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2009 Woodcrest Dr
B Composite 70.25
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,000

2009 Woodcrest Dr · Sanford, NC 27330
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,056 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1976

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

SOLD AS-IS, WHERE IS! Calling all investors and renovators—this is your chance to transform a property with strong potential into a profitable asset. Whether you're looking to fix and flip or add to your long-term rental portfolio, this home has the right foundation to bring your vision to life. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, this property includes a spacious living room, dedicated laundry area, and a kitchen with a cozy breakfast nook. The layout provides a functional footprint ready for updates and improvements. Situated on a half-acre lot in a well-established community in Sanford, the location with convenient access to shopping, dining, and everyday amenities making it attra

Key facts

  • Cozy breakfast nook
  • Half-acre lot
  • Convenient access

Tags

SPACIOUS LIVING ROOMDEDICATED LAUNDRY AREACOZY BREAKFAST NOOKHALF-ACRE LOTWELL-ESTABLISHED COMMUNITYCONVENIENT ACCESS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $793 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
  • Cap rate 16.3% vs local median 3.6% in Sanford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#92 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime D-.
  • Lee County Schools (rural): math 31% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #131 of 178 in NC (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 526 active listings in the ZIP; 602 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lee County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $41k; list at $95k implies a 132% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 58% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $95,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.89%
Cap rate
16.30%
Cash-on-cash
35.75%
DSCR
2.59
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$201,696
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2500 Courtland Dr 0.19mi 3/1.0 1,036 (-2%) 12mo $198,000 $191 78
3416 North Ridge Dr 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,121 (+6%) 13mo $150,000 $134 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.66% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
33.3%
Equity multiple
2.43×
Total profit
$38,144
Equity at exit
$14,165
10-year hold
IRR
41.1%
Equity multiple
5.18×
Total profit
$111,202
Equity at exit
$8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27330

Home prices YoY
-19.4%
Rents YoY
4.7%
Active inventory
526
Price-to-rent
4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,797 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$89 /mo · $1,074/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$377
Net cashflow
$793

Break-even live

Break-even rent $794
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 51%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-04-03
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-30
    listed $95,000 Active
  3. 1999-09-09
    soldstatus $41,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,074 · $89/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,074 · $89/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 58% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,566
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$1,074
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,725
− Management
−$1,725
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$8,482
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,036
After-tax cash flow
$7,475/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lee County Schools
NCES district ID
3702560
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$45,300
Composite
29.87/100
National rank
#6403
State rank
#131 of 178 in NC

Livability — Sanford

Score
72/100
State rank
#92
US rank
#6134

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Lee County · 76,725 people
City population
76,725
Metro
Sanford, NC
Population (ZIP)
39,778
Household income
$61,300
Rent vs Own
37.4% rent · 62.6% own
Severe rent burden
928.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
63,008 people
By 2030
64,443 · +2.3%
By 2040
66,898 · +6.2%
By 2050
68,310 · +8.4%
By 2075
70,920 · +12.6%
By 2100
70,402 · +11.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Hispanic / Latino 21% Black 19% Two or more races 10% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Serbian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 17%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
R (+17.5) · D 40.8% · R 58.3%
2008→2024 swing
-9.1pp toward R · 2008: -8.4pp · 2024: -17.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+17.5 2020: R+14.9 2016: R+13.2 2012: R+10.2 2008: R+8.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -72.62%
Current HPI
302.3589
Rent YoY
▲ 4.66%
Metro
Sanford, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+131.7% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-03 Pending LPRMLS
  • 2026-03-30 Listed $95,000 LPRMLS
  • 1999-09-09 Sold (Public Records) $41,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,074 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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