2117 W 4th St · Duluth, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.3/30.0
- DSCR +8.3/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$269,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Move-in condition home with so much to offer! Very well maintained and tastefully updated. Traditional home has refinished hardwood flooring throughout. Main floor 3/4 bath, music room or office on main level, maintenance free exterior, 3+ bdrms up plus bath and laundry! Landscaped back yard including a bi-level 15x16 wood deck. Detached 18x20 garage with opener. Also additional off street parking for 2 cars.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Double lot
- Bonus room
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property listed by Heirloom Realty, LLC
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family detached residence; 2 stories
- Construction: Full basement
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 50 x 140 (0.16 acres)
Interior
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating; Natural gas
- Interior features: Main-level primary bedroom; Full finished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $269k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $608 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $269k).
- Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 4.9% in Duluth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#36 in MN, #1,060 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F.
- Duluth Public School District (urban): math 44% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #132 of 301 in MN (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Piedmont Elementary (math 42% / reading 37%, grade F, #604 of 857 statewide, top 74%, 426 students, 63% FRL); Lincoln Park Middle School (math 26% / reading 39%, grade F, #186 of 258 statewide, top 72%, 524 students, 66% FRL); Denfeld High School (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #282 of 471 statewide, top 63%, 940 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools average 62% FRL vs 39% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 36% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Duluth Public School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 639 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,989/mo this rent would consume 84% of the median local household income ($43k/yr) (locally 506% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.69%
- DSCR
- 1.43
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $206,049
- List price
- $269,000
- Delta
- 30.55%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 507 N 22nd Ave Ave W | 0.09mi | 3/1.5 | 1,561 (-1%) | 15mo | $225,250 | $144 | 80 |
| 318 N 23rd Ave Ave W | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 1,680 (+7%) | 4mo | $180,000 | $107 | 75 |
| 2607 W 4th St | 0.41mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,573 (-0%) | 14mo | $238,000 | $151 | 64 |
| 2326 W 2nd St | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,352 (-14%) | 0mo | $180,000 | $133 | 60 |
| 30 N 25th Ave Ave W | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,453 (-8%) | 7mo | $165,000 | $114 | 60 |
| 2208 W 8th St | 0.26mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,348 (-14%) | 0mo | $205,000 | $152 | 59 |
| 2431 W 8th St | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 1,500 (-5%) | 13mo | $233,000 | $155 | 58 |
| 21 N 29th Ave W | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,500 (-5%) | 0mo | $189,000 | $126 | 54 |
| 614 N 24th Ave Ave W | 0.25mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,416 (-10%) | 18mo | $155,000 | $109 | 50 |
| 2909 Exeter St | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,458 (-7%) | 2mo | $241,000 | $165 | 49 |
| 2863 Wicklow St | 0.64mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,517 (-4%) | 10mo | $167,000 | $110 | 46 |
| 121 N 28th Ave Ave W | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 | 1,724 (+10%) | 11mo | $103,700 | $60 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-4,886
- Equity at exit
- $40,109
- IRR
- 8.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.60×
- Total profit
- $45,528
- Equity at exit
- $23,258
Cash invested: $75,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55806
- Active inventory
- 45
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,989 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,411
- Tax from tax record
- −$231 /mo · $2,768/yr
- Insurance
- −$112
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$628
- Net cashflow
- $608
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $760 | -5% $684 | +0% $608 | +5% $532 | +10% $456 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $372 | -5% $490 | +0% $608 | +5% $726 | +10% $844 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $743 | -0.5pp $676 | base $608 | +0.5pp $538 | +1.0pp $467 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $67,250
- Closing costs
- $8,070
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2302 Hillcrest Dr Duluth, MN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1072 | $3,500 | $3.26 | 45d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 100 N 5th Ave W Duluth, MN | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1209 | $3,299 | $2.73 | 23d | 7 | 1.49mi |
| 100 N 5th Ave W Duluth, MN | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1207 | $3,999 | $3.31 | 15d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-05-14$269,000 Active 1350-char remark
-
2022-08-18soldstatus $205,000
-
2022-08-01soldstatus $205,000 414-char remark
Show marketing remark (414 chars)
Move-in condition home with so much to offer! Very well maintained and tastefully updated. Traditional home has refinished hardwood flooring throughout. Main floor 3/4 bath, music room or office on main level, maintenance free exterior, 3+ bdrms up plus bath and laundry! Landscaped back yard including a bi-level 15x16 wood deck. Detached 18x20 garage with opener. Also additional off street parking for 2 cars.
-
2022-05-31$215,000 414-char remark
Show marketing remark (414 chars)
Move-in condition home with so much to offer! Very well maintained and tastefully updated. Traditional home has refinished hardwood flooring throughout. Main floor 3/4 bath, music room or office on main level, maintenance free exterior, 3+ bdrms up plus bath and laundry! Landscaped back yard including a bi-level 15x16 wood deck. Detached 18x20 garage with opener. Also additional off street parking for 2 cars.
-
2009-07-01soldstatus $97,000
-
2008-07-03soldstatus $97,000
Show marketing remark (255 chars)
Move in condition! Brand new vinyl siding on home and garage. High effic gas furnace. 100 amp CB. Spacious home! Main floor bath. Music rm/den, form din rm. Newly finished hardwood floors throughout home. Freshly painted. 2nd flr laundry. Main flr bath w/
-
2008-05-27$97,000
Show marketing remark (255 chars)
Move in condition! Brand new vinyl siding on home and garage. High effic gas furnace. 100 amp CB. Spacious home! Main floor bath. Music rm/den, form din rm. Newly finished hardwood floors throughout home. Freshly painted. 2nd flr laundry. Main flr bath w/
-
2008-03-20$97,000
-
2008-01-08$99,000
-
2001-12-17soldstatus $60,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,768 · $231/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,890 · $241/mo
- Expected delta
- +$122/yr (+$10/mo · 4.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,870
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,068
- − Property taxes
- −$2,768
- − Insurance
- −$1,345
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,870
- − Management
- −$2,870
- − Depreciation
- −$7,825
- Taxable income
- $3,124
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$750
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,546/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duluth Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2711040
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,692
- Composite
- 41.92/100
- National rank
- #3360
- State rank
- #132 of 301 in MN
Livability — Duluth
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #36
- US rank
- #1060
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Duluth, MN
- County
- Saint Louis County · 115,152 people
- City population
- 71,097
- Metro
- Duluth, MN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,356
- Household income
- $42,833
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 506.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 202,411 people
- By 2030
- 203,234 · +0.4%
- By 2040
- 202,520 · +0.1%
- By 2050
- 200,853 · -0.8%
- By 2075
- 200,943 · -0.7%
- By 2100
- 192,058 · -5.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Two or more races 7% Black 7% Native American 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 10% Romanian 5% Scottish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.7) · D 55.9% · R 42.2% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.8pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 13.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.7 2020: D+15.6 2016: D+11.8 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -122.85%
- Current HPI
- 195.9805
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Duluth, MN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
+316.8% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Sold (MLS) $250,050 LSAR
- 2026-05-27 Pending — LSAR
- 2026-05-14 Listed $269,000 LSAR
- 2022-08-18 Sold (Public Records) $205,000 Public Records
- 2022-08-01 Sold (MLS) $205,000 LSAR
- 2022-05-31 Listed $215,000 LSAR
- 2009-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $97,000 Public Records
- 2008-07-03 Sold (MLS) $97,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-05-27 Listed $97,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-03-20 Listed $97,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-01-08 Listed $99,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-12-17 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.5%/yrLatest (2026): $2,768 · +15.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…