4083 Schiller Pl · St. Louis, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.8/30.0
- ARV discount +13.6/15.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This charming brick home offers a functional layout with classic details. The interior features a bright living space that flows into the kitchen area. Basement provides additional versatile space for storage or activities. Outside, the level lot is fenced and includes a sidewalk-lined street with access to nearby amenities. Windows throughout the main level allow for plenty of natural light to highlight the flooring features and finishes.
Key facts
- Bright living space
- Versatile space
- Kitchen area
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $267 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $100k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 255 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 119 days — a 9% lower offer ($100k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $94k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 119 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.42%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $126,972
- List price
- $109,900
- Delta
- -13.45%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5034 Ray Ave | 0.15mi | 3/1.5 | 800 (-2%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $206 | 89 |
| 4045 Walsh St | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 803 (-2%) | 2mo | $55,635 | $69 | 84 |
| 4035 Schiller Pl | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 762 (-7%) | 2mo | $114,900 | $151 | 76 |
| 3953 Eiler St | 0.25mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 888 (+9%) | 2mo | $234,500 | $264 | 65 |
| 3976 Eichelberger St | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 720 (-12%) | 1mo | $10,000 | $14 | 65 |
| 5450 Dresden Ave | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 829 (+2%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $181 | 64 |
| 4068 Wilmington Ave | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 901 (+10%) | 0mo | $200,000 | $222 | 64 |
| 6118 Newport Ave | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 858 (+5%) | 1mo | $199,900 | $233 | 61 |
| 5039 Grace Ave | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 792 (-3%) | 0mo | $145,500 | $184 | 56 |
| 5425 Bates St | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 914 (+12%) | 0mo | $185,000 | $202 | 50 |
| 3905 Itaska St | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 923 (+13%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $146 | 50 |
| 4372 Ellenwood Ave | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 864 (+6%) | 2mo | $105,000 | $122 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.62% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-1,280
- Equity at exit
- $16,386
- IRR
- 8.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.61×
- Total profit
- $18,825
- Equity at exit
- $9,502
Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63116
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 255
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,237 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$576
- Tax from tax record
- −$88 /mo · $1,057/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$260
- Net cashflow
- $267
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,475
- Closing costs
- $3,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4028 Schiller Pl Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 802 | $1,440 | $1.80 | 43d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 5033 Ulena Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,575 | $1.64 | 43d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 3824 Eiler St Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,050 | $1.05 | 23d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 6135 Newport Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,976 | $2.06 | 1d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 3815 Wilmington Ave Apt 2N St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,095 | $1.37 | 43d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 3765 Delor St Unit 37651-F St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,225 | $1.36 | 23d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 3761 Delor St St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,285 | $1.43 | 1d | 2 | 0.56mi |
| 5707 Dewey Ave Unit 1F St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,050 | $1.05 | 14d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 4413 Delor St Unit 2F St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1010 | $1,125 | $1.11 | 23d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 4215 Neosho St Unit 101 St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $825 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 3737 Delor St Unit 3737-2F St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,115 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 3737 Delor St Unit 3737-1F St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,115 | $1.24 | 23d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 3647 Delor St Unit 3647-1F St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,115 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 3729 Delor St Unit 37292-F St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,115 | $1.24 | 23d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 3717 Delor St Unit 37172-F St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,115 | $1.24 | 23d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 3723 Delor St Unit 3723-1F St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,225 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 3719 Delor St Unit 3719-1F St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,115 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 3711 Delor St Unit 3711-1F St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,225 | $1.36 | 23d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 3705 Delor St Unit 3705-1F St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,225 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 5415 Dresden Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 935 | $1,200 | $1.28 | 23d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 3709 Delor St Unit 3709-1F St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,225 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 3707a Delor St Unit 3707-2F St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,115 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 3661 Delor St Unit 3661-2F St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,115 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 3661 Delor St Unit 3661-1F St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,225 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 3659 Delor St Unit 3659-1F St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,115 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 5111 Cologne Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,050 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 4274 Ellenwood Ave Unit 1E St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $995 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 5217 S Grand Blvd Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 870 | $1,125 | $1.29 | 14d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 4710 Eichelberger St Unit First St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $900 | $1.01 | 43d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 4455 S 38th St Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 4428 Ellenwood Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,225 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 5006 Christy Blvd Unit 1st Fl St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,450 | $1.32 | 43d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 4451 Grace Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $750 | $1.07 | 17d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 3601 Holly Hills Blvd Apt 19 St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $875 | $1.25 | 3d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 4637 Louisiana Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,175 | $1.06 | 12d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 6725 Wanda Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,100 | $1.57 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 4416 S Grand Blvd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 963 | $1,550 | $1.61 | 23d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 4053 Giles Ave Unit A St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1082 | $995 | $0.92 | 10d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3702 Meramec St Unit 1e St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $950 | $1.31 | 7d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 3741 Morgan Ford Rd St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $895 | $1.12 | 23d | 1 | 1.04mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,900 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $109,900 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $109,900 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $109,900 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $109,900 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $109,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $109,900 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $109,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $109,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-02-19$119,900 Active 443-char remark
Show marketing remark (443 chars)
This charming brick home offers a functional layout with classic details. The interior features a bright living space that flows into the kitchen area. Basement provides additional versatile space for storage or activities. Outside, the level lot is fenced and includes a sidewalk-lined street with access to nearby amenities. Windows throughout the main level allow for plenty of natural light to highlight the flooring features and finishes.
-
2023-08-30historical
-
2023-08-19$102,000 Active
-
2005-11-02soldstatus $93,500
-
1997-05-28soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,057 · $88/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,066 · $89/mo
- Expected delta
- +$9/yr (+$1/mo · 0.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,845
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,156
- − Property taxes
- −$1,057
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,188
- − Management
- −$1,188
- − Depreciation
- −$3,197
- Taxable income
- $1,510
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$362
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,843/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Louis City
- NCES district ID
- 2929280
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,685
- Composite
- 11.54/100
- National rank
- #9699
- State rank
- #312 of 324 in MO
Livability — St. Louis
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Louis, MO
- County
- Saint Louis City · 254,015 people
- City population
- 283,259
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,170
- Household income
- $61,433
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1923.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 315,737 people
- By 2030
- 313,865 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 305,439 · -3.3%
- By 2050
- 296,529 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 271,028 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 255,359 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 6% Vietnamese 2% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -271.19%
- Current HPI
- 215.7108
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.62%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+28.2% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-19 Listed $119,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-08-30 Delisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-08-19 Listed $102,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-11-02 Sold (Public Records) $93,500 Public Records
- 1997-05-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+8.7%/yrLatest (2024): $1,057 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…