OK
Livability — Oklahoma City
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #1635
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oklahoma City, OK
- County
- Oklahoma County · 771,644 people
- City population
- 498,656
- Metro
- Oklahoma City, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,014
- Household income
- $46,670
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 611.0
Population outlook (Oklahoma County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 911,875 people
- By 2030
- 982,413 · +7.7%
- By 2040
- 1,130,468 · +24.0%
- By 2050
- 1,288,422 · +41.3%
- By 2075
- 1,711,482 · +87.7%
- By 2100
- 2,088,448 · +129.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 57% Two or more races 26% White 26% Black 9% Native American 7% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 53%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 24% · Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 54% English-only · Spanish 44% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oklahoma
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.7% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +15.1pp toward D · 2008: -16.8pp · 2024: -1.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.7 2020: R+1.1 2016: R+10.5 2012: R+16.7 2008: R+16.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.75%
- Current HPI
- 250.8581
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Oklahoma City, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
-1.1% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $79,000 MLSOK
- 2026-05-27 Listing Removed — MLSOK
- 2026-05-25 Listing Removed — MLSOK
- 2026-05-22 Price Changed $79,000 MLSOK
- 2026-04-13 Listed $90,000 MLSOK
- 2026-03-31 Listing Removed — MLSOK
- 2026-02-26 Price Changed $100,000 MLSOK
- 2025-12-27 Price Changed $115,000 MLSOK
- 2025-12-27 Listed $105,000 MLSOK
- 2024-06-01 Listing Removed — MLSOK
- 2024-01-28 Pending — MLSOK
- 2023-12-04 Listed $89,000 MLSOK
- 2005-10-25 Listing Removed — MLSOK
- 2005-09-12 Listed $79,900 MLSOK
Property tax history
+5.5%/yrLatest (2025): $957 · +4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…