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96017 Breezeway Ct
F Composite 32.92
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +6.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +5.3/30.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.1/15.0
  • 1% rule +0.5/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$469,990

96017 Breezeway Ct · Yulee, FL 32097
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,175 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 53 Days on market
Built 2018 9,583 sqft lot Est $420k · 12% over $8/mo HOA

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this stunning move-in ready home on a premium preserve lot in one of Heron Isles' most tranquil settings. You must see what sets this home apart, including the recently fully enclosed patio adding 275 square feet of living space, perfect for relaxing or entertaining year-round! This exceptional 4-bedroom, 3-full-bath home with a 3-car garage impresses from the moment you walk in. Soaring ceilings and wood-look ceramic tile flow throughout the main living areas and primary suite, creating a warm, sophisticated atmosphere. The gourmet kitchen features 42" white cabinetry, quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, a drop-in cooktop, California island with farmhouse sink, and walk-in pantry. A breakfast nook, formal dining area, open living room, and flexible bonus space — ideal for an office, den, or playroom — complete the main level. The primary suite offers a spa-inspired ensuite with soaking tub, separate shower, dual vanities, and oversized walk-in closet. Two additional bedrooms and a full bath are also located downstairs. Upstairs, a spacious fourth bedroom with full bath provides the perfect guest suite, office, or bonus room. Conveniently located near shopping, highways, and everyday amenities. This one has it all — come take a look today!

Key facts

  • Gourmet kitchen
  • Spa-inspired ensuite
  • Premium preserve lot

Tags

PREMIUM PRESERVE LOTFULLY ENCLOSED PATIOGOURMET KITCHENCALIFORNIA ISLANDWALK-IN PANTRYSPA-INSPIRED ENSUITE

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with an annual fee of $100; CDD fee applies ($1,040)

Exterior

  • Parking: 3-car garage with garage door opener
  • Security: Closed-circuit camera system
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Water connected; Electricity connected; Cable available
  • Home design: Single family residence; Two levels; South-facing
  • Construction: Fiber cement and frame construction; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Back yard with vinyl fencing; Sprinklers in front and rear; Located on a dead-end street; Closed-circuit cameras (security)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Kitchen island; Pantry; Eat-in kitchen; Breakfast nook
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Tile
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Breakfast nook; Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen island; Open floor plan; Pantry; Split bedroom layout; Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closets
  • Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry; Water softener (owned)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $470k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-12k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $287k (38.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $257k (45.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $257k (45.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#605 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A-, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Nassau (town): math 74% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #4 of 73 in FL (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Yulee Primary School (658 students, 51% FRL); Yulee Middle School (math 73% / reading 61%, grade A-, #80 of 571 statewide, top 14%, 1,202 students, 41% FRL); Yulee High School (math 52% / reading 54%, grade C-, #148 of 667 statewide, top 23%, 1,407 students, 35% FRL) — zoned schools at 42% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 596 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 953 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (24 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($93k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $50k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $47k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Nassau County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$81k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($456k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $310k; list at $470k implies a 52% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $256,639 (45.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 45% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.55%
Cap rate
3.65%
Cash-on-cash
-9.45%
DSCR
0.58
GRM
15.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$419,775
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
96356 Chester Rd 0.14mi 4/3.0 2,137 (-2%) 11mo $680,000 $318 82
96048 Breezeway Ct 0.05mi 4/2.0 1,868 (-14%) 2mo $445,000 $238 68
96735 Quartz Ln 0.56mi 4/2.0 2,145 (-1%) 3mo $415,000 $193 65
96020 Tidal Bay Ct 0.52mi 4/2.5 2,244 (+3%) 4mo $310,000 $138 65
96072 Breezeway Ct 0.13mi 4/3.0 2,494 (+15%) 8mo $490,000 $196 63
96016 Gray Heron Ct 0.50mi 4/2.5 2,260 (+4%) 7mo $364,900 $161 62
96290 Coral Reef Rd 0.46mi 4/3.0 1,986 (-9%) 9mo $316,000 $159 57
97569 Albatross Dr 0.58mi 4/2.0 2,006 (-8%) 1mo $364,900 $182 55
97572 Albatross Dr 0.61mi 4/2.0 1,997 (-8%) 2mo $345,000 $173 52
96428 Chester Rd 0.48mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,998 (-8%) 10mo $448,500 $224 47
96740 Quartz Ln 0.59mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,876 (-14%) 9mo $415,000 $221 33
96656 Commodore Point Dr 0.64mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,864 (-14%) 11mo $285,000 $153 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 2.88% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.6%
Equity multiple
2.44×
Total profit
$189,611
Equity at exit
$423,404
10-year hold
IRR
16.5%
Equity multiple
5.63×
Total profit
$609,480
Equity at exit
$913,087

Cash invested: $131,597 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32097

Home prices YoY
19.5%
Rents YoY
2.9%
Active inventory
596
Price-to-rent
15.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,566 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,465
Tax from tax record
$395 /mo · $4,737/yr
Insurance
$196
HOA
$8
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$539
Net cashflow
$-1,036

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,878
Max offer price $287,003
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$117,498
Closing costs
$14,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
84143 Swallowtail Dr Yulee, FL 4.0 4.0 2875 $2,500 $0.87 7d 1 0.33mi
96043 Starlight Ln Yulee, FL 3.0 2.0 1499 $2,099 $1.40 23d 1 0.40mi
96095 Tidal Bay Ct Yulee, FL 3.0 2.0 1495 $2,100 $1.40 10d 1 0.53mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$8 · $96/yr

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $469,990 Active 53 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $469,990 Active 52 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $469,990 Active 51 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $469,990 Active 50 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $469,990 Active 48 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $469,990 Active 47 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $469,990 Active 44 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $469,990 Active 43 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $469,990 Active 42 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $469,990 Active 39 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $469,990 Active 38 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $469,990 Active 37 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    pricedays on market $469,990 Active 36 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $479,990 Active 35 DOM
  15. 2026-04-25
    listed $479,990 Active 1306-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1306 chars)

    Welcome to this stunning move-in ready home on a premium preserve lot in one of Heron Isles' most tranquil settings. You must see what sets this home apart, including the recently fully enclosed patio adding 275 square feet of living space, perfect for relaxing or entertaining year-round! This exceptional 4-bedroom, 3-full-bath home with a 3-car garage impresses from the moment you walk in. Soaring ceilings and wood-look ceramic tile flow throughout the main living areas and primary suite, creating a warm, sophisticated atmosphere. The gourmet kitchen features 42" white cabinetry, quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, a drop-in cooktop, California island with farmhouse sink, and walk-in pantry. A breakfast nook, formal dining area, open living room, and flexible bonus space — ideal for an office, den, or playroom — complete the main level. The primary suite offers a spa-inspired ensuite with soaking tub, separate shower, dual vanities, and oversized walk-in closet. Two additional bedrooms and a full bath are also located downstairs. Upstairs, a spacious fourth bedroom with full bath provides the perfect guest suite, office, or bonus room. Conveniently located near shopping, highways, and everyday amenities. This one has it all — come take a look today!

  16. 2026-04-24
    listed $479,990 Active
  17. 2026-04-21
    historical
  18. 2026-04-10
    price $479,990
  19. 2026-04-10
    price $479,990
  20. 2026-02-04
    price $484,990
  21. 2026-02-04
    price $484,990
  22. 2026-01-14
    listed $495,000 Active
  23. 2026-01-14
    listed $495,000 Active
  24. 2021-03-24
    soldstatus $310,000
  25. 2021-01-11
    soldstatus $310,000
  26. 2020-08-17
    listed $322,000
  27. 2018-04-30
    soldstatus $297,990
  28. 2018-04-30
    soldstatus $297,990
  29. 2018-03-23
    listed $299,990
  30. 2018-03-20
    listed $299,990

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,737 · $395/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,737 · $395/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,797
− Mortgage interest
−$26,327
− Property taxes
−$4,737
− Insurance
−$2,350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,464
− Management
−$2,464
− HOA
−$96
− Depreciation
−$13,672
Taxable loss
−$21,313
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$5,115
After-tax cash flow
$-7,315/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Nassau
NCES district ID
1201350
Math proficiency
74% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
65% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$58,267
Composite
59.79/100
National rank
#899
State rank
#4 of 73 in FL

Livability — Yulee

Score
66/100
State rank
#605
US rank
#11615

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime B+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Yulee, FL
County
Nassau County · 67,729 people
City population
26,700
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
Population (ZIP)
26,700
Household income
$93,161
Rent vs Own
19.8% rent · 80.2% own
Severe rent burden
404.0

Population outlook (Nassau County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
88,419 people
By 2030
92,679 · +4.8%
By 2040
99,257 · +12.3%
By 2050
103,378 · +16.9%
By 2075
109,726 · +24.1%
By 2100
107,006 · +21.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Two or more races 9% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 1% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Italian 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Nassau

2024 margin
Solid R (+46.9) · D 26.1% · R 73.1%
2008→2024 swing
-3.1pp toward R · 2008: -43.8pp · 2024: -46.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+46.9 2020: R+45.9 2016: R+50.2 2012: R+48.6 2008: R+43.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 49.35%
Current HPI
301.9299
Rent YoY
▲ 2.88%
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+60.0% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-25 Listed $479,990 AINCAR
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $479,990 realMLS
  • 2026-04-21 Listing Removed realMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Price Changed $479,990 AINCAR
  • 2026-04-10 Price Changed $479,990 realMLS
  • 2026-02-04 Price Changed $484,990 AINCAR
  • 2026-02-04 Price Changed $484,990 realMLS
  • 2026-01-14 Listed $495,000 realMLS
  • 2026-01-14 Listed $495,000 AINCAR
  • 2021-03-24 Sold (Public Records) $310,000 Public Records
  • 2021-01-11 Sold (MLS) $310,000 realMLS
  • 2020-08-17 Listed $322,000 realMLS
  • 2018-04-30 Sold (MLS) $297,990 realMLS
  • 2018-04-30 Sold (MLS) $297,990 AINCAR
  • 2018-03-23 Listed $299,990 realMLS
  • 2018-03-20 Listed $299,990 AINCAR

Property tax history

+23.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,737 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…