30 Roberts Dr · Somerset, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.4/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fully furnished 1997 14x36 mobile home (not on a permanent foundation) on quiet street conveniently located to Downtown Somerset and Hwy 27. Metal roof is 2 years old and new front porch and back porch added!!! Large fenced backyard with mature trees and outbuilding. Don't miss this one! Being sold AS-IS.
Key facts
- Quiet street
- Metal roof
- Somerset location
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot approximately 0.295 acres (public records)
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank
- Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Building area about 504 total
- Exterior features: Neighborhood view
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living areas)
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Primary bedroom on the first floor; No fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $249 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($850 rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $69k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 3.1% in Somerset — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#208 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety B+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Pulaski County (town): math 43% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #17 of 165 in KY (top 10%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Pulaski County High School (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #21 of 254 statewide, top 10%, 1,209 students, 57% FRL) — zoned schools at 57% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 293 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 117 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $45k; list at $70k implies a 55% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.25%
- DSCR
- 1.68
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.23×
- Total profit
- $4,488
- Equity at exit
- $10,422
- IRR
- 15.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.24×
- Total profit
- $24,205
- Equity at exit
- $6,044
Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42503
- Home prices YoY
- -8.4%
- Active inventory
- 293
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $850 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$27 /mo · $325/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$178
- Net cashflow
- $249
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $288 | -5% $268 | +0% $249 | +5% $229 | +10% $209 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $182 | -5% $215 | +0% $249 | +5% $282 | +10% $316 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $284 | -0.5pp $266 | base $249 | +0.5pp $231 | +1.0pp $212 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,475
- Closing costs
- $2,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3321 Kentucky 1247 Unit 1247 C Somerset, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.31mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $69,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $69,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $69,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $69,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $69,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-01remarks 511-char remark
-
2026-06-01$69,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $325 · $27/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $601 · $50/mo
- Expected delta
- +$276/yr (+$23/mo · 84.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,200
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,915
- − Property taxes
- −$325
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$816
- − Management
- −$816
- − Depreciation
- −$2,033
- Taxable income
- $1,944
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$467
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,518/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pulaski County
- NCES district ID
- 2104950
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,366
- Composite
- 39.69/100
- National rank
- #3906
- State rank
- #17 of 165 in KY
Livability — Somerset
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #208
- US rank
- #10207
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,638
Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 65,414 people
- By 2030
- 65,828 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 65,972 · +0.9%
- By 2050
- 65,108 · -0.5%
- By 2075
- 61,647 · -5.8%
- By 2100
- 53,613 · -18.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+65.2) · D 16.9% · R 82.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.9pp toward R · 2008: -55.4pp · 2024: -65.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+65.2 2020: R+62.7 2016: R+66.7 2012: R+60.5 2008: R+55.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -27.16%
- Current HPI
- 294.5958
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
+350.6% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $69,900 ImagineMLS
- 2023-06-26 Sold (MLS) $45,000 ImagineMLS
- 2023-06-04 Pending — ImagineMLS
- 2023-06-02 Listed $49,900 ImagineMLS
- 2009-08-21 Sold (Public Records) $15,513 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.4%/yrLatest (2025): $325 · -2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…