2104 Kello Dr · Greensboro, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 15.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$174,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Please submit offers by 6:00 pm today, Monday, June 01, 2026 Calling all flippers and savvy investors! This 1355 sq. ft. ranch sits on a nice, level lot in a sought after neighborhood. The single-story footprint is the ultimate blank slate for modern, open-concept living. Features include a spacious living room, a classic brick exterior, and a large backyard perfect for adding value. While the property needs a cosmetic overhaul—including kitchen, bath, and flooring updates—the roof and foundation are solid. Convenient to shopping, dining, and quick access for travel. Take advantage of strong neighborhood comps and turn this "little project on the block" into a high-ma
Key facts
- Large backyard
- Level lot
- Solid foundation
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Existing structure (not new construction)
- HOA & community: No homeowners association; Located in the Lawndale Estates subdivision
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport; Driveway; 2 covered parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric water heater
- Home design: Residential stick/site-built house; One story; Built in 1961; Den fireplace
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: City lot; cleared, level, subdivided; No fencing; Public maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing range
- Bedrooms: Primary on main level; Additional main-level bedrooms (rooms on main level: multiple)
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Wood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (oil-fired); Central air conditioning; Electric water heater
- Interior features: Built-in features; Ceiling fan(s); Primary bedroom on main level; Attic access only
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup on main level; Dryer connection
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $174k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $240 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $174k).
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 3.8% in Greensboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#12 in NC, #1,335 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
- Guilford County Schools (urban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #99 of 178 in NC (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 214 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,843 units permitted in Guilford County in 2024 (2,397 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Guilford County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.91%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $253,385
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5401 Bayberry Ln | 0.29mi | 3/1.5 | 1,315 (-3%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $133 | 80 |
| 5218 Lawndale Dr | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,390 (+3%) | 3mo | $275,000 | $198 | 69 |
| 5409 Amberhill Dr | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,378 (+2%) | 13mo | $210,000 | $152 | 69 |
| 5401 Mcnairy Dr | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,554 (+15%) | 1mo | $290,000 | $187 | 65 |
| 5114 Lawndale Dr | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,364 (+1%) | 4mo | $249,000 | $183 | 64 |
| 5107 Bayberry Ln | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 | 1,388 (+2%) | 1mo | $273,000 | $197 | 64 |
| 5403 Bayberry Ln | 0.28mi | 3/1.5 | 1,250 (-8%) | 13mo | $257,500 | $206 | 63 |
| 1803 Kello Dr | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,258 (-7%) | 9mo | $240,000 | $191 | 59 |
| 5414 Ropley Dr | 0.33mi | 3/1.5 | 1,216 (-10%) | 15mo | $280,000 | $230 | 55 |
| 4 Wordsworth Ct | 0.28mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,435 (+6%) | 19mo | $267,500 | $186 | 54 |
| 5305 North Oaks Dr | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,510 (+11%) | 3mo | $263,000 | $174 | 53 |
| 5220 Lawndale Dr | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,537 (+13%) | 12mo | $280,000 | $182 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.72% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-15,228
- Equity at exit
- $25,944
- IRR
- -0.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-2,802
- Equity at exit
- $15,044
Cash invested: $48,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27455
- Rents YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 214
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,836 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$912
- Tax from tax record
- −$226 /mo · $2,707/yr
- Insurance
- −$72
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$386
- Net cashflow
- $240
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $338 | -5% $289 | +0% $240 | +5% $190 | +10% $141 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $95 | -5% $167 | +0% $240 | +5% $312 | +10% $385 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $327 | -0.5pp $284 | base $240 | +0.5pp $195 | +1.0pp $149 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,500
- Closing costs
- $5,220
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5403 Amberhill Dr Greensboro, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1714 | $2,025 | $1.18 | 21d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 3211 Regents Park Ln Unit D Greensboro, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1222 | $1,500 | $1.23 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 4704 Lawndale Dr Unit 4704B Greensboro, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1151 | $1,550 | $1.35 | 19d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3020 Cottage Pl Greensboro, NC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 900 | $1,399 | $1.55 | 14d | 10 | 1.11mi |
| 4635 Lawndale Dr Unit A Greensboro, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $1,750 | $1.46 | 19d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 4625 Lawndale Dr Greensboro, NC | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1138 | $1,600 | $1.41 | 24d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 4515 Lawndale Dr Greensboro, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 800 | $1,381 | $1.73 | 14d | 10 | 1.28mi |
| 2403 Lake Brandt Pl Greensboro, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1025 | $1,810 | $1.76 | 14d | 11 | 1.35mi |
| 101 Shore Lake Dr Greensboro, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1188 | $1,834 | $1.54 | 24d | 11 | 1.45mi |
| 8 Indigo Cv Unit 1 Greensboro, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1585 | $2,500 | $1.58 | 24d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $174,000 Pending 4 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $174,000 Due Diligence Period 3 DOM
-
2026-06-02statusdays on market $174,000 Due Diligence Period 2 DOM
-
2026-06-01remarks 677-char remark
-
2026-05-31remarks 632-char remark
-
2026-05-31$174,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,707 · $226/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,707 · $226/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,030
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,747
- − Property taxes
- −$2,707
- − Insurance
- −$870
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,762
- − Management
- −$1,762
- − Depreciation
- −$5,062
- Taxable income
- $120
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$29
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,848/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Guilford County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3701920
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,315
- Composite
- 35.78/100
- National rank
- #4842
- State rank
- #99 of 178 in NC
Livability — Greensboro
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #12
- US rank
- #1335
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Greensboro, NC
- County
- Guilford County · 487,190 people
- City population
- 329,421
- Metro
- Greensboro-High Point, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,302
- Household income
- $94,349
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 644.0
Population outlook (Guilford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 584,596 people
- By 2030
- 616,851 · +5.5%
- By 2040
- 678,451 · +16.1%
- By 2050
- 734,788 · +25.7%
- By 2075
- 862,985 · +47.6%
- By 2100
- 948,704 · +62.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Black 23% Asian 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Guilford
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.8) · D 60.2% · R 38.4% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 18.4pp · 2024: 21.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.8 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+20.0 2012: D+16.5 2008: D+18.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -139.85%
- Current HPI
- 208.9563
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.72%
- Metro
- Greensboro-High Point, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-31 Listed $174,000 Triad MLS
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,707 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…