1434 Margaret St · Paris, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 19.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Ever wanted to skip the demo and jump straight into creating your dream home? This property is your blank canvas. Much of the heavy lifting has already begun, leaving you with the exciting part—bringing your own style and design ideas to life. Whether you’re looking for your next flip, a profitable rental, or a custom home project, the possibilities are endless. Features & Opportunities: Renovation already underway, two new shower tubs installed and ready for finishing touches, custom tile work started with modern finishes, accent wall adds unique character, open walls provide easy access to update plumbing, electrical, or reconfigure the layout to fit your vision. Endless
Key facts
- Two new shower tubs
- Custom tile work
- Endless potential
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Possession at closing/funding; No known restrictions
- Financial info: Listing terms include Cash, FHA, FHA Assumable, FHA-203K; Second mortgage: No
- HOA & community: No HOA / association
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; On-street parking; No garage / no covered or carport spaces
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Electricity available; Individual gas meter; Individual water meter; Cable available
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; Entry level: One story; Year built 1970; Subdivision: Byers Addition
- Construction: Wood construction; Shingle roof (not specified explicitly; construction materials: wood)
- Exterior features: Patio; Chain link fencing; Easements for utilities
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen with pantry and walk-in pantry; Space for a freezer; Water line to refrigerator; Plumbed for gas in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on main level); Primary bedroom ~13 x 11 (main level); Second primary/bedroom ~13 x 7 (main level); Bedroom ~11 x 13 (main level)
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (main level); Primary bathroom ~7 x 9 (main level); Bathroom ~8 x 7 (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Electric cooling; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Open floorplan; Pantry; Cable TV available; High-speed internet available; Bay window(s); Room count: 10; One living area; One dining area; Levels: One
- Laundry & utility: Laundry: Other (details not provided); Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $667 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
- Cap rate 16.3% vs local median 3.6% in Paris — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#984 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Paris ISD (town): math 36% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #521 of 826 in TX (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 274 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 119 units permitted in Lamar County in 2024 (71 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lamar County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.94% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.71%
- DSCR
- 2.59
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $140,790
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 831 17th St SE | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,784 (-1%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $76 | 74 |
| 108 SE 22nd St | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,704 (-6%) | 1mo | $60,000 | $35 | 66 |
| 1738 Lamar Ave | 0.17mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,996 (+11%) | 1mo | $149,900 | $75 | 65 |
| 2240 Hubbard | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,644 (-9%) | 1mo | $159,900 | $97 | 53 |
| 1910 E Polk St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,908 (+6%) | 6mo | $149,000 | $78 | 53 |
| 2000 Simpson St | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,056 (+14%) | 1mo | $235,000 | $114 | 52 |
| 1745 E Cherry | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,569 (-13%) | 2mo | $195,000 | $124 | 52 |
| 206 6th St SE | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,944 (+8%) | 4mo | $99,800 | $51 | 50 |
| 195 NE 20th St NE | 0.34mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,044 (+13%) | 10mo | $154,500 | $76 | 45 |
| 841 20th St SE | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,575 (-13%) | 10mo | $169,000 | $107 | 41 |
| 2025 Cedar St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,552 (-14%) | 4mo | $164,500 | $106 | 37 |
| 693 SE 25th St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,580 (-12%) | 1mo | $95,000 | $60 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.32×
- Total profit
- $29,518
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 38.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.59×
- Total profit
- $80,482
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75460
- Active inventory
- 274
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,551 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$106 /mo · $1,274/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$326
- Net cashflow
- $667
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $712 | -5% $689 | +0% $667 | +5% $644 | +10% $621 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $544 | -5% $605 | +0% $667 | +5% $728 | +10% $789 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $707 | -0.5pp $687 | base $667 | +0.5pp $646 | +1.0pp $625 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2246 Simpson St Paris, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1508 | $1,250 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 2121 Cedar St Paris, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1394 | $2,000 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $80,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 683-char remark
-
2026-06-17$80,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,274 · $106/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,464 · $122/mo
- Expected delta
- +$190/yr (+$16/mo · 15.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,616
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$1,274
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,489
- − Management
- −$1,489
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $7,156
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,717
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,282/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Paris ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4834290
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,515
- Composite
- 29.83/100
- National rank
- #6419
- State rank
- #521 of 826 in TX
Livability — Paris
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #984
- US rank
- #17535
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Paris, TX
- County
- Lamar County · 23,426 people
- City population
- 23,426
- Metro
- Paris, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,426
- Household income
- $46,473
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1355.0
Population outlook (Lamar County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 48,319 people
- By 2030
- 47,160 · -2.4%
- By 2040
- 44,621 · -7.7%
- By 2050
- 42,024 · -13.0%
- By 2075
- 36,577 · -24.3%
- By 2100
- 30,580 · -36.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Lamar
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+61.0) · D 19.2% · R 80.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.1pp toward R · 2008: -42.0pp · 2024: -61.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+61.0 2020: R+57.4 2016: R+59.2 2012: R+50.3 2008: R+42.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -201.50%
- Current HPI
- 145.3511
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Paris, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+1.3% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $80,000 NTREIS
- 2024-07-19 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2023-07-19 Listed $79,000 NTREIS
- 2018-10-12 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2011-11-10 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2008-06-16 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2002-08-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,274 · -38.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…