1215 E Hazzard Ave · Eustis, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.9/30.0
- ARV discount +11.7/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$224,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fantastic 3/1.5 move-in ready block home. Built in 1986 with NEW A/C and water heater in 2018! Centrally located near Downtown Eustis, Ferran Park, restaurants and shopping.
Key facts
- 8,712 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1986
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $224k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-16 ($-196/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $222k (1.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $185k (17.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $185k (17.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.5% in Eustis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#309 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Lake (suburban): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #37 of 73 in FL (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Eustis Elementary School (math 52% / reading 47%, grade D, #1,088 of 2,144 statewide, top 53%, 358 students, 65% FRL); Eustis Middle School (math 45% / reading 41%, grade D-, #331 of 571 statewide, top 59%, 824 students, 57% FRL); Eustis High School (math 33% / reading 40%, grade F, #351 of 667 statewide, top 54%, 1,368 students, 45% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 311 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,799 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (814 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 184 days — a 12% lower offer ($198k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 184 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.31%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $247,884
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 107 Kensington St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (-8%) | 7mo | $150,000 | $150 | 67 |
| 1529 E Mcdonald Ave | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 999 (-8%) | 23mo | $250,000 | $250 | 50 |
| 1515 Washington Ave | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,056 (-3%) | 12mo | $240,000 | $227 | 48 |
| 1905 Selleen Dr | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,169 (+7%) | 12mo | $225,000 | $192 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.2% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-37,061
- Equity at exit
- $33,474
- IRR
- -8.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-32,140
- Equity at exit
- $19,411
Cash invested: $62,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32726
- Home prices YoY
- -21.3%
- Rents YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 311
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,851 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,177
- Tax from tax record
- −$208 /mo · $2,491/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$389
- Net cashflow
- $-16
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $111 | -5% $47 | +0% $-16 | +5% $-80 | +10% $-143 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-163 | -5% $-89 | +0% $-16 | +5% $57 | +10% $130 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $97 | -0.5pp $41 | base $-16 | +0.5pp $-74 | +1.0pp $-134 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,125
- Closing costs
- $6,735
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 612 Kensington St Eustis, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,900 | $1.36 | 25d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 925 E McDonald Ave Eustis, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 867 | $1,550 | $1.79 | 25d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1701 E Orange Ave Eustis, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1439 | $1,645 | $1.14 | 16d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 1701 E Orange Ave Eustis, FL | 3.0 | 2.5–3.0 | 1439 | $1,645 | $1.14 | 25d | 2 | 0.46mi |
| 11 Oak Ct Eustis, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 1492 | $2,375 | $1.59 | 5d | 10 | 0.51mi |
| 528 Citrus Ave Unit 1 Eustis, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1168 | $1,700 | $1.46 | 6d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 204 E Gottsche Ave Eustis, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $1,525 | $1.36 | 25d | 3 | 0.63mi |
| 923 N Grove St Eustis, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,920 | $1.60 | 25d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 116 Dewitt Ct Eustis, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1299 | $1,890 | $1.45 | 25d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 116 Dewitt Ct Unit 116 Eustis, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $1,850 | $1.43 | 19d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 623 N Bay St Unit 11 Eustis, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 12d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 374 Willow Song Ct Eustis, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,750 | $1.40 | 6d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 374 Willow Song Ct Eustis, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,750 | $1.40 | 23d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2225 Grant Ave Eustis, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,900 | $1.81 | 25d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 375 Willow Song Ct Eustis, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1370 | $1,950 | $1.42 | 6d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 910 Kentucky Blvd Eustis, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1327 | $1,910 | $1.44 | 14d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 617 Ohio Blvd Eustis, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,400 | $1.67 | 4d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 910 S Center St Unit 6 Eustis, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 841 | $1,299 | $1.54 | 25d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 902 S Grove St Eustis, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1389 | $1,350 | $0.97 | 25d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1124 Virginia Ct Eustis, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,750 | $1.94 | 25d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 77 Wildwood Ln Eustis, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,197 | $1.66 | 25d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 101 E Atwater Ave Eustis, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,900 | $1.58 | 25d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1799 N County Road 19A Eustis, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 950 | $1,800 | $1.89 | 3d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 710 Harvard Ct Eustis, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $1,700 | $1.35 | 5d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 131 W Atwater Ave Eustis, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $2,100 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2024-02-21soldstatus $220,000
-
2024-01-10status Pending
-
2023-11-15price $224,500
-
2023-11-01price $234,900
-
2023-09-14price $239,900
-
2023-07-10$249,900 Active
-
2019-04-09soldstatus $103,900
-
2019-04-08soldstatus $103,900 Sold 173-char remark
Show marketing remark (173 chars)
Fantastic 3/1.5 move-in ready block home. Built in 1986 with NEW A/C and water heater in 2018! Centrally located near Downtown Eustis, Ferran Park, restaurants and shopping.
-
2019-03-11status Pending 173-char remark
Show marketing remark (173 chars)
Fantastic 3/1.5 move-in ready block home. Built in 1986 with NEW A/C and water heater in 2018! Centrally located near Downtown Eustis, Ferran Park, restaurants and shopping.
-
2019-02-04$103,900 Active 173-char remark
Show marketing remark (173 chars)
Fantastic 3/1.5 move-in ready block home. Built in 1986 with NEW A/C and water heater in 2018! Centrally located near Downtown Eustis, Ferran Park, restaurants and shopping.
-
2006-04-11soldstatus $80,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,491 · $208/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,491 · $208/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,210
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,575
- − Property taxes
- −$2,491
- − Insurance
- −$1,122
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,777
- − Management
- −$1,777
- − Depreciation
- −$6,531
- Taxable loss
- −$4,064
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$975
- After-tax cash flow
- $780/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lake
- NCES district ID
- 1201050
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,632
- Composite
- 42.05/100
- National rank
- #3327
- State rank
- #37 of 73 in FL
Livability — Eustis
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #309
- US rank
- #5286
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Eustis, FL
- County
- Lake County · 364,602 people
- City population
- 24,715
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,715
- Household income
- $63,152
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 584.0
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 386,640 people
- By 2030
- 417,107 · +7.9%
- By 2040
- 476,676 · +23.3%
- By 2050
- 531,296 · +37.4%
- By 2075
- 648,303 · +67.7%
- By 2100
- 698,530 · +80.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Black 19% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 12% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 7% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 10% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.7) · D 37.3% · R 62.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.2pp toward R · 2008: -13.5pp · 2024: -24.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.7 2020: R+20.0 2016: R+23.1 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+13.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -88.12%
- Current HPI
- 325.4692
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.20%
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+175.0% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2024-02-21 Sold (Public Records) $220,000 Public Records
- 2024-01-10 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-11-15 Price Changed $224,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-11-01 Price Changed $234,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-09-14 Price Changed $239,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-07-10 Listed $249,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-04-09 Sold (Public Records) $103,900 Public Records
- 2019-04-08 Sold (MLS) $103,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-03-11 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-02-04 Listed $103,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-04-11 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.6%/yrLatest (2024): $2,491 · +8.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…