2616 N 59th St · Lincoln, NE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,161 – $2,155
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this charming 3 bedroom, 1 bath home. On the main level there is 2 bedrooms, and an open layout including a kitchen with stainless steal appliances that flows seamlessly to the living room area. Upstairs in the finished attic, you will find the 3rd bedroom. This home is ideal for a first time homebuyer or investor looking to grow their portfolio. Don't miss the opportunity to see this one today. Seller holds a Nebraska real estate license.
Key facts
- Finished attic
- Open layout
- 6,970 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service available
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Built in 1925; One story plus second-floor space
- Construction: Concrete perimeter foundation
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.16 acres (45 x 193); Lot up to 1/4 acre
Interior
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on the main floor; Second bedroom on the main floor; Third bedroom on the second floor
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Basement present (approximately 484 finished area); No fireplaces
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $143 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $138k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 3.0% in Lincoln — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#5 in NE, #545 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+.
- Lincoln Public Schools (urban): math 50% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #59 of 111 in NE (top 53%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Brownell Elementary School (math 37% / reading 52%, grade F, #289 of 502 statewide, top 63%, 337 students, 68% FRL); Mickle Middle School (math 53% / reading 55%, grade B-, #38 of 128 statewide, top 31%, 694 students, 46% FRL); Lincoln Northeast High School (math 34% / reading 36%, grade F, #207 of 261 statewide, top 79%, 1,812 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 59% FRL vs 37% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 100 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,940 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (895 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lancaster County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $70k; list at $140k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.37%
- DSCR
- 1.19
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $203,139
- List price
- $139,900
- Delta
- -31.13%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 N 57 St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,015 (-2%) | 2mo | $234,900 | $231 | 71 |
| 2713 N 59 St | 0.07mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 928 (-10%) | 3mo | $159,900 | $172 | 68 |
| 5035 Knox St | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,050 (+1%) | 3mo | $194,900 | $186 | 61 |
| 5327 Knox St | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 1,122 (+8%) | 2mo | $159,000 | $142 | 60 |
| 2958 N 53 St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 936 (-10%) | 1mo | $200,000 | $214 | 58 |
| 6338 Hartley St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 988 (-5%) | 2mo | $256,000 | $259 | 57 |
| 5735 Judson St | 0.47mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,128 (+9%) | 2mo | $235,000 | $208 | 54 |
| 5220 Gladstone St | 0.66mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,070 (+3%) | 3mo | $190,000 | $178 | 54 |
| 5626 Judson St | 0.52mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,168 (+13%) | 3mo | $223,500 | $191 | 45 |
| 5140 Judson St | 0.66mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,128 (+9%) | 2mo | $117,500 | $104 | 43 |
| 5701 Gladstone St | 0.54mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,175 (+13%) | 3mo | $210,000 | $179 | 43 |
| 4934 Knox St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 910 (-12%) | 0mo | $205,000 | $225 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.37% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.63×
- Total profit
- $-14,455
- Equity at exit
- $20,860
- IRR
- -1.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-4,397
- Equity at exit
- $12,096
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Nebraska
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 68507
- Rents YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 100
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,410 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$179 /mo · $2,151/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$296
- Net cashflow
- $143
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 30 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2840 N Cotner Blvd Unit 1 Lincoln, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1450 | $1,425 | $0.98 | 43d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2405 N 50th St Apt 4 Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $850 | $1.15 | 13d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 3609 N 60th St Unit 7 Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 724 | $795 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 2742 N 48th St Unit 03 Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 769 | $895 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 2701 N 70th St Lincoln, NE | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 886 | $960 | $1.08 | 13d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 5301 Benton St Unit 5307 Lincoln, NE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 720 | $1,295 | $1.80 | 43d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 3202 N 48th St Unit 2 Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,050 | $1.11 | 21d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 4630 Leighton Ave Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 781 | $2,141 | $2.74 | 13d | 21 | 0.84mi |
| 4602 Saint Paul Ave Unit 3 Lincoln, NE | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1344 | $1,550 | $1.15 | 13d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 4715 Gladstone St Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 806 | $1,025 | $1.27 | 13d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 4711 Gladstone St Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 806 | $1,025 | $1.27 | 13d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 4411 Baldwin Ave Lincoln, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 764 | $1,600 | $2.09 | 21d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 4904 Holdrege St Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1282 | $1,299 | $1.01 | 43d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1025 N 63rd St Lincoln, NE | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1157 | $1,590 | $1.37 | 13d | 7 | 0.98mi |
| 2334 N 44th St Unit 19 Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1035 | $1,075 | $1.04 | 21d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 4800 Holdrege St Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 806 | $1,625 | $2.01 | 13d | 88 | 1.01mi |
| 4910 Dudley St Unit 2 Lincoln, NE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1073 | $1,250 | $1.16 | 21d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 2635 N 42nd St Apt 3 Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $900 | $1.29 | 13d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2635 N 42nd St Apt 2 Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $900 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 4630 Starr St Unit 4630 Lincoln, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1460 | $1,250 | $0.86 | 43d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 4529 Holdrege St Lincoln, NE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 4650 Orchard St Lincoln, NE | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $825 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 825 N Cotner Blvd Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,335 | $1.48 | 21d | 2 | 1.23mi |
| 4444 N 60th St Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1248 | $1,440 | $1.15 | 13d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 6501 Vine St Unit 073* Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 1.5 | 830 | $975 | $1.17 | 21d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 6433 Platte Ave Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1386 | $1,995 | $1.44 | 21d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 5101 Vine St Lincoln, NE | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 886 | $1,370 | $1.55 | 13d | 18 | 1.37mi |
| 6511 Vine St Unit 149* Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 1.5 | 897 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 21d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 3811 Baldwin Ave Lincoln, NE | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1015 | $1,489 | $1.47 | 13d | 14 | 1.37mi |
| 6417 Burlington Ave Unit 4 Lincoln, NE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-05-30status $139,900 Pending 15 DOM
-
2026-05-13$139,900 New 457-char remark
-
2026-04-24status Pending
-
2026-04-24historical
-
2026-04-12$149,000 New
-
2026-04-12$149,000 New
-
2026-04-12historical
-
2026-04-12historical
-
2026-03-05$158,300 New
-
2026-03-05historical
-
2026-01-22$168,300 New
-
2025-07-05historical $1,199
-
2025-06-26price $1,199
-
2025-06-20$1,299
-
2023-07-18historical
-
2018-08-10soldstatus $70,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,151 · $179/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,420 · $202/mo
- Expected delta
- +$269/yr (+$22/mo · 12.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,918
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$2,151
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,353
- − Management
- −$1,353
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable loss
- −$546
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$131
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,842/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lincoln Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3172840
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,273
- Composite
- 44.05/100
- National rank
- #2880
- State rank
- #59 of 111 in NE
Livability — Lincoln
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #5
- US rank
- #545
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lincoln, NE
- County
- Lancaster County · 291,509 people
- City population
- 291,509
- Metro
- Lincoln, NE
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,029
- Household income
- $69,488
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 557.0
Population outlook (Lancaster County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 352,806 people
- By 2030
- 377,899 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 428,582 · +21.5%
- By 2050
- 483,103 · +36.9%
- By 2075
- 632,390 · +79.2%
- By 2100
- 759,513 · +115.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Vietnamese 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lancaster
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.1% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.7pp no change · 2008: 5.0pp · 2024: 4.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.3 2020: D+7.8 2016: D+0.1 2012: R+1.0 2008: D+5.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -273.66%
- Current HPI
- 234.3628
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.37%
- Metro
- Lincoln, NE
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Conglomerate | 1 | $371B |
|
||
Price history
+99.9% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Pending — GPRMLS
- 2026-05-13 Listed $139,900 GPRMLS
- 2026-04-24 Pending — GPRMLS
- 2026-04-24 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2026-04-12 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2026-04-12 Listed $149,000 GPRMLS
- 2026-04-12 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2026-04-12 Listed $149,000 GPRMLS
- 2026-03-05 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2026-03-05 Listed $158,300 GPRMLS
- 2026-01-22 Listed $168,300 GPRMLS
- 2025-07-05 Rental Removed $1,199 APPFOLIO
- 2025-06-26 Price Changed $1,199 APPFOLIO
- 2025-06-20 Listed for Rent $1,299 APPFOLIO
- 2023-07-18 Rental Removed — APPFOLIO
- 2018-08-10 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,151 · +3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…