1228 Clubhouse Rd · Bessemer, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 36.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.7/5.0
- Schools +0.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$29,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This house is on a Dead end street and is walking distance from Circle K and Park. The house needs love it is a Handy man special I am not sure of the amount of the garbage dues but I will find out and update
Key facts
- Dead end street
- 0.43 acre lot
- Built 1920
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $662 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
- Recommended offer: $29k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 32.9% vs local median 5.9% in Bessemer — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#331 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment F.
- Bessemer City (suburban): math 3% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #120 of 129 in AL (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 87% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Jonesboro Elementary School (math 3% / reading 15%, grade F, #593 of 627 statewide, top 95%, 525 students, 78% FRL); Bessemer City Middle School (math 3% / reading 23%, grade F, #215 of 257 statewide, top 84%, 674 students, 88% FRL); Bessemer City High School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #276 of 305 statewide, top 95%, 850 students, 61% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.1%/yr); 116 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $897 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($29k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 36% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.81% ✓
- Cap rate
- 32.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- 94.91%
- DSCR
- 5.22
- GRM
- 2.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $94,080
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1506 Avenue I | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,312 (-2%) | 12mo | $141,000 | $107 | 70 |
| 1607 Holbrook Ave | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,264 (-6%) | 5mo | $31,000 | $25 | 68 |
| 1711 Holbrook Ave | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (-3%) | 11mo | $124,000 | $95 | 63 |
| 1625 Holbrook Ave | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,288 (-4%) | 14mo | $123,500 | $96 | 62 |
| 1615 Dartmouth Ave | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 1,186 (-12%) | 5mo | $47,500 | $40 | 57 |
| 419 19th St S | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,430 (+6%) | 1mo | $28,000 | $20 | 56 |
| 730 Clarendon Ave | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,345 (+0%) | 21mo | $70,000 | $52 | 54 |
| 1008 Avenue H | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,215 (-10%) | 16mo | $85,000 | $70 | 53 |
| 802 Clarendon Ave | 0.60mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,214 (-10%) | 6mo | $106,000 | $87 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 92.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.06×
- Total profit
- $34,030
- Equity at exit
- $4,458
- IRR
- 94.5%
- Equity multiple
- 9.50×
- Total profit
- $71,196
- Equity at exit
- $2,585
Cash invested: $8,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35020
- Home prices YoY
- -24.2%
- Rents YoY
- -3.1%
- Active inventory
- 116
- Price-to-rent
- 2.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,138 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$157
- Tax from tax record
- −$67 /mo · $809/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$239
- Net cashflow
- $662
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $679 | -5% $671 | +0% $662 | +5% $654 | +10% $645 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $572 | -5% $617 | +0% $662 | +5% $707 | +10% $752 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $677 | -0.5pp $670 | base $662 | +0.5pp $654 | +1.0pp $647 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,475
- Closing costs
- $897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1600 Holbrook Ave Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 885 | $999 | $1.13 | 3d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1622 Fairfax Ave Bessemer, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $995 | $0.90 | 3d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 320 16th St S Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1792 | $950 | $0.53 | 45d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 931 Dartmouth Ave Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 984 | $925 | $0.94 | 45d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 810 Fairfax Ave Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1042 | $1,050 | $1.01 | 25d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 808 Fairfax Ave Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1042 | $1,050 | $1.01 | 25d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1811 Fairfax Ave Bessemer, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1732 | $1,350 | $0.78 | 25d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 704 Avenue I Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1232 | $1,200 | $0.97 | 25d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1909 Holbrook Ave Bessemer, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $930 | $0.87 | 45d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1830 Exeter Ave Bessemer, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 913 | $850 | $0.93 | 45d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 420 19th St S Bessemer, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $850 | $0.93 | 45d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 419 19th St S Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,050 | $0.88 | 13d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 434 Bryant St Bessemer, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1540 | $1,523 | $0.99 | 5d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1307 3rd Ave N Bessemer, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,200 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 806 4th Ave N Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $1,050 | $0.96 | 25d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 236 Clifton St Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1450 | $1,100 | $0.76 | 45d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 300 Norwood Ave Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 966 | $900 | $0.93 | 13d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 300 Norwood Ave Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 966 | $1,000 | $1.04 | 25d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 830 5th Ave N Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1072 | $1,000 | $0.93 | 45d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 200 Center St Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1826 | $1,200 | $0.66 | 12d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 18 Center St Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1418 | $1,100 | $0.78 | 45d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 10 Center St Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,000 | $0.87 | 45d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 719 16th St N Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1085 | $1,075 | $0.99 | 25d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 63 Bluebell St Bessemer, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $1,399 | $1.14 | 17d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 817 15th St N Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1116 | $1,125 | $1.01 | 4d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2025-04-20status Pending
-
2025-04-16price $29,900
-
2025-04-03price $39,700
-
2025-03-18$57,900 Active
-
2002-02-20soldstatus $55,000
-
1987-04-13soldstatus $23,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $809 · $67/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $809 · $67/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 36% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,654
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,675
- − Property taxes
- −$809
- − Insurance
- −$150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,092
- − Management
- −$1,092
- − Depreciation
- −$870
- Taxable income
- $7,966
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,912
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,034/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bessemer City
- NCES district ID
- 0100330
- Math proficiency
- 3% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 19% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $29,721
- Composite
- 8.45/100
- National rank
- #9905
- State rank
- #120 of 129 in AL
Livability — Bessemer
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #331
- US rank
- #20078
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bessemer, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 48,018
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,892
- Household income
- $35,362
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1001.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 74% Hispanic / Latino 13% White 11% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 11%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -57.54%
- Current HPI
- 179.7702
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -3.12%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+30.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2025-04-20 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-04-16 Price Changed $29,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-04-03 Price Changed $39,700 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-03-18 Listed $57,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2002-02-20 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 1987-04-13 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $809 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…