5587 E Karen Ct · Stevensville, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$94,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Large country style home in the village of Stevensville. Located on a cul-de-sac new construction at the end of the street. A new roof has been installed to kick off the rest of the rehab needed to bring the home back to full functionality. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath Property. First Time Buyers, complete the HomePath Ready Buyer homeownership course on Homepath.com. Attach certificate to offer up to 3% closing cost assistance. Check HomePath.com for more details. Restrictions apply.
Key facts
- Country style home
- New construction
- Cul-de-sac
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Cable connected
- Home design: Traditional single-family home; Living area approximately 2452; Built in 1900
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Crawl space / Michigan-style basement
- Exterior features: Located on a cul-de-sac
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (12 x 16)
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (15 x 11); Bedroom 2 (9 x 11); Bedroom 3 (13 x 12); Bedroom 4 (15 x 9); Bedroom 5 (11 x 9)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: 10 total rooms; Crawl space and Michigan-style basement
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room (7 x 4)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $94k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $756 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $94k).
- Recommended offer: $91k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.9% vs local median 2.2% in Stevensville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#236 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Lakeshore School District (Berrien) (suburban): math 56% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #37 of 540 in MI (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 103 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 397 units permitted in Berrien County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $650 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Berrien County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 15 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.89% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 34.46%
- DSCR
- 2.53
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $264,816
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2801 Wildwood Ln | 0.31mi | 5/3.0 | 2,520 (+3%) | 12mo | $402,500 | $160 | 67 |
| 2960 W John Beers Rd | 0.34mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,100 (-14%) | 11mo | $250,000 | $119 | 42 |
| 5312 Puetz Rd | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,360 (-4%) | 24mo | $255,000 | $108 | 39 |
| 5542 W Hiawatha Ln | 0.54mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,782 (+14%) | 21mo | $297,500 | $107 | 30 |
| 6046 Legion Rd | 0.75mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 2,234 (-9%) | 22mo | $235,000 | $105 | 23 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.25×
- Total profit
- $32,932
- Equity at exit
- $14,016
- IRR
- 37.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.45×
- Total profit
- $90,771
- Equity at exit
- $8,127
Cash invested: $26,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49127
- Active inventory
- 103
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,779 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$493
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$118 /mo · $1,410/yr
- Insurance
- −$39
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$374
- Net cashflow
- $756
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,500
- Closing costs
- $2,820
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 44 events
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2026-06-19days on market $94,000 Active 55 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $94,000 Active 54 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $94,000 Active 53 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $94,000 Active 52 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $94,000 Active 51 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $94,000 Active 49 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $94,000 Active 48 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $94,000 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $94,000 Active 45 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $94,000 Active 44 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $94,000 Active 43 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $94,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-06-01pricedays on market $94,000 Active 37 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active 36 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $99,900 Active 35 DOM
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2026-05-24status Active 490-char remark
Show marketing remark (490 chars)
Large country style home in the village of Stevensville. Located on a cul-de-sac new construction at the end of the street. A new roof has been installed to kick off the rest of the rehab needed to bring the home back to full functionality. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath Property. First Time Buyers, complete the HomePath Ready Buyer homeownership course on Homepath.com. Attach certificate to offer up to 3% closing cost assistance. Check HomePath.com for more details. Restrictions apply.
-
2026-05-24status Active 490-char remark
Show marketing remark (490 chars)
Large country style home in the village of Stevensville. Located on a cul-de-sac new construction at the end of the street. A new roof has been installed to kick off the rest of the rehab needed to bring the home back to full functionality. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath Property. First Time Buyers, complete the HomePath Ready Buyer homeownership course on Homepath.com. Attach certificate to offer up to 3% closing cost assistance. Check HomePath.com for more details. Restrictions apply.
-
2026-05-24status Active
Show marketing remark (490 chars)
Large country style home in the village of Stevensville. Located on a cul-de-sac new construction at the end of the street. A new roof has been installed to kick off the rest of the rehab needed to bring the home back to full functionality. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath Property. First Time Buyers, complete the HomePath Ready Buyer homeownership course on Homepath.com. Attach certificate to offer up to 3% closing cost assistance. Check HomePath.com for more details. Restrictions apply.
-
2026-05-15status Pending 490-char remark
Show marketing remark (490 chars)
Large country style home in the village of Stevensville. Located on a cul-de-sac new construction at the end of the street. A new roof has been installed to kick off the rest of the rehab needed to bring the home back to full functionality. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath Property. First Time Buyers, complete the HomePath Ready Buyer homeownership course on Homepath.com. Attach certificate to offer up to 3% closing cost assistance. Check HomePath.com for more details. Restrictions apply.
-
2026-05-15status Pending 490-char remark
Show marketing remark (490 chars)
Large country style home in the village of Stevensville. Located on a cul-de-sac new construction at the end of the street. A new roof has been installed to kick off the rest of the rehab needed to bring the home back to full functionality. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath Property. First Time Buyers, complete the HomePath Ready Buyer homeownership course on Homepath.com. Attach certificate to offer up to 3% closing cost assistance. Check HomePath.com for more details. Restrictions apply.
-
2026-05-15status Pending
Show marketing remark (490 chars)
Large country style home in the village of Stevensville. Located on a cul-de-sac new construction at the end of the street. A new roof has been installed to kick off the rest of the rehab needed to bring the home back to full functionality. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath Property. First Time Buyers, complete the HomePath Ready Buyer homeownership course on Homepath.com. Attach certificate to offer up to 3% closing cost assistance. Check HomePath.com for more details. Restrictions apply.
-
2026-05-04status Active 490-char remark
Show marketing remark (490 chars)
Large country style home in the village of Stevensville. Located on a cul-de-sac new construction at the end of the street. A new roof has been installed to kick off the rest of the rehab needed to bring the home back to full functionality. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath Property. First Time Buyers, complete the HomePath Ready Buyer homeownership course on Homepath.com. Attach certificate to offer up to 3% closing cost assistance. Check HomePath.com for more details. Restrictions apply.
-
2026-05-04status Active 490-char remark
Show marketing remark (490 chars)
Large country style home in the village of Stevensville. Located on a cul-de-sac new construction at the end of the street. A new roof has been installed to kick off the rest of the rehab needed to bring the home back to full functionality. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath Property. First Time Buyers, complete the HomePath Ready Buyer homeownership course on Homepath.com. Attach certificate to offer up to 3% closing cost assistance. Check HomePath.com for more details. Restrictions apply.
-
2026-05-04status Active
Show marketing remark (490 chars)
Large country style home in the village of Stevensville. Located on a cul-de-sac new construction at the end of the street. A new roof has been installed to kick off the rest of the rehab needed to bring the home back to full functionality. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath Property. First Time Buyers, complete the HomePath Ready Buyer homeownership course on Homepath.com. Attach certificate to offer up to 3% closing cost assistance. Check HomePath.com for more details. Restrictions apply.
-
2026-04-20status Pending 490-char remark
Show marketing remark (490 chars)
Large country style home in the village of Stevensville. Located on a cul-de-sac new construction at the end of the street. A new roof has been installed to kick off the rest of the rehab needed to bring the home back to full functionality. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath Property. First Time Buyers, complete the HomePath Ready Buyer homeownership course on Homepath.com. Attach certificate to offer up to 3% closing cost assistance. Check HomePath.com for more details. Restrictions apply.
-
2026-04-20status Pending 490-char remark
Show marketing remark (490 chars)
Large country style home in the village of Stevensville. Located on a cul-de-sac new construction at the end of the street. A new roof has been installed to kick off the rest of the rehab needed to bring the home back to full functionality. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath Property. First Time Buyers, complete the HomePath Ready Buyer homeownership course on Homepath.com. Attach certificate to offer up to 3% closing cost assistance. Check HomePath.com for more details. Restrictions apply.
-
2026-04-20status Pending
Show marketing remark (490 chars)
Large country style home in the village of Stevensville. Located on a cul-de-sac new construction at the end of the street. A new roof has been installed to kick off the rest of the rehab needed to bring the home back to full functionality. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath Property. First Time Buyers, complete the HomePath Ready Buyer homeownership course on Homepath.com. Attach certificate to offer up to 3% closing cost assistance. Check HomePath.com for more details. Restrictions apply.
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2026-03-30$99,900 Active 490-char remark
Show marketing remark (490 chars)
Large country style home in the village of Stevensville. Located on a cul-de-sac new construction at the end of the street. A new roof has been installed to kick off the rest of the rehab needed to bring the home back to full functionality. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath Property. First Time Buyers, complete the HomePath Ready Buyer homeownership course on Homepath.com. Attach certificate to offer up to 3% closing cost assistance. Check HomePath.com for more details. Restrictions apply.
-
2026-03-30$99,900 Active 490-char remark
Show marketing remark (490 chars)
Large country style home in the village of Stevensville. Located on a cul-de-sac new construction at the end of the street. A new roof has been installed to kick off the rest of the rehab needed to bring the home back to full functionality. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath Property. First Time Buyers, complete the HomePath Ready Buyer homeownership course on Homepath.com. Attach certificate to offer up to 3% closing cost assistance. Check HomePath.com for more details. Restrictions apply.
-
2026-03-30$99,900 Active
Show marketing remark (490 chars)
Large country style home in the village of Stevensville. Located on a cul-de-sac new construction at the end of the street. A new roof has been installed to kick off the rest of the rehab needed to bring the home back to full functionality. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath Property. First Time Buyers, complete the HomePath Ready Buyer homeownership course on Homepath.com. Attach certificate to offer up to 3% closing cost assistance. Check HomePath.com for more details. Restrictions apply.
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2019-08-26historical
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2019-08-25historical
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2019-08-25historical
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2019-01-07price $119,900
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2018-07-18price $139,900
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2018-07-18status Active
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2018-05-15historical
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2018-01-24$119,900
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2018-01-24$149,900 Active
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2018-01-24$119,900
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2005-08-12soldstatus $114,000
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2005-08-12soldstatus $114,000
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2004-11-01$119,500
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2004-11-01$119,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,348
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,265
- − Property taxes
- −$1,410
- − Insurance
- −$470
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,708
- − Management
- −$1,708
- − Depreciation
- −$2,735
- Taxable income
- $8,052
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,933
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,137/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lakeshore School District (Berrien)
- NCES district ID
- 2620820
- Math proficiency
- 56% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 65% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $63,449
- Composite
- 52.75/100
- National rank
- #1546
- State rank
- #37 of 540 in MI
Livability — Stevensville
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #236
- US rank
- #5954
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Stevensville, MI
- County
- Berrien County · 71,477 people
- City population
- 11,155
- Metro
- Niles, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,155
- Household income
- $93,338
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 100.0
Population outlook (Berrien County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 149,273 people
- By 2030
- 145,211 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 135,435 · -9.3%
- By 2050
- 125,543 · -15.9%
- By 2075
- 103,986 · -30.3%
- By 2100
- 82,256 · -44.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Iranian 4% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Berrien
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+7.9) · D 45.4% · R 53.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.3pp toward R · 2008: 5.5pp · 2024: -7.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+7.9 2020: R+7.4 2016: R+12.7 2012: R+6.6 2008: D+5.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -297.38%
- Current HPI
- 209.9306
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Niles, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-16.4% since first listed29 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-24 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-24 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-24 Relisted — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-05-15 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-15 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-15 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-05-04 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-04 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-04 Relisted — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-20 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-20 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-20 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-03-30 Listed $99,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-03-30 Listed $99,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-30 Listed $99,900 REALCOMP
- 2019-08-26 Listing Removed — SW Michigan MLS
- 2019-08-25 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-08-25 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2019-01-07 Price Changed $119,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2018-07-18 Price Changed $139,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2018-07-18 Relisted — SW Michigan MLS
- 2018-05-15 Listing Removed — SW Michigan MLS
- 2018-01-24 Listed $119,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-01-24 Listed $149,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2018-01-24 Listed $119,900 REALCOMP
- 2005-08-12 Sold (MLS) $114,000 REALCOMP
- 2005-08-12 Sold (MLS) $114,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2004-11-01 Listed $119,500 REALCOMP
- 2004-11-01 Listed $119,500 SW Michigan MLS
Property tax history
+20.7%/yrLatest (2024): $41,359 · +1294.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…