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30 Roberts Dr
B- Composite 66.42
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.4/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.2/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,900

30 Roberts Dr · Somerset, KY 42503
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 504 sqft · Manufactured public records · 20 Days on market
Built 1997 0.30 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Fully furnished 1997 14x36 mobile home (not on a permanent foundation) on quiet street conveniently located to Downtown Somerset and Hwy 27. Metal roof is 2 years old and new front porch and back porch added!!! Large fenced backyard with mature trees and outbuilding. Don't miss this one! Being sold AS-IS.

Key facts

  • Quiet street
  • Metal roof
  • Somerset location

Tags

SOMERSET LOCATIONQUIET STREETMETAL ROOFFRONT AND BACK PORCHES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 0.295 acres (public records)

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank
  • Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Building area about 504 total
  • Exterior features: Neighborhood view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living areas)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Primary bedroom on the first floor; No fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $249 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($850 rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $69k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 3.1% in Somerset — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#208 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety B+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Pulaski County (town): math 43% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #17 of 165 in KY (top 10%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Pulaski County High School (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #21 of 254 statewide, top 10%, 1,209 students, 57% FRL) — zoned schools at 57% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 293 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 117 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $45k; list at $70k implies a 55% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $68,851 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.22%
Cap rate
10.56%
Cash-on-cash
15.25%
DSCR
1.68
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.9%
Equity multiple
1.23×
Total profit
$4,488
Equity at exit
$10,422
10-year hold
IRR
15.3%
Equity multiple
2.24×
Total profit
$24,205
Equity at exit
$6,044

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 42503

Home prices YoY
-8.4%
Active inventory
293
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$850 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$27 /mo · $325/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$178
Net cashflow
$249

Break-even live

Break-even rent $535
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $288 -5% $268 +0% $249 +5% $229 +10% $209
Rent -10% $182 -5% $215 +0% $249 +5% $282 +10% $316
Rate -1.0pp $284 -0.5pp $266 base $249 +0.5pp $231 +1.0pp $212

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3321 Kentucky 1247 Unit 1247 C Somerset, KY 1.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 44d 1 0.31mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $69,900 Active 20 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,900 Active 18 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,900 Active 17 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,900 Active 16 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,900 Active 15 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,900 Active 13 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $69,900 Active 12 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,900 Active 9 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,900 Active 8 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,900 Active 7 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,900 Active 6 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $69,900 Active 3 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $69,900 Active 2 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    remarks 511-char remark
  15. 2026-06-01
    listed $69,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$325 · $27/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$601 · $50/mo
Expected delta
+$276/yr (+$23/mo · 84.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,200
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$325
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$816
− Management
−$816
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$1,944
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$467
After-tax cash flow
$2,518/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pulaski County
NCES district ID
2104950
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$35,366
Composite
39.69/100
National rank
#3906
State rank
#17 of 165 in KY

Livability — Somerset

Score
67/100
State rank
#208
US rank
#10207

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing B Health & safety B+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
25,638

Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
65,414 people
By 2030
65,828 · +0.6%
By 2040
65,972 · +0.9%
By 2050
65,108 · -0.5%
By 2075
61,647 · -5.8%
By 2100
53,613 · -18.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski

2024 margin
Solid R (+65.2) · D 16.9% · R 82.1% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-9.9pp toward R · 2008: -55.4pp · 2024: -65.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+65.2 2020: R+62.7 2016: R+66.7 2012: R+60.5 2008: R+55.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -27.16%
Current HPI
294.5958
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+350.6% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $69,900 ImagineMLS
  • 2023-06-26 Sold (MLS) $45,000 ImagineMLS
  • 2023-06-04 Pending ImagineMLS
  • 2023-06-02 Listed $49,900 ImagineMLS
  • 2009-08-21 Sold (Public Records) $15,513 Public Records

Property tax history

+9.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $325 · -2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…