809 Bunche Ave · Prattville, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This bungalow has undergone a recent update with many quality finishes! The 2B/2B home also has a flex room that could be used as a 3rd bedroom or office. The kitchen is spacious with granite countertops and the laundry room is conveniently located to make that task a breeze! The backyard is fenced and ready for pets or kids to roam and play. Call your favorite agent today!
Key facts
- Laundry room
- Flex room
- Granite countertops
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $423 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $109k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 4.2% in Prattville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#11 in AL, #3,273 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: amenities D, commute F.
- Autauga County (rural): math 23% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #34 of 129 in AL (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 131 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 221 units permitted in Autauga County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Autauga County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.8% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 119 days — a 9% lower offer ($109k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 119 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.10%
- DSCR
- 1.67
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $176,943
- List price
- $120,000
- Delta
- -32.18%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 826 Martin Luther King Jr Dr | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,714 (+6%) | 12mo | $112,500 | $66 | 63 |
| 218 Long St | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 | 1,501 (-7%) | 9mo | $25,000 | $17 | 60 |
| 102 Live Oak Dr | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,415 (-13%) | 8mo | $164,900 | $117 | 58 |
| 546 Mt Airy Dr | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,510 (-7%) | 2mo | $225,000 | $149 | 48 |
| 775 Park Ln | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,575 (-3%) | 14mo | $258,254 | $164 | 47 |
| 351 Bent Tree Dr | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,488 (-8%) | 10mo | $195,000 | $131 | 44 |
| 508 Daniel Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,638 (+1%) | 15mo | $225,900 | $138 | 44 |
| 203 Lilac Dr | 0.75mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,762 (+9%) | 1mo | $199,900 | $113 | 42 |
| 303 Camellia Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,555 (-4%) | 10mo | $205,000 | $132 | 41 |
| 1051 Upper Kingston Rd | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 1,442 (-11%) | 15mo | $94,500 | $66 | 38 |
| 245 Gardenia Ct | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,401 (-14%) | 1mo | $194,900 | $139 | 33 |
| 331 N Northington St | 0.63mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,782 (+10%) | 15mo | $220,000 | $123 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.78% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.35×
- Total profit
- $11,724
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 19.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.88×
- Total profit
- $63,307
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36067
- Home prices YoY
- -12.4%
- Rents YoY
- 5.8%
- Active inventory
- 131
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,484 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$70 /mo · $839/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$312
- Net cashflow
- $423
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $491 | -5% $457 | +0% $423 | +5% $389 | +10% $355 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $306 | -5% $364 | +0% $423 | +5% $481 | +10% $540 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $483 | -0.5pp $453 | base $423 | +0.5pp $392 | +1.0pp $360 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 348 Bent Tree Dr Prattville, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1323 | $1,595 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 435 Booth St Prattville, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1131 | $1,400 | $1.24 | 22d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1214 Camellia Woods Ct Prattville, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1236 | $1,475 | $1.19 | 45d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 551 E 6th St Prattville, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1372 | $995 | $0.73 | 45d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 110 Bridge St Prattville, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1186 | $2,858 | $2.41 | 15d | 15 | 1.27mi |
| 778 E 6th St Unit A Prattville, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1366 | $925 | $0.68 | 22d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 109 Woodley Ave Prattville, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1612 | $1,531 | $0.95 | 15d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $120,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $140,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $140,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $140,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $140,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $140,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $140,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $140,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $140,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $140,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $140,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $140,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $140,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $140,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $140,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-03-05price $150,000 378-char remark
Show marketing remark (378 chars)
This bungalow has undergone a recent update with many quality finishes! The 2B/2B home also has a flex room that could be used as a 3rd bedroom or office. The kitchen is spacious with granite countertops and the laundry room is conveniently located to make that task a breeze! The backyard is fenced and ready for pets or kids to roam and play. Call your favorite agent today!
-
2026-02-19$155,000 Active 378-char remark
Show marketing remark (378 chars)
This bungalow has undergone a recent update with many quality finishes! The 2B/2B home also has a flex room that could be used as a 3rd bedroom or office. The kitchen is spacious with granite countertops and the laundry room is conveniently located to make that task a breeze! The backyard is fenced and ready for pets or kids to roam and play. Call your favorite agent today!
-
2024-04-02soldstatus $132,600
-
2023-05-23historical
-
2021-07-16soldstatus $40,000
-
2012-02-13$54,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $839 · $70/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $839 · $70/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,804
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$839
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,424
- − Management
- −$1,424
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $3,303
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$793
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,281/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Autauga County
- NCES district ID
- 0100240
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -31.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,974
- Composite
- 31.77/100
- National rank
- #5892
- State rank
- #34 of 129 in AL
Livability — Prattville
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #11
- US rank
- #3273
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Prattville, AL
- County
- Autauga County · 50,925 people
- City population
- 50,925
- Metro
- Montgomery, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,293
- Household income
- $65,593
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 389.0
Population outlook (Autauga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 55,958 people
- By 2030
- 55,810 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 54,892 · -1.9%
- By 2050
- 53,062 · -5.2%
- By 2075
- 49,425 · -11.7%
- By 2100
- 45,110 · -19.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Black 20% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Autauga
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.3) · D 26.4% · R 72.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.6pp toward D · 2008: -47.8pp · 2024: -46.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.3 2020: R+44.4 2016: R+49.5 2012: R+46.0 2008: R+47.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -29.98%
- Current HPI
- 211.1676
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.78%
- Metro
- Montgomery, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+173.2% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-05 Price Changed $150,000 MAAR
- 2026-02-19 Listed $155,000 MAAR
- 2024-04-02 Sold (Public Records) $132,600 Public Records
- 2023-05-23 Rental Removed — RENT.
- 2021-07-16 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
- 2012-02-13 Listed $54,900 MAAR
Property tax history
+15.7%/yrLatest (2025): $839 · +179.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…