CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
x Plan 🏗️ New Construction
C- Composite 54.38
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,995

x Plan · Watson, MI 49328
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 407 sqft · Manufactured · 707 Days on market
Excellent condition ↓ 22% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Brand new home just dropped off this year! Two bedroom, one bath home that comes with a bunkhouse in one of the bedrooms. Brand new appliances in the kitchen, minisplit heating and cooling unit in the home. This unit does come with a fire ring for late night bonfires at camp! Located near the pool and sports complex on property. Great home for anyone looking a brand new vacation destination spot!

Key facts

  • Brand new appliances
  • Located near pool
  • Listed 706 days

Tags

BRAND NEW APPLIANCESMINISPLIT HEATING AND COOLINGFIRE RING FOR BONFIRESLOCATED NEAR POOL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. Builder plan / spec listing (the home may be to-be-built); metrics use comparable previous sales.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $70k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $107 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($747 rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Martin Public Schools (rural): math 24% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #303 of 540 in MI (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 419 units permitted in Allegan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 707 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $61,595 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 707 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
8.12%
Cash-on-cash
6.53%
DSCR
1.29
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.2%
Equity multiple
0.77×
Total profit
$-4,541
Equity at exit
$10,436
10-year hold
IRR
3.4%
Equity multiple
1.25×
Total profit
$4,836
Equity at exit
$6,052

Cash invested: $19,599 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49328

Home prices YoY
-21.7%
Active inventory
15
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$747 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax est. 1.5%
$87 /mo · $1,050/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$157
Net cashflow
$107

Break-even live

Break-even rent $612
Max offer price $69,995
Occupancy floor 81%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,499
Closing costs
$2,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,995 Active 707 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,995 Active 706 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,995 Active 705 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,995 Active 704 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,995 Active 702 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $69,995 Active 701 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,995 Active 698 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,995 Active 697 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,995 Active 696 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $69,995 Active 694 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $69,995 Active 692 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $69,995 Active 691 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,995 Active 690 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,995 Active 689 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,995 Active 688 DOM
  16. 2025-08-06
    price $69,995 399-char remark
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    Brand new home just dropped off this year! Two bedroom, one bath home that comes with a bunkhouse in one of the bedrooms. Brand new appliances in the kitchen, minisplit heating and cooling unit in the home. This unit does come with a fire ring for late night bonfires at camp! Located near the pool and sports complex on property. Great home for anyone looking a brand new vacation destination spot!

  17. 2025-07-29
    price $63,995 399-char remark
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    Brand new home just dropped off this year! Two bedroom, one bath home that comes with a bunkhouse in one of the bedrooms. Brand new appliances in the kitchen, minisplit heating and cooling unit in the home. This unit does come with a fire ring for late night bonfires at camp! Located near the pool and sports complex on property. Great home for anyone looking a brand new vacation destination spot!

  18. 2025-04-25
    price $69,995 399-char remark
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    Brand new home just dropped off this year! Two bedroom, one bath home that comes with a bunkhouse in one of the bedrooms. Brand new appliances in the kitchen, minisplit heating and cooling unit in the home. This unit does come with a fire ring for late night bonfires at camp! Located near the pool and sports complex on property. Great home for anyone looking a brand new vacation destination spot!

  19. 2024-08-07
    price $79,995 399-char remark
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    Brand new home just dropped off this year! Two bedroom, one bath home that comes with a bunkhouse in one of the bedrooms. Brand new appliances in the kitchen, minisplit heating and cooling unit in the home. This unit does come with a fire ring for late night bonfires at camp! Located near the pool and sports complex on property. Great home for anyone looking a brand new vacation destination spot!

  20. 2024-07-12
    listed $89,995 Active 399-char remark
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    Brand new home just dropped off this year! Two bedroom, one bath home that comes with a bunkhouse in one of the bedrooms. Brand new appliances in the kitchen, minisplit heating and cooling unit in the home. This unit does come with a fire ring for late night bonfires at camp! Located near the pool and sports complex on property. Great home for anyone looking a brand new vacation destination spot!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$8,967
− Mortgage interest
−$3,921
− Property taxes
−$1,050
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$717
− Management
−$717
− Depreciation
−$2,036
Taxable income
$175
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$42
After-tax cash flow
$1,237/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This mobile home is in excellent condition with modern finishes and a well-maintained exterior. It is move-in ready and would benefit from some landscaping and curb appeal improvements to further enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances the home's curb appeal and can attract more buyers or renters.
  • Both Add a small outdoor seating area — Can increase the home's appeal for both buyers and renters, especially in a mobile home park setting.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances the home's curb appeal and can attract more buyers or renters.
  • Both Add a small outdoor seating area — Can increase the home's appeal for both buyers and renters, especially in a mobile home park setting.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Martin Public Schools
NCES district ID
2622980
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$52,218
Composite
29.24/100
National rank
#6566
State rank
#303 of 540 in MI

Livability — Watson

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
4,058

Population outlook (Allegan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
120,251 people
By 2030
122,204 · +1.6%
By 2040
123,979 · +3.1%
By 2050
122,340 · +1.7%
By 2075
116,088 · -3.5%
By 2100
98,461 · -18.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 5% Black 1% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 22% Romanian 10% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Allegan

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.2) · D 35.7% · R 62.9% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-16.5pp toward R · 2008: -10.7pp · 2024: -27.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.2 2020: R+25.2 2016: R+28.8 2012: R+19.2 2008: R+10.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -71.91%
Current HPI
259.5214
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-22.2% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2025-08-06 Price Changed $69,995 Zillow
  • 2025-07-29 Price Changed $63,995 Zillow
  • 2025-04-25 Price Changed $69,995 Zillow
  • 2024-08-07 Price Changed $79,995 Zillow
  • 2024-07-12 Listed $89,995 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…