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638 Courtland Ln
B Composite 71.46
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$74,000

638 Courtland Ln · Wolf Lake, MI 49442
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 990 sqft · Manufactured · 7 Days on market
Built 2022 Good condition

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Check out this move in ready home in Apple Carr Village with easy access off the main entrance to the park and near the office, common room, gym, pool and playground. This 2022 3 bedroom, 2 full bath home with large kitchen and convenient laundry is ready for you to make it your own. Corner lot with a nice shed for all of your yard tools.

Key facts

  • Convenient laundry
  • Nice shed
  • Large kitchen

Tags

MOVE IN READYLARGE KITCHENCONVENIENT LAUNDRYCORNER LOTNICE SHED

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Has association with clubhouse, pool, playground, storage; pets allowed

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Natural gas available and connected; Electricity available
  • Home design: Ranch-style home; Residential property; 990 sq. ft. living area
  • Construction: Built in 2022; Vinyl siding; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Leased land; Shed(s) on property; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (approx. 14.1 x 7.9); Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (approx. 11.4 x 14.5); Bedroom 2 (approx. 11 x 7.8); Bedroom 3 (approx. 8.9 x 9.3)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Primary bathroom (approx. 4.11 x 5.5); Second bathroom (approx. 7.1 x 4.11)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Has heating; Has cooling
  • Interior features: 6 total rooms; Crawl space and slab foundation/basement
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room (approx. 3.9 x 8.1); Washer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $74k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $632 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $74k).
  • Cap rate 16.5% vs local median 3.6% in Wolf Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#594 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Oakridge Public Schools (suburban): math 17% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #389 of 540 in MI (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 289 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 438 units permitted in Muskegon County in 2024 (115 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($49k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $512 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Muskegon County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $74,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.96%
Cap rate
16.54%
Cash-on-cash
36.60%
DSCR
2.63
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$29,700
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
583 S Mcintosh Ln 0.08mi 3/2.0 980 (-1%) 1mo $25,000 $26 94
4927 Winesap Dr 0.24mi 2/2.0 (-1) 987 (-0%) 7mo $30,000 $30 77
567 Harvest Ln 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,056 (+7%) 10mo $40,000 $38 73

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
38.0%
Equity multiple
2.73×
Total profit
$35,933
Equity at exit
$11,034
10-year hold
IRR
47.0%
Equity multiple
6.70×
Total profit
$118,025
Equity at exit
$6,398

Cash invested: $20,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49442

Rents YoY
8.2%
Active inventory
289
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,447 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$388
Tax est. 1.5%
$92 /mo · $1,110/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$304
Net cashflow
$632

Break-even live

Break-even rent $647
Max offer price $74,000
Occupancy floor 51%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,500
Closing costs
$2,220
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
516 Courtland Ln Muskegon, MI 3.0 2.0 1223 $1,414 $1.16 3d 1 0.12mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $74,000 Active 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $74,000 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $74,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $74,000 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $74,000 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 340-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    listed $74,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,368
− Mortgage interest
−$4,145
− Property taxes
−$1,110
− Insurance
−$370
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,389
− Management
−$1,389
− Depreciation
−$2,153
Taxable income
$6,812
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,635
After-tax cash flow
$5,949/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This move-in ready mobile home is in good condition with modern updates and a good curb appeal. It has the potential to be further enhanced with some exterior and interior updates to increase its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value
  • Both Replace the carpet with hardwood or tile flooring — Improves aesthetics and can increase both resale and rental value
  • Both Install new windows — Can increase natural light and reduce energy costs, enhancing both resale and rental value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value
  • Both Replace the carpet with hardwood or tile flooring — Improves aesthetics and can increase both resale and rental value
  • Both Install new windows — Can increase natural light and reduce energy costs, enhancing both resale and rental value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Oakridge Public Schools
NCES district ID
2626220
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$41,553
Composite
24.06/100
National rank
#7762
State rank
#389 of 540 in MI

Livability — Wolf Lake

Score
60/100
State rank
#594
US rank
#19391

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wolf Lake, MI
County
Muskegon County · 107,917 people
Metro
Muskegon, MI
Population (ZIP)
44,766
Household income
$48,563
Rent vs Own
30.6% rent · 69.4% own
Severe rent burden
1598.0

Population outlook (Muskegon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
174,032 people
By 2030
173,365 · -0.4%
By 2040
168,877 · -3.0%
By 2050
160,306 · -7.9%
By 2075
134,426 · -22.8%
By 2100
98,836 · -43.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 63% Black 22% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Iranian 5% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Muskegon

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.4% · R 50.2% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-31.1pp toward R · 2008: 29.3pp · 2024: -1.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.8 2020: D+0.6 2016: D+0.9 2012: D+17.8 2008: D+29.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -174.87%
Current HPI
287.0558
Rent YoY
▲ 8.21%
Metro
Muskegon, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $74,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $74,000 SW Michigan MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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