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1434 Margaret St
B+ Composite 76.03
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$80,000

1434 Margaret St · Paris, TX 75460
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,805 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1970 6,970 sqft lot Est $141k · 43% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Ever wanted to skip the demo and jump straight into creating your dream home? This property is your blank canvas. Much of the heavy lifting has already begun, leaving you with the exciting part—bringing your own style and design ideas to life. Whether you’re looking for your next flip, a profitable rental, or a custom home project, the possibilities are endless. Features & Opportunities: Renovation already underway, two new shower tubs installed and ready for finishing touches, custom tile work started with modern finishes, accent wall adds unique character, open walls provide easy access to update plumbing, electrical, or reconfigure the layout to fit your vision. Endless

Key facts

  • Two new shower tubs
  • Custom tile work
  • Endless potential

Tags

RENOVATION ALREADY UNDERWAYTWO NEW SHOWER TUBSCUSTOM TILE WORKACCENT WALLENDLESS POTENTIAL

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Possession at closing/funding; No known restrictions
  • Financial info: Listing terms include Cash, FHA, FHA Assumable, FHA-203K; Second mortgage: No
  • HOA & community: No HOA / association

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway; On-street parking; No garage / no covered or carport spaces
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; Electricity available; Individual gas meter; Individual water meter; Cable available
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; Entry level: One story; Year built 1970; Subdivision: Byers Addition
  • Construction: Wood construction; Shingle roof (not specified explicitly; construction materials: wood)
  • Exterior features: Patio; Chain link fencing; Easements for utilities

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen with pantry and walk-in pantry; Space for a freezer; Water line to refrigerator; Plumbed for gas in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on main level); Primary bedroom ~13 x 11 (main level); Second primary/bedroom ~13 x 7 (main level); Bedroom ~11 x 13 (main level)
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (main level); Primary bathroom ~7 x 9 (main level); Bathroom ~8 x 7 (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Electric cooling; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Open floorplan; Pantry; Cable TV available; High-speed internet available; Bay window(s); Room count: 10; One living area; One dining area; Levels: One
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry: Other (details not provided); Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $667 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
  • Cap rate 16.3% vs local median 3.6% in Paris — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#984 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • Paris ISD (town): math 36% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #521 of 826 in TX (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 274 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 119 units permitted in Lamar County in 2024 (71 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lamar County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $80,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.94%
Cap rate
16.29%
Cash-on-cash
35.71%
DSCR
2.59
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$140,790
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
831 17th St SE 0.40mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,784 (-1%) 1mo $135,000 $76 74
108 SE 22nd St 0.41mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,704 (-6%) 1mo $60,000 $35 66
1738 Lamar Ave 0.17mi 3/3.0 (-1) 1,996 (+11%) 1mo $149,900 $75 65
2240 Hubbard 0.48mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,644 (-9%) 1mo $159,900 $97 53
1910 E Polk St 0.59mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,908 (+6%) 6mo $149,000 $78 53
2000 Simpson St 0.41mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,056 (+14%) 1mo $235,000 $114 52
1745 E Cherry 0.41mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,569 (-13%) 2mo $195,000 $124 52
206 6th St SE 0.58mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,944 (+8%) 4mo $99,800 $51 50
195 NE 20th St NE 0.34mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,044 (+13%) 10mo $154,500 $76 45
841 20th St SE 0.54mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,575 (-13%) 10mo $169,000 $107 41
2025 Cedar St 0.67mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,552 (-14%) 4mo $164,500 $106 37
693 SE 25th St 0.72mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,580 (-12%) 1mo $95,000 $60 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.4%
Equity multiple
2.32×
Total profit
$29,518
Equity at exit
$11,928
10-year hold
IRR
38.5%
Equity multiple
4.59×
Total profit
$80,482
Equity at exit
$6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75460

Active inventory
274
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,551 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax from tax record
$106 /mo · $1,274/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$326
Net cashflow
$667

Break-even live

Break-even rent $708
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 52%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $712 -5% $689 +0% $667 +5% $644 +10% $621
Rent -10% $544 -5% $605 +0% $667 +5% $728 +10% $789
Rate -1.0pp $707 -0.5pp $687 base $667 +0.5pp $646 +1.0pp $625

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2246 Simpson St Paris, TX 3.0 1.0 1508 $1,250 $0.83 44d 1 0.56mi
2121 Cedar St Paris, TX 3.0 2.0 1394 $2,000 $1.43 44d 1 0.70mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $80,000 Active 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    remarks 683-char remark
  3. 2026-06-17
    listed $80,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,274 · $106/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,464 · $122/mo
Expected delta
+$190/yr (+$16/mo · 15.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,616
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$1,274
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,489
− Management
−$1,489
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$7,156
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,717
After-tax cash flow
$6,282/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Paris ISD
NCES district ID
4834290
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$31,515
Composite
29.83/100
National rank
#6419
State rank
#521 of 826 in TX

Livability — Paris

Score
61/100
State rank
#984
US rank
#17535

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Paris, TX
County
Lamar County · 23,426 people
City population
23,426
Metro
Paris, TX
Population (ZIP)
23,426
Household income
$46,473
Rent vs Own
49.7% rent · 50.3% own
Severe rent burden
1355.0

Population outlook (Lamar County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,319 people
By 2030
47,160 · -2.4%
By 2040
44,621 · -7.7%
By 2050
42,024 · -13.0%
By 2075
36,577 · -24.3%
By 2100
30,580 · -36.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Lamar

2024 margin
Solid R (+61.0) · D 19.2% · R 80.3%
2008→2024 swing
-19.1pp toward R · 2008: -42.0pp · 2024: -61.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+61.0 2020: R+57.4 2016: R+59.2 2012: R+50.3 2008: R+42.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -201.50%
Current HPI
145.3511
Rent YoY
Metro
Paris, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1.3% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $80,000 NTREIS
  • 2024-07-19 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2023-07-19 Listed $79,000 NTREIS
  • 2018-10-12 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2011-11-10 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2008-06-16 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2002-08-19 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,274 · -38.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…