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11623 Kenn Rd
D Composite 44.46
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$260,000

11623 Kenn Rd · Forest Park, OH 45240
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,752 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 11 Days on market
Built 1960 7,797 sqft lot Est $279k · 7% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

4 bedroom brick bi-level home with a finished basement that has a brick woodburning fireplace. Also the master bedroom has adjoining bath with double vanity and walk in closet.Seller will not look at any offers for the first 9 days.

Key facts

  • Kitchen improvements
  • Walk in closet
  • Updated lighting

Tags

SPLIT LEVEL FLOOR PLANFRESH EXTERIOR PAINTUPDATED LIGHTINGKITCHEN IMPROVEMENTSPRIMARY WITH EN SUITEWALK IN CLOSET

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoned residential; Lot dimensions approximately 65 x 120 (about 0.179 acres)
  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 1-car garage; Off-street parking and driveway
  • Security: Garage door opener
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas
  • Home design: Transitional architectural style; Single family home; Level lot
  • Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Shingle roof; Poured foundation; Built with standard residential construction materials
  • Exterior features: Deck; Bay/Bow insulated vinyl windows; Wood and metal fencing; Wood-burning fireplace (1)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen with tile floor; Wood cabinets; Marble/Granite/Slate countertops
  • Bedrooms: Four bedrooms total; Primary bedroom ~11 x 16 (level 1); Bedroom 2 ~11 x 10 (level 1); Bedroom 3 ~13 x 9 (level 1); Bedroom 4 ~11 x 10 (level 1)
  • Flooring: Wood floor in living room; Tile flooring in foyer and kitchen
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms on level 1; One half bathroom on lower level; Full bathrooms on level 1
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fans; Forced air heating (gas); Gas water heating
  • Interior features: Open foyer with tile floor; Ceiling fan; 9 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room on lower level (~10 x 8)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $260k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $26 ($306/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $226k (13.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $226k (13.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 5.2% in Forest Park — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#75 in OH, #1,137 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities D.
  • Winton Woods City (suburban): math 19% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #591 of 656 in OH (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 44 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 801 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (190 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $41k; list at $260k implies a 534% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $225,825 (13.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
6.41%
Cash-on-cash
0.42%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$278,568
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
11685 Hamlet Rd 0.11mi 4/2.0 1,701 (-3%) 4mo $278,200 $164 85
11833 Fairsprings Ct 0.34mi 4/2.0 1,593 (-9%) 2mo $275,000 $173 66
780 Fairborn Rd 0.10mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,539 (-12%) 7mo $175,000 $114 62
563 Lafayette Ave 0.60mi 4/3.0 1,828 (+4%) 2mo $295,000 $161 61
965 Havensport Dr 0.69mi 4/2.0 1,758 (+0%) 5mo $210,000 $119 61
11386 Fremantle Dr 0.41mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,608 (-8%) 5mo $254,900 $159 54
962 Harrogate Ct 0.58mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,650 (-6%) 5mo $244,900 $148 54
998 Goodhue Cir 0.69mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,850 (+6%) 2mo $220,000 $119 46
11445 Fiesta Ct 0.41mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,532 (-13%) 7mo $236,000 $154 45
983 Harkin Dr 0.57mi 4/2.0 1,525 (-13%) 6mo $253,500 $166 44
12041 Kenn Rd 0.72mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,884 (+8%) 6mo $325,000 $173 44
745 Evangeline Rd 0.69mi 4/2.5 1,960 (+12%) 6mo $289,999 $148 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.3% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.3%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-39,813
Equity at exit
$38,767
10-year hold
IRR
-6.3%
Equity multiple
0.59×
Total profit
$-29,711
Equity at exit
$22,480

Cash invested: $72,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45240

Rents YoY
3.3%
Active inventory
44
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,258 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,363
Tax from tax record
$287 /mo · $3,441/yr
Insurance
$108
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$474
Net cashflow
$26

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,226
Max offer price $260,000
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $173 -5% $99 +0% $26 +5% $-48 +10% $-122
Rent -10% $-153 -5% $-64 +0% $26 +5% $115 +10% $204
Rate -1.0pp $156 -0.5pp $92 base $26 +0.5pp $-42 +1.0pp $-110

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$65,000
Closing costs
$7,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
766 Hargrove Way Cincinnati, OH 4.0 1.5 1276 $1,800 $1.41 2d 1 0.31mi
11741 Hanover Rd Cincinnati, OH 4.0 2.5 1961 $2,291 $1.17 22d 1 0.42mi
950 Harkin Dr Cincinnati, OH 4.0 1.5 1438 $1,800 $1.25 13d 1 0.51mi
563 Grandin Ave Cincinnati, OH 4.0 2.0 1426 $2,480 $1.74 45d 1 0.60mi
979 Kemper Meadow Dr Cincinnati, OH 3.0 2.5 2000 $4,200 $2.10 2d 1 0.63mi
704 Northland Blvd Cincinnati, OH 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1052 $1,995 $1.90 2d 16 0.76mi
12160 Lawnview Ave Springdale, OH 2.0–3.0 2.0 1360 $1,675 $1.23 3d 3 1.06mi
3491 Danbury Rd Unit 1496136P Fairfield, OH 4.0 2.5 2077 $14,401 $6.93 45d 1 1.10mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $260,000 Active 11 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $260,000 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    statusdays on market $260,000 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $260,000 Contingency Pending 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    statusdays on market $260,000 Contingency Pending 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $260,000 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    remarks 516-char remark
  8. 2026-06-13
    listed $260,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,441 · $287/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,748 · $312/mo
Expected delta
+$308/yr (+$26/mo · 8.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,099
− Mortgage interest
−$14,564
− Property taxes
−$3,441
− Insurance
−$1,300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,168
− Management
−$2,168
− Depreciation
−$7,564
Taxable loss
−$4,105
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$985
After-tax cash flow
$1,291/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Winton Woods City
NCES district ID
3904408
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$54,318
Composite
23.24/100
National rank
#7936
State rank
#591 of 656 in OH

Livability — Forest Park

Score
82/100
State rank
#75
US rank
#1137

Category grades

Amenities D Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Forest Park, OH
County
Hamilton County · 701,295 people
City population
29,600
Metro
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
Population (ZIP)
29,600
Household income
$71,947
Rent vs Own
39.4% rent · 60.6% own
Severe rent burden
693.0

Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
826,054 people
By 2030
830,947 · +0.6%
By 2040
832,319 · +0.8%
By 2050
822,428 · -0.4%
By 2075
788,688 · -4.5%
By 2100
710,674 · -14.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% White 25% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 5% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, India, China
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton

2024 margin
D (+14.9) · D 57.0% · R 42.1%
2008→2024 swing
+7.9pp toward D · 2008: 7.0pp · 2024: 14.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+14.9 2020: D+15.9 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+7.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -209.84%
Current HPI
246.1355
Rent YoY
▲ 3.30%
Metro
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+479.1% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $260,000 Cincy MLS
  • 2025-02-21 Rental Removed $2,100 Avail
  • 2025-01-21 Listed for Rent $2,100 Avail
  • 2013-03-14 Listing Removed Cincy MLS
  • 2012-09-27 Listed $110,000 Cincy MLS
  • 2012-06-25 Sold (MLS) $41,000 Cincy MLS
  • 2012-04-13 Listed $44,900 Cincy MLS

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,441 · -0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…