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12398 Hwy 99 E Fourplex
C Composite 57.91
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.0/30.0
  • DSCR +7.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$640,000

12398 Hwy 99 E · Red Bluff, CA 96080
12 bd · 6.0 ba · — sqft · MultiFamily · 106 Days on market
Built 1948 2.10 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. estimate disagrees with records

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks

Located in the beautiful Dairyville area of Red Bluff, 5 houses of which one could be occupied by owner and have 4 separate houses as rental houses. Currently long term rentals. Details and all showings have to be arranged with listing agent. 24 to 48 hour notice required. Contact listing agent. Could be huge investment income for the business minded.

Key facts

  • 2.1 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1948

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 2.1 acres (dimensions 136 x 660); Road surface to property is gravel; Directions: Hwy 99 E to property
  • Financial info: Multiple rental units with listed actual rents: several units at $1,000; one unit at $798.66; one unit at $1,800

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; 2 garage spaces; Approximately 10 open parking spaces; Gravel drive/parking areas
  • Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank sewer; Electricity available; Additional utility details: see remarks
  • Home design: Residential income property; Zoned AG
  • Construction: Wood siding construction (see remarks); Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Composition roof; Partial fencing (see remarks); Patio/porch details: see remarks; Outbuilding on the property; Level and wooded lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Multiple 2-bedroom units and one 3-bedroom unit (unit-level details below)
  • Bathrooms: Multiple 1-bath units
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Space heater; Wood heating; Kerosene heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Double pane windows; See remarks for additional interior details; Wood burning stove fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: See remarks for laundry features

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4 × 3-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $640k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $312/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $640k).
  • Recommended offer: $582k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 3.7% in Red Bluff — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#698 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: cost of living D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Lassen View Union Elementary (rural): math 47% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #142 of 517 in CA (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 262 active listings in the ZIP; 186 units permitted in Tehama County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $7,180/mo this rent would consume 130% of the median local household income ($66k/yr) (locally 981% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $19k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tehama County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($582k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $582,400 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
8.64%
Cash-on-cash
8.37%
DSCR
1.37
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.98% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.9%
Equity multiple
0.79×
Total profit
$-38,336
Equity at exit
$95,426
10-year hold
IRR
1.1%
Equity multiple
1.07×
Total profit
$13,147
Equity at exit
$55,336

Cash invested: $179,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 96080

Rents YoY
1.0%
Active inventory
262
Price-to-rent
29.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$7,180 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,356
Tax est. 1.5%
$800 /mo · $9,600/yr
Insurance
$267
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,508
Net cashflow
$1,249

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,599
Max offer price $640,000
Occupancy floor 78%

4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (4 units) $7,180

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$160,000
Closing costs
$19,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $640,000 Active 106 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $640,000 Active 105 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $640,000 Active 104 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $640,000 Active 103 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $640,000 Active 102 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $640,000 Active 100 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $640,000 Active 99 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $640,000 Active 96 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $640,000 Active 95 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $640,000 Active 94 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $640,000 Active 91 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $640,000 Active 90 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $640,000 Active 89 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $640,000 Active 88 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $640,000 Active 87 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $640,000 Active 86 DOM
  17. 2026-03-05
    listed $640,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$86,160
− Mortgage interest
−$35,850
− Property taxes
−$9,600
− Insurance
−$3,200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$6,893
− Management
−$6,893
− Depreciation
−$18,618
Taxable income
$5,106
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,226
After-tax cash flow
$13,766/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lassen View Union Elementary
NCES district ID
0621090
Math proficiency
47% ▲ 4.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$45,781
Composite
43.59/100
National rank
#2974
State rank
#142 of 517 in CA

Livability — Red Bluff

Score
58/100
State rank
#698
US rank
#21144

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Tehama County · 31,554 people
City population
31,554
Metro
Red Bluff, CA
Population (ZIP)
31,554
Household income
$66,076
Rent vs Own
36.3% rent · 63.7% own
Severe rent burden
981.0

Population outlook (Tehama County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
61,058 people
By 2030
59,493 · -2.6%
By 2040
56,076 · -8.2%
By 2050
52,372 · -14.2%
By 2075
43,895 · -28.1%
By 2100
34,186 · -44.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 13% Native American 3% Black 2% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 17%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 9%

Political lean MEDSL · Tehama

2024 margin
Solid R (+41.8) · D 27.9% · R 69.7% · Other 2.3%
2008→2024 swing
-17.7pp toward R · 2008: -24.1pp · 2024: -41.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+41.8 2020: R+35.6 2016: R+36.8 2012: R+27.4 2008: R+24.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -139.80%
Current HPI
246.877
Rent YoY
▲ 0.98%
Metro
Red Bluff, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-03-05 Listed $640,000 TCAOR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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