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5587 E Karen Ct
B Composite 71.38
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$94,000

5587 E Karen Ct · Stevensville, MI 49127
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,452 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 55 Days on market
Built 1900 0.27 ac lot ↓ 16% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Large country style home in the village of Stevensville. Located on a cul-de-sac new construction at the end of the street. A new roof has been installed to kick off the rest of the rehab needed to bring the home back to full functionality. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath Property. First Time Buyers, complete the HomePath Ready Buyer homeownership course on Homepath.com. Attach certificate to offer up to 3% closing cost assistance. Check HomePath.com for more details. Restrictions apply.

Key facts

  • Country style home
  • New construction
  • Cul-de-sac

Tags

COUNTRY STYLE HOMECUL-DE-SACNEW CONSTRUCTIONNEW ROOF

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Cable connected
  • Home design: Traditional single-family home; Living area approximately 2452; Built in 1900
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Crawl space / Michigan-style basement
  • Exterior features: Located on a cul-de-sac

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (12 x 16)
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (15 x 11); Bedroom 2 (9 x 11); Bedroom 3 (13 x 12); Bedroom 4 (15 x 9); Bedroom 5 (11 x 9)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: 10 total rooms; Crawl space and Michigan-style basement
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room (7 x 4)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $94k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $756 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $94k).
  • Recommended offer: $91k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.9% vs local median 2.2% in Stevensville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#236 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Lakeshore School District (Berrien) (suburban): math 56% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #37 of 540 in MI (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 103 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 397 units permitted in Berrien County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $650 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Berrien County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 15 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $91,180 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.89%
Cap rate
15.94%
Cash-on-cash
34.46%
DSCR
2.53
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$264,816
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2801 Wildwood Ln 0.31mi 5/3.0 2,520 (+3%) 12mo $402,500 $160 67
2960 W John Beers Rd 0.34mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,100 (-14%) 11mo $250,000 $119 42
5312 Puetz Rd 0.64mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,360 (-4%) 24mo $255,000 $108 39
5542 W Hiawatha Ln 0.54mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,782 (+14%) 21mo $297,500 $107 30
6046 Legion Rd 0.75mi 4/1.0 (-1) 2,234 (-9%) 22mo $235,000 $105 23

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
29.9%
Equity multiple
2.25×
Total profit
$32,932
Equity at exit
$14,016
10-year hold
IRR
37.2%
Equity multiple
4.45×
Total profit
$90,771
Equity at exit
$8,127

Cash invested: $26,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49127

Active inventory
103
Price-to-rent
4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,779 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$493
Tax est. 1.5%
$118 /mo · $1,410/yr
Insurance
$39
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$374
Net cashflow
$756

Break-even live

Break-even rent $822
Max offer price $94,000
Occupancy floor 53%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,500
Closing costs
$2,820
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 44 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $94,000 Active 55 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $94,000 Active 54 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $94,000 Active 53 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $94,000 Active 52 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $94,000 Active 51 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $94,000 Active 49 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $94,000 Active 48 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $94,000 Active 46 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $94,000 Active 45 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $94,000 Active 44 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $94,000 Active 43 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $94,000 Active 38 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    pricedays on market $94,000 Active 37 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,900 Active 36 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $99,900 Active 35 DOM
  16. 2026-05-24
    status Active 490-char remark
    Show marketing remark (490 chars)

    Large country style home in the village of Stevensville. Located on a cul-de-sac new construction at the end of the street. A new roof has been installed to kick off the rest of the rehab needed to bring the home back to full functionality. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath Property. First Time Buyers, complete the HomePath Ready Buyer homeownership course on Homepath.com. Attach certificate to offer up to 3% closing cost assistance. Check HomePath.com for more details. Restrictions apply.

  17. 2026-05-24
    status Active 490-char remark
    Show marketing remark (490 chars)

    Large country style home in the village of Stevensville. Located on a cul-de-sac new construction at the end of the street. A new roof has been installed to kick off the rest of the rehab needed to bring the home back to full functionality. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath Property. First Time Buyers, complete the HomePath Ready Buyer homeownership course on Homepath.com. Attach certificate to offer up to 3% closing cost assistance. Check HomePath.com for more details. Restrictions apply.

  18. 2026-05-24
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (490 chars)

    Large country style home in the village of Stevensville. Located on a cul-de-sac new construction at the end of the street. A new roof has been installed to kick off the rest of the rehab needed to bring the home back to full functionality. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath Property. First Time Buyers, complete the HomePath Ready Buyer homeownership course on Homepath.com. Attach certificate to offer up to 3% closing cost assistance. Check HomePath.com for more details. Restrictions apply.

  19. 2026-05-15
    status Pending 490-char remark
    Show marketing remark (490 chars)

    Large country style home in the village of Stevensville. Located on a cul-de-sac new construction at the end of the street. A new roof has been installed to kick off the rest of the rehab needed to bring the home back to full functionality. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath Property. First Time Buyers, complete the HomePath Ready Buyer homeownership course on Homepath.com. Attach certificate to offer up to 3% closing cost assistance. Check HomePath.com for more details. Restrictions apply.

  20. 2026-05-15
    status Pending 490-char remark
    Show marketing remark (490 chars)

    Large country style home in the village of Stevensville. Located on a cul-de-sac new construction at the end of the street. A new roof has been installed to kick off the rest of the rehab needed to bring the home back to full functionality. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath Property. First Time Buyers, complete the HomePath Ready Buyer homeownership course on Homepath.com. Attach certificate to offer up to 3% closing cost assistance. Check HomePath.com for more details. Restrictions apply.

  21. 2026-05-15
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (490 chars)

    Large country style home in the village of Stevensville. Located on a cul-de-sac new construction at the end of the street. A new roof has been installed to kick off the rest of the rehab needed to bring the home back to full functionality. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath Property. First Time Buyers, complete the HomePath Ready Buyer homeownership course on Homepath.com. Attach certificate to offer up to 3% closing cost assistance. Check HomePath.com for more details. Restrictions apply.

  22. 2026-05-04
    status Active 490-char remark
    Show marketing remark (490 chars)

    Large country style home in the village of Stevensville. Located on a cul-de-sac new construction at the end of the street. A new roof has been installed to kick off the rest of the rehab needed to bring the home back to full functionality. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath Property. First Time Buyers, complete the HomePath Ready Buyer homeownership course on Homepath.com. Attach certificate to offer up to 3% closing cost assistance. Check HomePath.com for more details. Restrictions apply.

  23. 2026-05-04
    status Active 490-char remark
    Show marketing remark (490 chars)

    Large country style home in the village of Stevensville. Located on a cul-de-sac new construction at the end of the street. A new roof has been installed to kick off the rest of the rehab needed to bring the home back to full functionality. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath Property. First Time Buyers, complete the HomePath Ready Buyer homeownership course on Homepath.com. Attach certificate to offer up to 3% closing cost assistance. Check HomePath.com for more details. Restrictions apply.

  24. 2026-05-04
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (490 chars)

    Large country style home in the village of Stevensville. Located on a cul-de-sac new construction at the end of the street. A new roof has been installed to kick off the rest of the rehab needed to bring the home back to full functionality. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath Property. First Time Buyers, complete the HomePath Ready Buyer homeownership course on Homepath.com. Attach certificate to offer up to 3% closing cost assistance. Check HomePath.com for more details. Restrictions apply.

  25. 2026-04-20
    status Pending 490-char remark
    Show marketing remark (490 chars)

    Large country style home in the village of Stevensville. Located on a cul-de-sac new construction at the end of the street. A new roof has been installed to kick off the rest of the rehab needed to bring the home back to full functionality. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath Property. First Time Buyers, complete the HomePath Ready Buyer homeownership course on Homepath.com. Attach certificate to offer up to 3% closing cost assistance. Check HomePath.com for more details. Restrictions apply.

  26. 2026-04-20
    status Pending 490-char remark
    Show marketing remark (490 chars)

    Large country style home in the village of Stevensville. Located on a cul-de-sac new construction at the end of the street. A new roof has been installed to kick off the rest of the rehab needed to bring the home back to full functionality. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath Property. First Time Buyers, complete the HomePath Ready Buyer homeownership course on Homepath.com. Attach certificate to offer up to 3% closing cost assistance. Check HomePath.com for more details. Restrictions apply.

  27. 2026-04-20
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (490 chars)

    Large country style home in the village of Stevensville. Located on a cul-de-sac new construction at the end of the street. A new roof has been installed to kick off the rest of the rehab needed to bring the home back to full functionality. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath Property. First Time Buyers, complete the HomePath Ready Buyer homeownership course on Homepath.com. Attach certificate to offer up to 3% closing cost assistance. Check HomePath.com for more details. Restrictions apply.

  28. 2026-03-30
    listed $99,900 Active 490-char remark
    Show marketing remark (490 chars)

    Large country style home in the village of Stevensville. Located on a cul-de-sac new construction at the end of the street. A new roof has been installed to kick off the rest of the rehab needed to bring the home back to full functionality. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath Property. First Time Buyers, complete the HomePath Ready Buyer homeownership course on Homepath.com. Attach certificate to offer up to 3% closing cost assistance. Check HomePath.com for more details. Restrictions apply.

  29. 2026-03-30
    listed $99,900 Active 490-char remark
    Show marketing remark (490 chars)

    Large country style home in the village of Stevensville. Located on a cul-de-sac new construction at the end of the street. A new roof has been installed to kick off the rest of the rehab needed to bring the home back to full functionality. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath Property. First Time Buyers, complete the HomePath Ready Buyer homeownership course on Homepath.com. Attach certificate to offer up to 3% closing cost assistance. Check HomePath.com for more details. Restrictions apply.

  30. 2026-03-30
    listed $99,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (490 chars)

    Large country style home in the village of Stevensville. Located on a cul-de-sac new construction at the end of the street. A new roof has been installed to kick off the rest of the rehab needed to bring the home back to full functionality. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath Property. First Time Buyers, complete the HomePath Ready Buyer homeownership course on Homepath.com. Attach certificate to offer up to 3% closing cost assistance. Check HomePath.com for more details. Restrictions apply.

  31. 2019-08-26
    historical
  32. 2019-08-25
    historical
  33. 2019-08-25
    historical
  34. 2019-01-07
    price $119,900
  35. 2018-07-18
    price $139,900
  36. 2018-07-18
    status Active
  37. 2018-05-15
    historical
  38. 2018-01-24
    listed $119,900
  39. 2018-01-24
    listed $149,900 Active
  40. 2018-01-24
    listed $119,900
  41. 2005-08-12
    soldstatus $114,000
  42. 2005-08-12
    soldstatus $114,000
  43. 2004-11-01
    listed $119,500
  44. 2004-11-01
    listed $119,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,348
− Mortgage interest
−$5,265
− Property taxes
−$1,410
− Insurance
−$470
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,708
− Management
−$1,708
− Depreciation
−$2,735
Taxable income
$8,052
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,933
After-tax cash flow
$7,137/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lakeshore School District (Berrien)
NCES district ID
2620820
Math proficiency
56% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
65% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$63,449
Composite
52.75/100
National rank
#1546
State rank
#37 of 540 in MI

Livability — Stevensville

Score
72/100
State rank
#236
US rank
#5954

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Stevensville, MI
County
Berrien County · 71,477 people
City population
11,155
Metro
Niles, MI
Population (ZIP)
11,155
Household income
$93,338
Rent vs Own
20.6% rent · 79.4% own
Severe rent burden
100.0

Population outlook (Berrien County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
149,273 people
By 2030
145,211 · -2.7%
By 2040
135,435 · -9.3%
By 2050
125,543 · -15.9%
By 2075
103,986 · -30.3%
By 2100
82,256 · -44.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4% Asian 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Iranian 4% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Berrien

2024 margin
Lean R (+7.9) · D 45.4% · R 53.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-13.3pp toward R · 2008: 5.5pp · 2024: -7.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+7.9 2020: R+7.4 2016: R+12.7 2012: R+6.6 2008: D+5.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -297.38%
Current HPI
209.9306
Rent YoY
Metro
Niles, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-16.4% since first listed
29 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-24 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-24 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-24 Relisted SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-15 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-15 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-15 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-04 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-04 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-04 Relisted SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-04-20 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-20 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-20 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-03-30 Listed $99,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-03-30 Listed $99,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-30 Listed $99,900 REALCOMP
  • 2019-08-26 Listing Removed SW Michigan MLS
  • 2019-08-25 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-08-25 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2019-01-07 Price Changed $119,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2018-07-18 Price Changed $139,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2018-07-18 Relisted SW Michigan MLS
  • 2018-05-15 Listing Removed SW Michigan MLS
  • 2018-01-24 Listed $119,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-01-24 Listed $149,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2018-01-24 Listed $119,900 REALCOMP
  • 2005-08-12 Sold (MLS) $114,000 REALCOMP
  • 2005-08-12 Sold (MLS) $114,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2004-11-01 Listed $119,500 REALCOMP
  • 2004-11-01 Listed $119,500 SW Michigan MLS

Property tax history

+20.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $41,359 · +1294.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…