658 Marengo Ave · Marengo, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.9/30.0
- DSCR +9.3/10.0
- 1% rule +9.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.2/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Appreciation +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$49,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Property is being sold AS IS
Key facts
- 0.23 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1925
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $138 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($700 rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#390 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Iowa Valley Community School District (rural): math 70% / reading 77% proficiency, ranked #94 of 289 in IA (top 32%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 12 units permitted in Iowa County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $342 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Iowa County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 154 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $38k (43%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $28k; list at $50k implies a 74% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.3% of price; built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 154 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.91%
- DSCR
- 1.53
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $101,014
- List price
- $49,500
- Delta
- -51.00%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 528 E Washington St | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 | 912 (+1%) | 12mo | $110,000 | $121 | 72 |
| 536 E Adams St | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 | 896 (-1%) | 21mo | $30,000 | $33 | 71 |
| 235 W Randolph St | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 | 1,008 (+12%) | 5mo | $93,000 | $92 | 67 |
| 699 Clinton Ave | 0.05mi | 2/1.0 | 1,018 (+13%) | 13mo | $41,000 | $40 | 65 |
| 888 Howard Ave | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,012 (+12%) | 18mo | $89,900 | $89 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $795
- Equity at exit
- $7,381
- IRR
- 11.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.88×
- Total profit
- $12,198
- Equity at exit
- $4,280
Cash invested: $13,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 52301
- Home prices YoY
- -1.7%
- Active inventory
- 38
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $700 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$260
- Tax from tax record
- −$135 /mo · $1,623/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$147
- Net cashflow
- $138
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,375
- Closing costs
- $1,485
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 220 W Washington St Unit C Marengo, IA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $700 | $0.88 | 13d | 1 | 0.31mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-17status $49,500 Pending 154 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $49,500 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $49,500 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $49,500 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $49,500 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $49,500 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $49,500 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $49,500 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $49,500 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $49,500 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $49,500 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $49,500 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $49,500 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $49,500 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-03-09price $49,500 28-char remark
Show marketing remark (28 chars)
Property is being sold AS IS
-
2026-02-03price $54,900 28-char remark
Show marketing remark (28 chars)
Property is being sold AS IS
-
2026-01-15price $67,000 28-char remark
Show marketing remark (28 chars)
Property is being sold AS IS
-
2026-01-13$87,000 Active 28-char remark
Show marketing remark (28 chars)
Property is being sold AS IS
-
2022-05-13soldstatus $28,400 522-char remark
Show marketing remark (522 chars)
* PROPERTY UNDER CONTRACT_Waiting on HUD paperwork before removing from MLS. Looking for a project this spring? This home needs your touch! There are 2 bedrooms and 1 full bath upstairs, formal dining and a nice sized kitchen to design it the way you want! Full basement with a brick foundation that houses mechanicals and laundry. Fenced yard with mature trees and a 1 car garage. This property is sold as-is condition and is an exclusive listing. For more information please visit WWW. HUDHOMESTORE. COM Case# 161-221062
-
2022-03-04$30,000 522-char remark
Show marketing remark (522 chars)
* PROPERTY UNDER CONTRACT_Waiting on HUD paperwork before removing from MLS. Looking for a project this spring? This home needs your touch! There are 2 bedrooms and 1 full bath upstairs, formal dining and a nice sized kitchen to design it the way you want! Full basement with a brick foundation that houses mechanicals and laundry. Fenced yard with mature trees and a 1 car garage. This property is sold as-is condition and is an exclusive listing. For more information please visit WWW. HUDHOMESTORE. COM Case# 161-221062
-
2006-08-01soldstatus $55,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,623 · $135/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,623 · $135/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $8,400
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,773
- − Property taxes
- −$1,623
- − Insurance
- −$248
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$672
- − Management
- −$672
- − Depreciation
- −$1,440
- Taxable income
- $973
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$233
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,417/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Iowa Valley Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1914850
- Math proficiency
- 70% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 77% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,781
- Composite
- 62.03/100
- National rank
- #719
- State rank
- #94 of 289 in IA
Livability — Marengo
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #390
- US rank
- #8272
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Marengo, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,046
Population outlook (Iowa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 16,503 people
- By 2030
- 16,422 · -0.5%
- By 2040
- 16,081 · -2.6%
- By 2050
- 15,428 · -6.5%
- By 2075
- 14,067 · -14.8%
- By 2100
- 11,638 · -29.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 4% Serbian 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Iowa
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.8) · D 35.4% · R 63.1% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.9pp toward R · 2008: 0.2pp · 2024: -27.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.8 2020: R+25.3 2016: R+24.2 2012: R+4.9 2008: D+0.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -4.18%
- Current HPI
- 246.6426
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
-10.8% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-09 Price Changed $49,500 CRAAR, CDRMLS
- 2026-02-03 Price Changed $54,900 CRAAR, CDRMLS
- 2026-01-15 Price Changed $67,000 CRAAR, CDRMLS
- 2026-01-13 Listed $87,000 CRAAR, CDRMLS
- 2022-05-13 Sold (MLS) $28,400 CRAAR, CDRMLS
- 2022-03-04 Listed $30,000 CRAAR, CDRMLS
- 2006-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $55,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,623 · +16.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…