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511 Early Ave
B- Composite 67.09
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$85,000

511 Early Ave · Eden, NC 27288
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,336 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 46 Days on market
Built 1940 0.32 ac lot Est $163k · 48% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

$66,900.00. Great investor or first time homeowner opportunity. Newer roof, fresh paint, refinished/replaced flooring. 2 bedrooms, 1 full bath. Large walk in closet in primary bedroom. Detached wired, 1 bay garage/storage. Centrally located in Eden, NC convenient to shopping/schools/employment.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Additional storage
  • Main-level living

Tags

MAIN-LEVEL LIVINGDEDICATED LAUNDRY ROOMCOVERED FRONT PORCHADDITIONAL STORAGEDETACHED GARAGEGRAVEL DRIVEWAY

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (1 car); Driveway with gravel parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric water heater; Natural gas heating
  • Home design: Residential stick/site-built house; One story; Built in 1940
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Crawl space foundation; Existing structure
  • Exterior features: City lot; No fencing; Storage structure on property; Publicly maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Free-standing range
  • Bedrooms: Bedrooms located on main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Primary bedroom on main level; Attic access only
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer connection on main level; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $198 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($983 rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 4.3% in Eden — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#224 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Rockingham County Schools (rural): math 38% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #120 of 178 in NC (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Leaksville-Spray Elementary (math 26% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,073 of 1,410 statewide, top 77%, 404 students, 99% FRL); J E Holmes Middle (math 31% / reading 37%, grade F, #294 of 475 statewide, top 63%, 627 students, 99% FRL); John M Morehead High (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #427 of 535 statewide, top 81%, 814 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 87% FRL vs 52% district-wide (35 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 208 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 344 units permitted in Rockingham County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Rockingham County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $70k; 21% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $82,450 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.16%
Cap rate
9.08%
Cash-on-cash
9.97%
DSCR
1.44
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$162,992
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
521 Walnut St 0.08mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,426 (+7%) 3mo $165,000 $116 76
724 Early Ave 0.39mi 2/1.0 1,315 (-2%) 5mo $90,000 $68 75
804 Church St 0.55mi 2/1.0 1,334 (-0%) 1mo $100,000 $75 74
609 Morehead St 0.07mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,176 (-12%) 0mo $159,900 $136 70
522 Glovenia St 0.24mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,400 (+5%) 3mo $250,000 $179 69
301 Lloyd St 0.73mi 2/1.0 1,321 (-1%) 11mo $144,500 $109 55
509 College St 0.38mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,228 (-8%) 10mo $149,900 $122 52
516 S Hamilton St 0.66mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,447 (+8%) 1mo $185,000 $128 50
1013 Willow St 0.65mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,302 (-2%) 9mo $214,900 $165 49
1002 Irving Ave 0.63mi 2/1.0 1,196 (-10%) 7mo $103,000 $86 47
1005 Willow St 0.61mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,200 (-10%) 7mo $199,900 $167 40
115 Moir St 0.44mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,524 (+14%) 11mo $178,500 $117 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.3%
Equity multiple
0.95×
Total profit
$-1,173
Equity at exit
$12,674
10-year hold
IRR
8.4%
Equity multiple
1.64×
Total profit
$15,231
Equity at exit
$7,349

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27288

Home prices YoY
-26.5%
Active inventory
208
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$983 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$98 /mo · $1,174/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$206
Net cashflow
$198

Break-even live

Break-even rent $733
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 75%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $246 -5% $222 +0% $198 +5% $174 +10% $150
Rent -10% $120 -5% $159 +0% $198 +5% $237 +10% $275
Rate -1.0pp $240 -0.5pp $219 base $198 +0.5pp $176 +1.0pp $153

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
704 Irving Ave Unit A Eden, NC 2.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 24d 1 0.31mi
606 Park Ave Eden, NC 3.0 2.0 1625 $1,495 $0.92 24d 1 1.22mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $85,000 Active 46 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $85,000 Active 45 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    pricestatusdays on market $85,000 Active 44 DOM
  4. 2026-06-03
    days on market $94,900 Due Diligence Period 42 DOM
  5. 2026-06-02
    days on market $94,900 Due Diligence Period 41 DOM
  6. 2026-06-01
    days on market $94,900 Due Diligence Period 40 DOM
  7. 2026-05-31
    days on market $94,900 Due Diligence Period 39 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $94,900 Due Diligence Period 38 DOM
  9. 2026-04-22
    listed $94,900 Active
  10. 2021-12-13
    soldstatus $70,000 Closed 295-char remark
    Show marketing remark (295 chars)

    $66,900.00. Great investor or first time homeowner opportunity. Newer roof, fresh paint, refinished/replaced flooring. 2 bedrooms, 1 full bath. Large walk in closet in primary bedroom. Detached wired, 1 bay garage/storage. Centrally located in Eden, NC convenient to shopping/schools/employment.

  11. 2021-08-10
    listed $66,900 295-char remark
    Show marketing remark (295 chars)

    $66,900.00. Great investor or first time homeowner opportunity. Newer roof, fresh paint, refinished/replaced flooring. 2 bedrooms, 1 full bath. Large walk in closet in primary bedroom. Detached wired, 1 bay garage/storage. Centrally located in Eden, NC convenient to shopping/schools/employment.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,174 · $98/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,174 · $98/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,798
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$1,174
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$944
− Management
−$944
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$1,077
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$259
After-tax cash flow
$2,114/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rockingham County Schools
NCES district ID
3703990
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$38,914
Composite
32.6/100
National rank
#5673
State rank
#120 of 178 in NC

Livability — Eden

Score
67/100
State rank
#224
US rank
#10535

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Eden, NC
County
Rockingham County · 22,926 people
City population
22,926
Metro
Greensboro-High Point, NC
Population (ZIP)
22,926
Household income
$52,594
Rent vs Own
37.8% rent · 62.2% own
Severe rent burden
860.0

Population outlook (Rockingham County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
87,103 people
By 2030
83,763 · -3.8%
By 2040
76,082 · -12.7%
By 2050
68,106 · -21.8%
By 2075
52,531 · -39.7%
By 2100
39,871 · -54.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (67%)
Race & ethnicity
White 67% Black 23% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Rockingham

2024 margin
Solid R (+35.9) · D 31.7% · R 67.6%
2008→2024 swing
-19.9pp toward R · 2008: -16.0pp · 2024: -35.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+35.9 2020: R+32.0 2016: R+30.0 2012: R+21.3 2008: R+16.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -66.28%
Current HPI
183.5709
Rent YoY
Metro
Greensboro-High Point, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+41.9% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $94,900 Triad MLS
  • 2021-12-13 Sold (MLS) $70,000 Triad MLS
  • 2021-08-10 Listed $66,900 Triad MLS

Property tax history

+5.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,174 · -0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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