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2140 NW Smith Ave
C- Composite 54.27
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$118,000

2140 NW Smith Ave · Lawton, OK 73505
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,096 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 124 Days on market
Built 1952 0.25 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 2140 NW Smith Ave. , a beautifully maintained home nestled in a quiet, established neighborhood in Lawton. This charming property offers a perfect blend of comfort, functionality, and location. Step inside to discover a spacious living area with abundant natural light and neutral tones throughout—ready for your personal touch. The kitchen features ample cabinetry and counter space, ideal for everyday living or entertaining guests. Generously sized bedrooms provide peaceful retreats, and the backyard offers plenty of space for outdoor activities or relaxing evenings under the stars. Conveniently located near schools, parks, shopping, and Fort Sill, this home is move-in ready

Key facts

  • Ample cabinetry
  • Near shopping
  • Spacious living area

Tags

QUIET ESTABLISHED NEIGHBORHOODSPACIOUS LIVING AREAAMPLE CABINETRYBACKYARD SPACENEAR PARKSNEAR SHOPPING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 1 total parking space; 1 covered space; 1-car garage with side-facing door and opener
  • Security: Smoke detector(s); Carbon monoxide detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Single family residence; Single-story; Residential property; R-1 Single Family zoning
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Built on crawl space
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Covered patio; Chain link fencing; Storm doors

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Oven; Gas water heater
  • Bedrooms:
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Electric cooling; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Double pane windows; Updated/remodeled condition; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Laundry area in garage

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $118k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $201 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $118k).
  • Recommended offer: $104k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 6.0% in Lawton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#206 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, commute F.
  • Lawton (urban): math 20% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #137 of 270 in OK (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Ridgecrest Es (math 27% / reading 17%, grade F, #413 of 845 statewide, top 54%, 453 students, 0% FRL); Central Ms (math 17% / reading 24%, grade F, #153 of 345 statewide, top 45%, 994 students, 0% FRL); Lawton Hs (math 16% / reading 21%, grade F, #302 of 447 statewide, top 68%, 1,417 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 54% district-wide (54 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 403 active listings in the ZIP; 133 units permitted in Comanche County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $816 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Comanche County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.1% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 124 days — a 12% lower offer ($104k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $103,840 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 124 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
8.33%
Cash-on-cash
7.29%
DSCR
1.32
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$72,336
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2811 NW 21st Pl 0.30mi 3/1.0 1,100 (+0%) 9mo $50,000 $45 78
2204 NW Williams Ave 0.07mi 3/2.0 1,200 (+10%) 0mo $80,000 $67 77
2112 NW Bessie Ave 0.09mi 3/1.0 940 (-14%) 0mo $62,500 $66 72
2136 NW Carroll Ave 0.28mi 3/1.5 1,200 (+10%) 2mo $114,000 $95 67
2523 NW 17th St 0.59mi 3/1.5 1,100 (+0%) 3mo $103,000 $94 67
2205 NW Lindy Ave 0.25mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,000 (-9%) 5mo $49,500 $50 64
1419 NW 23rd St 0.52mi 3/1.0 1,000 (-9%) 4mo $19,900 $20 58
1809 NW Kingsbury 0.58mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,146 (+5%) 3mo $35,000 $31 58
1816 NW Floyd 0.38mi 3/2.0 960 (-12%) 8mo $75,800 $79 51
1708 NW Floyd 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,200 (+10%) 6mo $45,000 $38 51
2414 NW 30th St 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,200 (+10%) 2mo $45,000 $38 51
3512 NW Rogers Ln 0.75mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,200 (+10%) 2mo $94,700 $79 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.14% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.8%
Equity multiple
0.89×
Total profit
$-3,604
Equity at exit
$17,594
10-year hold
IRR
9.0%
Equity multiple
1.76×
Total profit
$25,031
Equity at exit
$10,202

Cash invested: $33,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 73505

Rents YoY
5.1%
Active inventory
403
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,242 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$619
Tax from tax record
$113 /mo · $1,353/yr
Insurance
$49
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$261
Net cashflow
$201

Break-even live

Break-even rent $988
Max offer price $118,000
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $268 -5% $234 +0% $201 +5% $167 +10% $134
Rent -10% $103 -5% $152 +0% $201 +5% $250 +10% $299
Rate -1.0pp $260 -0.5pp $231 base $201 +0.5pp $170 +1.0pp $139

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,500
Closing costs
$3,540
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 37 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $118,000 Active 124 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $118,000 Active 122 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $118,000 Active 121 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $118,000 Active 120 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $118,000 Active 119 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $118,000 Active 118 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $118,000 Active 116 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $118,000 Active 115 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $118,000 Active 113 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $118,000 Active 112 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $118,000 Active 111 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $118,000 Active 110 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $118,000 Active 107 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $118,000 Active 106 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $118,000 Active 105 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $118,000 Active 104 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $118,000 Active 103 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $118,000 Active 102 DOM
  19. 2026-02-17
    listed $118,000 Active
  20. 2025-10-27
    price $118,000
  21. 2025-08-20
    status Active
  22. 2025-08-20
    price $120,000
  23. 2025-08-04
    historical Active Under Contract
  24. 2025-07-30
    listed $110,000 Active
  25. 2025-02-28
    historical
  26. 2025-02-06
    price $120,000
  27. 2025-01-19
    price $125,000
  28. 2025-01-12
    historical $1,150
  29. 2025-01-07
    listed $130,000 Active
  30. 2024-12-31
    price $1,150
  31. 2024-12-22
    listed $1,450
  32. 2024-10-21
    price $130,000
  33. 2024-10-18
    listed $120,000 Active
  34. 2023-10-12
    soldstatus $105,000 Closed
  35. 2023-10-12
    soldstatus $105,000
  36. 2023-10-04
    status Active Under Contract
  37. 2023-08-01
    listed $110,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,353 · $113/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,353 · $113/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,909
− Mortgage interest
−$6,610
− Property taxes
−$1,353
− Insurance
−$590
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,193
− Management
−$1,193
− Depreciation
−$3,433
Taxable income
$538
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$129
After-tax cash flow
$2,280/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lawton
NCES district ID
4017250
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$42,618
Composite
19.68/100
National rank
#8732
State rank
#137 of 270 in OK

Livability — Lawton

Score
63/100
State rank
#206
US rank
#15131

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lawton, OK
County
Comanche County · 96,361 people
City population
89,233
Metro
Lawton, OK
Population (ZIP)
47,790
Household income
$58,272
Rent vs Own
48.2% rent · 51.8% own
Severe rent burden
1986.0

Population outlook (Comanche County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
124,518 people
By 2030
124,231 · -0.2%
By 2040
122,193 · -1.9%
By 2050
120,368 · -3.3%
By 2075
120,492 · -3.2%
By 2100
123,113 · -1.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Black 17% Two or more races 16% Hispanic / Latino 16% Native American 4% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 6% German/W. Germanic 2% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Comanche

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.3) · D 37.4% · R 60.7% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-5.8pp toward R · 2008: -17.5pp · 2024: -23.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.3 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+23.7 2012: R+17.0 2008: R+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -134.88%
Current HPI
169.4524
Rent YoY
▲ 5.14%
Metro
Lawton, OK
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+7.3% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-17 Listed $118,000 LBRMLS
  • 2025-10-27 Price Changed $118,000 LBRMLS
  • 2025-08-20 Relisted LBRMLS
  • 2025-08-20 Price Changed $120,000 LBRMLS
  • 2025-08-04 Contingent LBRMLS
  • 2025-07-30 Listed $110,000 LBRMLS
  • 2025-02-28 Listing Removed MLSOK
  • 2025-02-06 Price Changed $120,000 MLSOK
  • 2025-01-19 Price Changed $125,000 MLSOK
  • 2025-01-12 Rental Removed $1,150 SHOWMOJO
  • 2025-01-07 Listed $130,000 MLSOK
  • 2024-12-31 Price Changed $1,150 SHOWMOJO
  • 2024-12-22 Listed for Rent $1,450 SHOWMOJO
  • 2024-10-21 Price Changed $130,000 LBRMLS
  • 2024-10-18 Listed $120,000 LBRMLS
  • 2023-10-12 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
  • 2023-10-12 Sold (MLS) $105,000 LBRMLS
  • 2023-10-04 Relisted LBRMLS
  • 2023-08-01 Listed $110,000 LBRMLS

Property tax history

+9.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,353 · +4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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