🌊 Lakefront
1806 Ibis Ln E · Sanibel, FL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +14.8/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$685,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Schedule your showing today to experience the true island lifestyle at 1806 Ibis Lane! Tucked away on a quiet cul-de-sac, this waterfront 3 bedroom, 2 dens, 2 bathroom home overlooks Sanibel-Captiva Conservation land, offering a serene setting where nature and coastal living come together and the birds are always chirping. This is not staged; what you see is what you get- fully furnished! Enter into a thoughtfully designed space with a well-balanced layout. The fully appointed kitchen features top-of-the-line appliances and premium finishes. The primary bedroom is thoughtfully tucked away and features timeless finishes, generous space, and a walk-in closet. Both guest bedrooms are generousl
Key facts
- Walk-in closet
- Premium finishes
- Cul-de-sac
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets allowed
- HOA & community: Non-gated community; No association fee reported
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener (1 covered space)
- Security: Security/high impact doors; Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Single-story; Entry at ground level; Faces east; Resale property; Waterfront with lake view; West exposure
- Construction: Built with block, concrete and stucco; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Fence; Security/high impact doors; Sprinkler/irrigation system (municipal source); Patio; Lanai; Porch (screened); Room for pool; Storage; Smoke detector(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in oven; Double oven; Electric cooktop; Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator; Freezer; Wine cooler
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level; Bedroom on main level
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Dual sinks
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric); Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; Built-in features; Breakfast area; Family/Dining room; Living/Dining room; Pantry; Shower only; Separate shower; Walk-in closet(s); Home office; Furnished; Single hung, sliding and impact glass windows
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Laundry located in garage
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $685k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $10k ($121k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($19k rent vs $685k).
- Recommended offer: $603k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 24.7% vs local median 3.8% in Sanibel — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#541 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: housing D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 526 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $21k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $192k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 138 days — a 12% lower offer ($603k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $460k; 49% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 138 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.77% ✓
- Cap rate
- 24.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 65.87%
- DSCR
- 3.93
- GRM
- 3.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $816,682
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1832 Farm Trl | 0.46mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,618 (-1%) | 4mo | $599,000 | $370 | 68 |
| 1258 Sand Castle Rd | 1.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,704 (+4%) | 14mo | $570,000 | $335 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 62.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.78×
- Total profit
- $532,738
- Equity at exit
- $102,136
- IRR
- 66.8%
- Equity multiple
- 7.75×
- Total profit
- $1,293,894
- Equity at exit
- $59,226
Cash invested: $191,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33957
- Home prices YoY
- -15.7%
- Active inventory
- 526
- Price-to-rent
- 3.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $18,991 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,592
- Tax from tax record
- −$597 /mo · $7,168/yr
- Insurance
- −$285
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$3,988
- Net cashflow
- $10,101
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $10,489 | -5% $10,295 | +0% $10,101 | +5% $9,907 | +10% $9,713 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $8,601 | -5% $9,351 | +0% $10,101 | +5% $10,851 | +10% $11,601 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $10,446 | -0.5pp $10,275 | base $10,101 | +0.5pp $9,924 | +1.0pp $9,743 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $171,250
- Closing costs
- $20,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1235 Par View Dr Sanibel, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1534 | $3,500 | $2.28 | 22d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1679 Serenity Ln Unit 1323695P Sanibel, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1646 | $7,115 | $4.32 | 17d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2445 W Gulf Dr Unit 32E Sanibel, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1243 | $18,000 | $14.48 | 25d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2445 W Gulf Dr Unit 47B Sanibel, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1243 | $20,000 | $16.09 | 25d | 1 | 1.20mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $685,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $685,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $685,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $685,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $685,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $685,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $685,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $685,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $685,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $685,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $685,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-02-03$685,000 Active
-
2025-09-08historical
-
2025-04-28price $749,000
-
2025-01-20price $699,000
-
2024-11-14price $725,000
-
2024-08-26$770,000 Active
-
2024-04-30historical
-
2024-03-19price $755,000
-
2024-02-01price $799,000
-
2024-01-10price $825,000
-
2023-11-08price $849,000
-
2023-10-26price $875,000
-
2023-10-10$889,000 Active
-
2023-09-08historical
-
2023-07-15$895,000 Active
-
2022-12-26soldstatus $460,000
-
2018-06-26soldstatus $650,000
-
2018-06-14soldstatus $650,000 Sold
-
2018-02-22status Pending With Contingencies
-
2018-02-15$679,000 Active
-
2016-02-02price $360,000
-
2016-02-02price $440,000
-
2016-02-02soldstatus $360,000 Sold
-
2016-02-02soldstatus $360,000
-
2016-01-06status Pending With Contingencies
-
2015-11-11price $440,000
-
2015-11-03status Active
-
2015-10-15status Pending With Contingencies
-
2015-07-11price $450,000
-
2015-07-02price $465,000
-
2015-05-05$470,000 Active
-
2015-05-01historical
-
2015-04-16price $470,000
-
2015-04-16status Active
-
2015-04-06status Pending With Contingencies
-
2015-02-07$499,000 Active
-
2003-03-14soldstatus $354,000
-
2001-03-05soldstatus $206,000
-
1993-04-28soldstatus $177,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $7,168 · $597/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,168 · $597/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $227,888
- − Mortgage interest
- −$38,371
- − Property taxes
- −$7,168
- − Insurance
- −$8,544
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$18,231
- − Management
- −$18,231
- − Depreciation
- −$19,927
- Taxable income
- $117,417
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$28,180
- After-tax cash flow
- $93,034/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lee
- NCES district ID
- 1201080
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,518
- Composite
- 41.49/100
- National rank
- #3458
- State rank
- #42 of 73 in FL
Livability — Sanibel
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #541
- US rank
- #10166
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sanibel, FL
- City population
- 6,402
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,402
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 871,946 people
- By 2030
- 955,468 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 1,113,587 · +27.7%
- By 2050
- 1,256,891 · +44.1%
- By 2075
- 1,560,270 · +78.9%
- By 2100
- 1,726,848 · +98.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Romanian 4% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -93.08%
- Current HPI
- 501.0
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+287.0% since first listed39 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-03 Listed $685,000 FORTMLS
- 2025-09-08 Listing Removed — FORTMLS
- 2025-04-28 Price Changed $749,000 FORTMLS
- 2025-01-20 Price Changed $699,000 FORTMLS
- 2024-11-14 Price Changed $725,000 FORTMLS
- 2024-08-26 Listed $770,000 FORTMLS
- 2024-04-30 Listing Removed — FORTMLS
- 2024-03-19 Price Changed $755,000 FORTMLS
- 2024-02-01 Price Changed $799,000 FORTMLS
- 2024-01-10 Price Changed $825,000 FORTMLS
- 2023-11-08 Price Changed $849,000 FORTMLS
- 2023-10-26 Price Changed $875,000 FORTMLS
- 2023-10-10 Listed $889,000 FORTMLS
- 2023-09-08 Listing Removed — FORTMLS
- 2023-07-15 Listed $895,000 FORTMLS
- 2022-12-26 Sold (Public Records) $460,000 Public Records
- 2018-06-26 Sold (Public Records) $650,000 Public Records
- 2018-06-14 Sold (MLS) $650,000 FORTMLS
- 2018-02-22 Pending — FORTMLS
- 2018-02-15 Listed $679,000 FORTMLS
- 2016-02-02 Price Changed $360,000 FORTMLS
- 2016-02-02 Sold (Public Records) $360,000 Public Records
- 2016-02-02 Sold (MLS) $360,000 FORTMLS
- 2016-02-02 Price Changed $440,000 FORTMLS
- 2016-01-06 Pending — FORTMLS
- 2015-11-11 Price Changed $440,000 FORTMLS
- 2015-11-03 Relisted — FORTMLS
- 2015-10-15 Pending — FORTMLS
- 2015-07-11 Price Changed $450,000 FORTMLS
- 2015-07-02 Price Changed $465,000 FORTMLS
- 2015-05-05 Listed $470,000 FORTMLS
- 2015-05-01 Listing Removed — FORTMLS
- 2015-04-16 Price Changed $470,000 FORTMLS
- 2015-04-16 Relisted — FORTMLS
- 2015-04-06 Pending — FORTMLS
- 2015-02-07 Listed $499,000 FORTMLS
- 2003-03-14 Sold (Public Records) $354,000 Public Records
- 2001-03-05 Sold (Public Records) $206,000 Public Records
- 1993-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $177,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.7%/yrLatest (2025): $7,168 · -24.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…