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4537 Columbus Ave
B- Composite 67.19
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$225,000

4537 Columbus Ave · Minneapolis, MN 55407
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,958 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1937 4,791 sqft lot Est $380k · 41% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 4537 Columbus Ave! Brimming with classic South Minneapolis character, this charming 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom Tudor-style home is an incredibly rare find. Whether you are a first-time homebuyer looking to bring your vision to life or an investor seeking a profitable project, this property offers a phenomenal opportunity to build instant equity at an unbeatable price point. Inside, you'll find great bones and fantastic potential—including original hardwood floors just waiting to be revealed beneath the main level carpet! With four bedrooms and two baths, there is plenty of space to grow, redesign, and make it your own. The location is truly second to none. Perfectly sandwiched b

Key facts

  • 4,791 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1937

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Natural gas fuel; Circuit breaker electrical system
  • Home design: Residential property; One and one-half levels; Main level finished area present
  • Construction: Block foundation; Foundation area 1,010; Above-grade finished area 1,675
  • Exterior features: Stucco exterior; Wood fencing; Lot approximately 0.11 acres (123 x 40)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Exhaust fan
  • Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms total; Main floor bedroom
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main floor; One three-quarter bathroom in the basement
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central air
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Kitchen window; Main floor primary bedroom; Has fireplace in the living room; Daylight/lookout windows in basement; Egress window(s) in basement; Full basement; Block foundation in basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry room on lower level; Utility room on lower level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $439 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $225k).
  • Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 3.1% in Minneapolis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#110 in MN, #2,525 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, crime F.
  • Minneapolis Public School District (urban): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #217 of 301 in MN (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Hale Elementary (math 87% / reading 77%, grade A+, #8 of 857 statewide, top 1%, 316 students, 15% FRL); Washburn High (math 52% / reading 67%, grade C+, #46 of 471 statewide, top 11%, 1,582 students, 37% FRL) — zoned schools average 26% FRL vs 58% district-wide (32 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 71% at this address vs 40% district-wide (+30 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Minneapolis Public School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 146 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 4,651 units permitted in Hennepin County in 2024 (2,443 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hennepin County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.3% rent growth), your $63k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $225,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.20%
Cap rate
8.64%
Cash-on-cash
8.37%
DSCR
1.37
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$379,852
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4136 Portland Ave 0.54mi 5/2.0 2,193 (+12%) 14mo $425,000 $194 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.3% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.0%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-4,757
Equity at exit
$33,548
10-year hold
IRR
9.2%
Equity multiple
1.75×
Total profit
$47,530
Equity at exit
$19,454

Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
34 Tenant-Leaning
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City Minneapolis
34 Tenant-Leaning · D+50
Tenant Opportunity to Purchase; renter's protections.

ZIP-level market 55407

Rents YoY
4.3%
Active inventory
146
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,706 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,180
Tax from tax record
$425 /mo · $5,099/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$568
Net cashflow
$439

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,150
Max offer price $225,000
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $567 -5% $503 +0% $439 +5% $376 +10% $312
Rent -10% $226 -5% $333 +0% $439 +5% $546 +10% $653
Rate -1.0pp $553 -0.5pp $497 base $439 +0.5pp $381 +1.0pp $322

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,250
Closing costs
$6,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4739 1st Ave S Minneapolis, MN 4.0 2.5 2500 $3,250 $1.30 26d 1 0.65mi
3729 2nd Ave S Minneapolis, MN 5.0 2.0 1700 $2,100 $1.24 16d 1 1.14mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-22
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-21
    historical Contingent - Inspection
  3. 2026-04-20
    status Pending
  4. 2026-04-17
    listed $225,000 Active
  5. 2026-04-16
    historical $225,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,099 · $425/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,099 · $425/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,477
− Mortgage interest
−$12,603
− Property taxes
−$5,099
− Insurance
−$1,125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,598
− Management
−$2,598
− Depreciation
−$6,545
Taxable income
$1,907
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$458
After-tax cash flow
$4,815/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Minneapolis Public School District
NCES district ID
2721240
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$50,521
Composite
34.92/100
National rank
#5067
State rank
#217 of 301 in MN

Livability — Minneapolis

Score
78/100
State rank
#110
US rank
#2525

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living C- Crime F Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Minneapolis, MN
County
Hennepin County · 1,150,272 people
City population
417,555
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
Population (ZIP)
37,667
Household income
$78,464
Rent vs Own
41.1% rent · 58.9% own
Severe rent burden
1583.0

Population outlook (Hennepin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,405,227 people
By 2030
1,492,650 · +6.2%
By 2040
1,660,157 · +18.1%
By 2050
1,823,498 · +29.8%
By 2075
2,221,283 · +58.1%
By 2100
2,509,976 · +78.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Hispanic / Latino 23% Black 18% Two or more races 10% Asian 2% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 8% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
68% English-only · Spanish 20% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hennepin

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.6) · D 70.2% · R 27.5% · Other 2.3%
2008→2024 swing
+14.0pp toward D · 2008: 28.6pp · 2024: 42.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.6 2020: D+43.2 2016: D+35.3 2012: D+27.1 2008: D+28.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -211.97%
Current HPI
292.0322
Rent YoY
▲ 4.30%
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-21 Contingent NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-20 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $225,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-16 Coming Soon $225,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,099 · +7.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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