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5001 W Florida Ave 🌊 Lakefront
C+ Composite 61.0
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Livability +2.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$74,995

5001 W Florida Ave · Hemet, CA 92545
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,140 sqft · Manufactured public records · 40 Days on market
Built 1978 Est $63k · 19% over · waterfront

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Price: $74,995.00 Space Rent is $1,245.00 Mobile Home with Natural Paradise, Lake Front & amp; Waterfalls Views Cascading Down Natural Boulders!!! Located in: The Lakes at Hemet West (92545) Listed By: For Sale By Owner Acceptable Terms: Cash or New Loan, Will Not Carry Back, No Owner Financing. Pre Qualified Buyers Will Be Offered to Set Up a Private Showing. Appointments Only! Very Rare Opportunity!!! MOBILE HOME, 55+ Senior Park Younger Partner/Spouse: A person under 55 (but 45+) can live there if they are a spouse, cohabitant, or providing primary physical/economic support to the 55+ resident. Not a Spouse: The person does not need to be married to the 55+ resident; a &

Key facts

  • 9 hole golf course
  • Lake front clubhouse
  • Waterfalls views

Tags

LAKE FRONT VIEWSWATERFALLS VIEWSREMOTE CONTROLLED AWNINGPUTTING GREEN9 HOLE GOLF COURSELAKE FRONT CLUBHOUSE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 23.5% vs local median 4.8% in Hemet — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,056 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Hemet Unified (suburban): math 19% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #360 of 517 in CA (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Harmony Elementary (684 students, 84% FRL); Diamond Valley Middle (math 10% / reading 10%, grade F, #474 of 498 statewide, top 99%, 1,078 students, 91% FRL); West Valley High (math 18% / reading 40%, grade F, #770 of 1,170 statewide, top 66%, 1,898 students, 88% FRL) — zoned schools average 88% FRL vs 66% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 292 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $518 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.7% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $54k; 40% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 3→9/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $72,745 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  7. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  8. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.62%
Cap rate
23.51%
Cash-on-cash
61.50%
DSCR
3.74
GRM
3.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$63,099
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5001 W Florida #476 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,120 (-2%) 2mo $45,000 $40 95
5001 W Florida Ave #230 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,152 (+1%) 6mo $45,000 $39 93
5001 W Florida Ave #665 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,248 (+10%) 7mo $40,000 $32 79
5001 Florida Ave #663 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,243 (+9%) 10mo $74,900 $60 77
5001 W Florida Ave #545 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,248 (+10%) 9mo $45,000 $36 77
5001 W Florida Ave #723 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,248 (+10%) 10mo $42,000 $34 76
5001 W Florida #695 0.10mi 2/2.0 1,248 (+10%) 5mo $45,000 $36 75
5001 W Florida Ave #175 0.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,248 (+10%) 6mo $90,000 $72 74
5001 W Florida Ave #122 0.10mi 2/2.0 1,296 (+14%) 0mo $52,500 $41 72
4400 W FLORIDA Ave #254 0.54mi 2/2.0 1,152 (+1%) 9mo $88,000 $76 66
4400 W Florida #215 0.54mi 2/2.0 1,076 (-6%) 2mo $70,000 $65 64
5001 W Florida Ave #22 0.17mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,248 (+10%) 13mo $95,000 $76 61

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.74% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
61.2%
Equity multiple
3.76×
Total profit
$57,873
Equity at exit
$11,182
10-year hold
IRR
66.0%
Equity multiple
7.90×
Total profit
$144,820
Equity at exit
$6,484

Cash invested: $20,999 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92545

Home prices YoY
-24.6%
Rents YoY
3.7%
Active inventory
292
Price-to-rent
3.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,966 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$53 /mo · $631/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$413
Net cashflow
$1,076

Break-even live

Break-even rent $604
Max offer price $74,995
Occupancy floor 40%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,119 -5% $1,097 +0% $1,076 +5% $1,055 +10% $1,034
Rent -10% $921 -5% $999 +0% $1,076 +5% $1,154 +10% $1,232
Rate -1.0pp $1,114 -0.5pp $1,095 base $1,076 +0.5pp $1,057 +1.0pp $1,037

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,749
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4400 W Florida Ave Spc 26 Hemet, CA 3.0 2.0 1193 $1,699 $1.42 16d 1 0.51mi
4400 W Florida Ave Unit 86 Hemet, CA 3.0 2.0 1310 $1,800 $1.37 45d 1 0.54mi
3800 W Devonshire Ave Hemet, CA 3.0 1.0–2.0 816 $2,172 $2.66 0d 7 1.07mi
3030 W Acacia Ave Hemet, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 807 $1,780 $2.20 0d 8 1.25mi
3471 Dublin Ct Hemet, CA 3.0 2.0 1276 $2,895 $2.27 5d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $74,995 Active 40 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $74,995 Active 37 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $74,995 Active 36 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $74,995 Active 35 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $74,995 Active 34 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $74,995 Active 32 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $74,995 Active 28 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $74,995 Active 27 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $74,995 Active 26 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $74,995 Active 23 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $74,995 Active 22 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $74,995 Active 21 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $74,995 Active 20 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $74,995 Active 19 DOM
  15. 2026-05-12
    listed $74,995 Active 3639-char remark
  16. 2026-05-05
    historical
  17. 2026-04-27
    price $25,000
  18. 2026-03-26
    listed $38,000 Active
  19. 2022-05-28
    historical
  20. 2022-05-12
    listed $75,000 Active
  21. 2021-09-29
    historical
  22. 2021-08-31
    price $65,000
  23. 2021-07-27
    listed $70,000 Active
  24. 2011-10-26
    historical Hold
  25. 2011-10-20
    listed $17,500 Active
  26. 2002-06-11
    soldstatus $53,750
  27. 2002-05-02
    listed $57,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$631 · $53/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$631 · $53/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 3 d/yr ≥105°F today · 9 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,596
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$631
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,888
− Management
−$1,888
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$12,431
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,984
After-tax cash flow
$9,931/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hemet Unified
NCES district ID
0616920
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$39,962
Composite
25.16/100
National rank
#7517
State rank
#360 of 517 in CA

Livability — Hemet

Score
51/100
State rank
#1056
US rank
#25208

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hemet, CA
County
Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
City population
137,670
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
45,982
Household income
$63,770
Rent vs Own
28.8% rent · 71.2% own
Severe rent burden
1813.0

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 46% White 35% Two or more races 17% Black 8% Asian 5% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 40%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
19% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
69% English-only · Spanish 27% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -116.25%
Current HPI
356.9414
Rent YoY
▲ 3.74%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+29.5% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $74,995 FSBO.com
  • 2026-05-05 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $25,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-03-26 Listed $38,000 CRMLS
  • 2022-05-28 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2022-05-12 Listed $75,000 CRMLS
  • 2021-09-29 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2021-08-31 Price Changed $65,000 CRMLS
  • 2021-07-27 Listed $70,000 CRMLS
  • 2011-10-26 Delisted CRMLS
  • 2011-10-20 Listed $17,500 CRMLS
  • 2002-06-11 Sold (MLS) $53,750 CRMLS
  • 2002-05-02 Listed $57,900 CRMLS

Property tax history

-1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $631 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…