10568 Ferguson Rd · Dallas, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +8.8/30.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.4/10.0
- Rent growth +1.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$160,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Three bedroom, one bath home ready for updates and restoration to bring it back to its full potential. Great opportunity for an investor to capitalize on this real estate property. Conveniently located near shopping, major highways, and just minutes from downtown Dallas with an easy commute to surrounding suburbs. Sold AS IS - seller will make no repairs. Buyers and Buyers agent to verify all information.
Key facts
- Investment property
- Blank canvas
- Easy commute
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Listing terms: Cash; Loan type: Treat as clear; No second mortgage indicated
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Covered parking (1 space); Attached garage with 1 garage space
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Not in a municipal utility district
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Attached property; One story
- Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built in 1952
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Chain link fencing; Lot less than 0.5 acre
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas range
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; One living area; One dining area; 6 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-132 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $137k (14.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $151k (5.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $137k (14.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 2.3% in Dallas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#24 in TX, #1,380 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Dallas ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #559 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Reinhardt El (math 32% / reading 35%, grade F, #2,174 of 4,322 statewide, top 51%, 429 students, 88% FRL) — zoned schools at 88% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.8%/yr); 306 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.52%
- DSCR
- 0.84
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $241,281
- List price
- $160,000
- Delta
- -33.69%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10465 Ferguson Rd | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 | 1,010 (+3%) | 4mo | $193,000 | $191 | 81 |
| 10628 Benbrook Dr | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,042 (+6%) | 4mo | $199,000 | $191 | 73 |
| 2351 Norwood Dr | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,064 (+8%) | 2mo | $230,000 | $216 | 60 |
| 2703 Gus Thomasson Rd | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 | 862 (-12%) | 2mo | $189,000 | $219 | 60 |
| 2115 Dunloe Ave | 0.74mi | 2/1.5 | 984 (0%) | 7mo | $246,000 | $250 | 58 |
| 10618 Cotillion Dr | 0.23mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,124 (+14%) | 1mo | $205,000 | $182 | 57 |
| 10815 Ruth Ann Dr | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,069 (+9%) | 4mo | $195,000 | $182 | 56 |
| 3206 San Medina Ave | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 893 (-9%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $140 | 55 |
| 10816 Mandalay Dr | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,080 (+10%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $153 | 50 |
| 2129 Montalba Ave | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,099 (+12%) | 2mo | $239,900 | $218 | 44 |
| 2065 S Farola Dr | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,104 (+12%) | 6mo | $200,000 | $181 | 36 |
| 2224 Tisinger Ave | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 839 (-15%) | 6mo | $218,000 | $260 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -26.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.14×
- Total profit
- $-38,580
- Equity at exit
- $23,857
- IRR
- -42.5%
- Equity multiple
- -0.36×
- Total profit
- $-60,867
- Equity at exit
- $13,834
Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75228
- Rents YoY
- -4.8%
- Active inventory
- 306
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,512 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$420 /mo · $5,044/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$318
- Net cashflow
- $-132
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-41 | -5% $-86 | +0% $-132 | +5% $-177 | +10% $-222 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-251 | -5% $-191 | +0% $-132 | +5% $-72 | +10% $-12 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-51 | -0.5pp $-91 | base $-132 | +0.5pp $-173 | +1.0pp $-215 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $40,000
- Closing costs
- $4,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10465 Ferguson Rd Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1010 | $1,750 | $1.73 | 44d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 10425 Ferguson Rd Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 916 | $1,753 | $1.91 | 44d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 10850 Shiloh Rd Unit 303 Dallas, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 25d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 10852 Shiloh Rd Unit 403 Dallas, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 25d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 10852 Shiloh Rd Unit 404 Dallas, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 2916 Ruidosa Ave Unit 2 Dallas, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 630 | $1,295 | $2.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 2118 Norwood Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,895 | $1.69 | 4d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 11211 Stallcup Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1111 | $1,950 | $1.76 | 44d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 11209 Joaquin Dr Dallas, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 828 | $1,600 | $1.93 | 4d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 2709 Highwood Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1116 | $1,695 | $1.52 | 25d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 10518 Desdemona Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1077 | $2,275 | $2.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 10943 Desdemona Dr Dallas, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $1,600 | $1.51 | 20d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1802 Gus Thomasson Rd Dallas, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 884 | $1,895 | $2.14 | 25d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1802 Gus Thomasson Rd Dallas, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1026 | $1,899 | $1.85 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 10608 Cayuga Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1038 | $1,775 | $1.71 | 8d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 2035 San Francisco Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 926 | $1,770 | $1.91 | 4d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3022 Larry Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $1,949 | $1.73 | 3d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1411 Easton Rd Dallas, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 934 | $1,352 | $1.45 | 0d | 42 | 1.26mi |
| 10432 San Felipe Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1006 | $1,850 | $1.84 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 11611 Ferguson Rd Dallas, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 735 | $1,445 | $1.96 | 44d | 17 | 1.35mi |
| 11611 Ferguson Rd Dallas, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 735 | $1,542 | $2.10 | 11d | 24 | 1.35mi |
| 11611 Ferguson Rd Dallas, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 735 | $1,345 | $1.83 | 0d | 20 | 1.35mi |
| 10986 Lochwood Blvd Dallas, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,275 | $1.42 | 23d | 5 | 1.36mi |
| 10715 Garland Rd Dallas, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1049 | $3,300 | $3.14 | 0d | 200 | 1.37mi |
| 11223 Wyatt St Dallas, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1075 | $1,195 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 11111 Woodmeadow Pkwy Dallas, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 749 | $1,785 | $2.38 | 44d | 10 | 1.41mi |
| 11111 Woodmeadow Pkwy Dallas, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 749 | $1,375 | $1.83 | 4d | 10 | 1.41mi |
| 11321 Woodmeadow Pkwy Dallas, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1027 | $1,199 | $1.17 | 4d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 10805 Lake Gardens Dr Dallas, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,850 | $1.76 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 3720 Oates Dr Mesquite, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 878 | $1,358 | $1.55 | 25d | 2 | 1.44mi |
| 11050 Wyatt St Dallas, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,695 | $1.54 | 8d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 10809 Marchant Cir Dallas, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,520 | $1.90 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 11011 Woodmeadow Pkwy Dallas, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,688 | $1.53 | 0d | 2 | 1.48mi |
| 11110 Woodmeadow Pkwy Dallas, TX | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 719 | $1,478 | $2.06 | 3d | 13 | 1.48mi |
| 11110 Woodmeadow Pkwy Dallas, TX | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 618 | $1,195 | $1.93 | 44d | 12 | 1.48mi |
| 1141 Easton Rd Dallas, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 830 | $960 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 1141 Easton Rd Dallas, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 830 | $1,040 | $1.25 | 5d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 1141 Easton Rd Dallas, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $814 | $1.36 | 13d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 1141 Easton Rd Unit 1162 Dallas, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $920 | $1.53 | 15d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 1141 Easton Rd Unit 1162 Dallas, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $814 | $1.36 | 0d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-07status $160,000 Pending 24 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $160,000 Active Option Contract 24 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $160,000 Active Option Contract 23 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $160,000 Active Option Contract 22 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $160,000 Active Option Contract 21 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $160,000 Active Option Contract 20 DOM
-
2026-05-11$160,000 Active 516-char remark
-
2003-05-05soldstatus
-
1990-09-25soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,044 · $420/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,044 · $420/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,144
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,962
- − Property taxes
- −$5,044
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,452
- − Management
- −$1,452
- − Depreciation
- −$4,655
- Taxable loss
- −$4,220
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,013
- After-tax cash flow
- $-566/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dallas ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4816230
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,881
- Composite
- 28.41/100
- National rank
- #6763
- State rank
- #559 of 826 in TX
Livability — Dallas
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #24
- US rank
- #1380
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dallas, TX
- County
- Dallas County · 2,612,404 people
- City population
- 1,168,437
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 67,714
- Household income
- $62,667
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3281.0
Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,979,839 people
- By 2030
- 3,191,823 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 3,619,611 · +21.5%
- By 2050
- 4,026,915 · +35.1%
- By 2075
- 4,957,073 · +66.4%
- By 2100
- 5,508,725 · +84.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 56% Two or more races 32% White 20% Black 19% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 48%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 28% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 48% English-only · Spanish 48% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dallas
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.2) · D 60.2% · R 38.0% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.9pp toward D · 2008: 15.3pp · 2024: 22.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.2 2020: D+31.6 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+15.4 2008: D+15.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -319.11%
- Current HPI
- 354.1624
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -4.85%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2026-06-04 Pending — NTREIS
- 2026-05-28 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2026-05-11 Listed $160,000 NTREIS
- 2003-05-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1990-09-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+6.5%/yrLatest (2025): $5,044 · +42.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…