11623 Kenn Rd · Forest Park, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.8/30.0
- ARV discount +10.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$260,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
4 bedroom brick bi-level home with a finished basement that has a brick woodburning fireplace. Also the master bedroom has adjoining bath with double vanity and walk in closet.Seller will not look at any offers for the first 9 days.
Key facts
- Kitchen improvements
- Walk in closet
- Updated lighting
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoned residential; Lot dimensions approximately 65 x 120 (about 0.179 acres)
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 1-car garage; Off-street parking and driveway
- Security: Garage door opener
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas
- Home design: Transitional architectural style; Single family home; Level lot
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Shingle roof; Poured foundation; Built with standard residential construction materials
- Exterior features: Deck; Bay/Bow insulated vinyl windows; Wood and metal fencing; Wood-burning fireplace (1)
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen with tile floor; Wood cabinets; Marble/Granite/Slate countertops
- Bedrooms: Four bedrooms total; Primary bedroom ~11 x 16 (level 1); Bedroom 2 ~11 x 10 (level 1); Bedroom 3 ~13 x 9 (level 1); Bedroom 4 ~11 x 10 (level 1)
- Flooring: Wood floor in living room; Tile flooring in foyer and kitchen
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms on level 1; One half bathroom on lower level; Full bathrooms on level 1
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fans; Forced air heating (gas); Gas water heating
- Interior features: Open foyer with tile floor; Ceiling fan; 9 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room on lower level (~10 x 8)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $260k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $26 ($306/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $226k (13.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $226k (13.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 5.2% in Forest Park — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#75 in OH, #1,137 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities D.
- Winton Woods City (suburban): math 19% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #591 of 656 in OH (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 44 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 801 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (190 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $41k; list at $260k implies a 534% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.42%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $278,568
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11685 Hamlet Rd | 0.11mi | 4/2.0 | 1,701 (-3%) | 4mo | $278,200 | $164 | 85 |
| 11833 Fairsprings Ct | 0.34mi | 4/2.0 | 1,593 (-9%) | 2mo | $275,000 | $173 | 66 |
| 780 Fairborn Rd | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,539 (-12%) | 7mo | $175,000 | $114 | 62 |
| 563 Lafayette Ave | 0.60mi | 4/3.0 | 1,828 (+4%) | 2mo | $295,000 | $161 | 61 |
| 965 Havensport Dr | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 | 1,758 (+0%) | 5mo | $210,000 | $119 | 61 |
| 11386 Fremantle Dr | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,608 (-8%) | 5mo | $254,900 | $159 | 54 |
| 962 Harrogate Ct | 0.58mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,650 (-6%) | 5mo | $244,900 | $148 | 54 |
| 998 Goodhue Cir | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,850 (+6%) | 2mo | $220,000 | $119 | 46 |
| 11445 Fiesta Ct | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,532 (-13%) | 7mo | $236,000 | $154 | 45 |
| 983 Harkin Dr | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 | 1,525 (-13%) | 6mo | $253,500 | $166 | 44 |
| 12041 Kenn Rd | 0.72mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,884 (+8%) | 6mo | $325,000 | $173 | 44 |
| 745 Evangeline Rd | 0.69mi | 4/2.5 | 1,960 (+12%) | 6mo | $289,999 | $148 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.3% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-39,813
- Equity at exit
- $38,767
- IRR
- -6.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.59×
- Total profit
- $-29,711
- Equity at exit
- $22,480
Cash invested: $72,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45240
- Rents YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 44
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,258 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax from tax record
- −$287 /mo · $3,441/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$474
- Net cashflow
- $26
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $173 | -5% $99 | +0% $26 | +5% $-48 | +10% $-122 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-153 | -5% $-64 | +0% $26 | +5% $115 | +10% $204 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $156 | -0.5pp $92 | base $26 | +0.5pp $-42 | +1.0pp $-110 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $65,000
- Closing costs
- $7,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 766 Hargrove Way Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1276 | $1,800 | $1.41 | 2d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 11741 Hanover Rd Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1961 | $2,291 | $1.17 | 22d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 950 Harkin Dr Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1438 | $1,800 | $1.25 | 13d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 563 Grandin Ave Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1426 | $2,480 | $1.74 | 45d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 979 Kemper Meadow Dr Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2000 | $4,200 | $2.10 | 2d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 704 Northland Blvd Cincinnati, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1052 | $1,995 | $1.90 | 2d | 16 | 0.76mi |
| 12160 Lawnview Ave Springdale, OH | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1360 | $1,675 | $1.23 | 3d | 3 | 1.06mi |
| 3491 Danbury Rd Unit 1496136P Fairfield, OH | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2077 | $14,401 | $6.93 | 45d | 1 | 1.10mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $260,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $260,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-17statusdays on market $260,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $260,000 Contingency Pending 6 DOM
-
2026-06-15statusdays on market $260,000 Contingency Pending 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $260,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 516-char remark
-
2026-06-13$260,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,441 · $287/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,748 · $312/mo
- Expected delta
- +$308/yr (+$26/mo · 8.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,099
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,564
- − Property taxes
- −$3,441
- − Insurance
- −$1,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,168
- − Management
- −$2,168
- − Depreciation
- −$7,564
- Taxable loss
- −$4,105
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$985
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,291/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Winton Woods City
- NCES district ID
- 3904408
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,318
- Composite
- 23.24/100
- National rank
- #7936
- State rank
- #591 of 656 in OH
Livability — Forest Park
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #75
- US rank
- #1137
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Forest Park, OH
- County
- Hamilton County · 701,295 people
- City population
- 29,600
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,600
- Household income
- $71,947
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 693.0
Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 826,054 people
- By 2030
- 830,947 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 832,319 · +0.8%
- By 2050
- 822,428 · -0.4%
- By 2075
- 788,688 · -4.5%
- By 2100
- 710,674 · -14.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% White 25% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 5% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, India, China
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton
- 2024 margin
- D (+14.9) · D 57.0% · R 42.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: 7.0pp · 2024: 14.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+14.9 2020: D+15.9 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -209.84%
- Current HPI
- 246.1355
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.30%
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+479.1% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Listed $260,000 Cincy MLS
- 2025-02-21 Rental Removed $2,100 Avail
- 2025-01-21 Listed for Rent $2,100 Avail
- 2013-03-14 Listing Removed — Cincy MLS
- 2012-09-27 Listed $110,000 Cincy MLS
- 2012-06-25 Sold (MLS) $41,000 Cincy MLS
- 2012-04-13 Listed $44,900 Cincy MLS
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $3,441 · -0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…